Natural Stock Market Value

NHTC
 Stock
  

USD 3.94  0.06  1.50%   

Natural Health's market value is the price at which a share of Natural Health stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Natural Health Trend investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Natural Health Trend and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Natural Health over a given investment horizon. Additionally, see Natural Health Correlation, Natural Health Volatility and Natural Health Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Natural Health.
Symbol


Is Natural Health's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Natural Health. If investors know Natural will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Natural Health listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.90) 
Market Capitalization
45 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
(0.18) 
Return On Assets
0.0012
Return On Equity
0.0063
The market value of Natural Health Trend is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Natural that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Natural Health's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Natural Health's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Natural Health's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Natural Health's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Natural Health's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Natural Health value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Natural Health's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Natural Health 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Natural Health's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Natural Health.
0.00
10/05/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 1 day
12/04/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Natural Health on October 5, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Natural Health Trend or generate 0.0% return on investment in Natural Health over 60 days. Natural Health is related to or competes with GROWTH FUND, VANGUARD SMALL-CAP, and Alcoa Corp. Natural Health Trends Corp., a direct-selling and e-commerce company, provides personal care, wellness, and lifestyle pr... More

Natural Health Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Natural Health's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Natural Health Trend upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Natural Health Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Natural Health's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Natural Health's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Natural Health historical prices to predict the future Natural Health's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Natural Health's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Natural Health in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.713.967.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.703.957.20
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Natural Health. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Natural Health's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Natural Health's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Natural Health Trend.

Natural Health Trend Backtested Returns

Natural Health Trend has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0687, which conveys that the firm had -0.0687% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Macroaxis standpoint towards estimating the risk of any stock is to look at both systematic and unsystematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. Natural Health exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility that cannot be diversified away. Please be advised to verify Natural Health Trend mean deviation of 2.51, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.14) to check out the risk estimate we provide.
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.8539, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Let's try to break down what Natural's beta means in this case. Natural Health returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Natural Health is expected to follow. Even though it is essential to pay attention to Natural Health Trend price patterns, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity historical price patterns. Our philosophy towards estimating any stock's future performance is to check both, its past performance charts as well as the business as a whole, including all available technical indicators. Natural Health exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate its performance. Natural Health Trend has an expected return of -0.22%. Please be advised to verify Natural Health Trend expected short fall, and the relationship between the value at risk and daily balance of power to decide if Natural Health Trend performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.06  

Very weak reverse predictability

Natural Health Trend has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Natural Health time series from 5th of October 2022 to 4th of November 2022 and 4th of November 2022 to 4th of December 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Natural Health Trend price movement. The serial correlation of -0.06 indicates that barely 6.0% of current Natural Health price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.06
Spearman Rank Test-0.35
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.03

Natural Health Trend lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Natural Health stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Natural Health's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Natural Health returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Natural Health stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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       Timeline  

Natural Health regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Natural Health stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Natural Health stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Natural Health stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
Share
       Timeline  

Natural Health Lagged Returns

When evaluating Natural Health's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Natural Health stock have on its future price. Natural Health autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Natural Health autocorrelation shows the relationship between Natural Health stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Natural Health Trend.
   Regressed Prices   
Share
       Timeline  

Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Natural Health in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Natural Health's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Natural Health options trading.

Becoming a Better Investor with Macroaxis

Macroaxis puts the power of mathematics on your side. We analyze your portfolios and positions such as Natural Health Trend using complex mathematical models and algorithms, but make them easy to understand. There is no real person involved in your portfolio analysis. We perform a number of calculations to compute absolute and relative portfolio volatility, correlation between your assets, value at risk, expected return as well as over 100 different fundamental and technical indicators.

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Additionally, see Natural Health Correlation, Natural Health Volatility and Natural Health Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Natural Health. You can also try Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Natural Health Trend price analysis, check to measure Natural Health's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Natural Health is operating at the current time. Most of Natural Health's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Natural Health's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Natural Health's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Natural Health to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Natural Health technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Natural Health technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Natural Health trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...