MEDIFAST Stock Market Value

MED
 Stock
  

USD 120.11  0.20  0.17%   

MEDIFAST INC's market value is the price at which a share of MEDIFAST INC stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of MEDIFAST INC investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of MEDIFAST INC and determine expected loss or profit from investing in MEDIFAST INC over a given investment horizon. Additionally, see MEDIFAST INC Correlation, MEDIFAST INC Volatility and MEDIFAST INC Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on MEDIFAST INC.
Symbol


Is MEDIFAST INC's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of MEDIFAST INC. If investors know MEDIFAST will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about MEDIFAST INC listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.08) 
Market Capitalization
1.3 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
(0.06) 
Return On Assets
0.36
Return On Equity
0.87
The market value of MEDIFAST INC is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of MEDIFAST that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of MEDIFAST INC's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is MEDIFAST INC's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because MEDIFAST INC's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect MEDIFAST INC's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between MEDIFAST INC's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine MEDIFAST INC value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, MEDIFAST INC's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

MEDIFAST INC 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to MEDIFAST INC's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of MEDIFAST INC.
0.00
12/07/2021
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 27 days
12/02/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in MEDIFAST INC on December 7, 2021 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding MEDIFAST INC or generate 0.0% return on investment in MEDIFAST INC over 360 days. MEDIFAST INC is related to or competes with GROWTH FUND, VANGUARD SMALL-CAP, and Alcoa Corp. Medifast, Inc., through its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes weight loss, weight management, healthy living pr... More

MEDIFAST INC Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure MEDIFAST INC's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess MEDIFAST INC upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

MEDIFAST INC Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for MEDIFAST INC's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as MEDIFAST INC's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use MEDIFAST INC historical prices to predict the future MEDIFAST INC's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of MEDIFAST INC's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of MEDIFAST INC in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
117.09120.14123.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
108.28176.27179.32
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
123.73126.78129.84
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
345.00347.00349.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as MEDIFAST INC. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against MEDIFAST INC's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, MEDIFAST INC's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in MEDIFAST INC.

MEDIFAST INC Backtested Returns

We consider MEDIFAST INC very steady. MEDIFAST INC has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0268, which conveys that the firm had 0.0268% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Our approach towards estimating the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for MEDIFAST INC, which you can use to evaluate the future volatility of the firm. Please verify MEDIFAST INC mean deviation of 2.26, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.003143) to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0825%.
MEDIFAST INC has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.3466, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what MEDIFAST's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, MEDIFAST INC will likely underperform. Although it is important to respect MEDIFAST INC price patterns, it is better to be realistic regarding the information on the equity's historical price patterns. The approach towards estimating future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By examining MEDIFAST INC technical indicators, you can right now evaluate if the expected return of 0.0825% will be sustainable into the future. MEDIFAST INC at this time secures a risk of 3.08%. Please verify MEDIFAST INC coefficient of variation, maximum drawdown, skewness, as well as the relationship between the total risk alpha and downside variance to decide if MEDIFAST INC will be following its current price movements.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.82  

Very good predictability

MEDIFAST INC has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between MEDIFAST INC time series from 7th of December 2021 to 5th of June 2022 and 5th of June 2022 to 2nd of December 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of MEDIFAST INC price movement. The serial correlation of 0.82 indicates that around 82.0% of current MEDIFAST INC price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.82
Spearman Rank Test0.69
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance744.18

MEDIFAST INC lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is MEDIFAST INC stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting MEDIFAST INC's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of MEDIFAST INC returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that MEDIFAST INC stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
Share
       Timeline  

MEDIFAST INC regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If MEDIFAST INC stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if MEDIFAST INC stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in MEDIFAST INC stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
Share
       Timeline  

MEDIFAST INC Lagged Returns

When evaluating MEDIFAST INC's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of MEDIFAST INC stock have on its future price. MEDIFAST INC autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, MEDIFAST INC autocorrelation shows the relationship between MEDIFAST INC stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in MEDIFAST INC.
   Regressed Prices   
Share
       Timeline  

MEDIFAST INC Investors Sentiment

The influence of MEDIFAST INC's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in MEDIFAST. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to MEDIFAST INC's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in MEDIFAST. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding MEDIFAST can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around MEDIFAST INC. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
MEDIFAST INC's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for MEDIFAST INC's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average MEDIFAST INC's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on MEDIFAST INC.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards MEDIFAST INC in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, MEDIFAST INC's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from MEDIFAST INC options trading.

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Additionally, see MEDIFAST INC Correlation, MEDIFAST INC Volatility and MEDIFAST INC Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on MEDIFAST INC. Note that the MEDIFAST INC information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other MEDIFAST INC's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.

Complementary Tools for MEDIFAST Stock analysis

When running MEDIFAST INC price analysis, check to measure MEDIFAST INC's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MEDIFAST INC is operating at the current time. Most of MEDIFAST INC's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MEDIFAST INC's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MEDIFAST INC's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MEDIFAST INC to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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MEDIFAST INC technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of MEDIFAST INC technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of MEDIFAST INC trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...