Intel Stock Market Value

INTC
 Stock
  

USD 29.83  0.24  0.80%   

Intel's market value is the price at which a share of Intel stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Intel investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Intel and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Intel over a given investment horizon. Please see Intel Correlation, Intel Volatility and Intel Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Intel.
Symbol


Is Intel's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Intel. If investors know Intel will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Intel listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.85) 
Market Capitalization
124.1 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
(0.20) 
Return On Assets
0.0293
Return On Equity
0.14
The market value of Intel is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Intel that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Intel's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Intel's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Intel's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Intel's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Intel's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Intel value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Intel's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Intel 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Intel's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Intel.
0.00
11/01/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/01/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Intel on November 1, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Intel or generate 0.0% return on investment in Intel over 30 days. Intel is related to or competes with Caterpillar, Walmart, Cisco Systems, American Express, Johnson Johnson, International Business, and Chevron Corp. Intel Corporation engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of computer products and technologies worldwide More

Intel Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Intel's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Intel upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Intel Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Intel's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Intel's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Intel historical prices to predict the future Intel's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Intel's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Intel in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
26.9029.7732.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
26.8136.6839.55
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
26.0928.9631.84
Details
27 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
45.0058.2985.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Intel. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Intel's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Intel's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Intel.

Intel Backtested Returns

Intel holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0038, which attests that the entity had -0.0038% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Macroaxis standpoint towards determining the risk of any stock is to look at both systematic and unsystematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. Intel exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility that cannot be diversified away. Please be advised to check out Intel market risk adjusted performance of (0.049227), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.036877) to validate the risk estimate we provide.
The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.5023, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Intel's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Intel will likely underperform. Even though it is essential to pay attention to Intel current price history, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity current price movements. Our philosophy towards determining any stock's future performance is to check both, its past performance charts as well as the business as a whole, including all available technical indicators. Intel exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate its performance. Intel has an expected return of -0.0108%. Please be advised to check out Intel expected short fall, and the relationship between the value at risk and daily balance of power to decide if Intel performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.19  

Insignificant reverse predictability

Intel has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Intel time series from 1st of November 2022 to 16th of November 2022 and 16th of November 2022 to 1st of December 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Intel price movement. The serial correlation of -0.19 indicates that over 19.0% of current Intel price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.19
Spearman Rank Test-0.08
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.2

Intel lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Intel stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Intel's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Intel returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Intel stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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       Timeline  

Intel regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Intel stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Intel stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Intel stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
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       Timeline  

Intel Lagged Returns

When evaluating Intel's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Intel stock have on its future price. Intel autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Intel autocorrelation shows the relationship between Intel stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Intel.
   Regressed Prices   
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       Timeline  

Intel Investors Sentiment

The influence of Intel's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Intel. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Intel's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Intel. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Intel can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Intel. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Intel's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Intel's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Intel's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Intel.

Intel Implied Volatility

    
  67.79  
Intel's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Intel stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Intel's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Intel stock will not fluctuate a lot when Intel's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Intel in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Intel's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Intel options trading.

Becoming a Better Investor with Macroaxis

Macroaxis puts the power of mathematics on your side. We analyze your portfolios and positions such as Intel using complex mathematical models and algorithms, but make them easy to understand. There is no real person involved in your portfolio analysis. We perform a number of calculations to compute absolute and relative portfolio volatility, correlation between your assets, value at risk, expected return as well as over 100 different fundamental and technical indicators.

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Please see Intel Correlation, Intel Volatility and Intel Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Intel. You can also try Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Intel price analysis, check to measure Intel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Intel is operating at the current time. Most of Intel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Intel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Intel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Intel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Intel technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Intel technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Intel trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...