Inovio Stock Market Value

INO
 Stock
  

USD 1.96  0.05  2.49%   

Inovio Pharma's market value is the price at which a share of Inovio Pharma stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Inovio Pharma investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Inovio Pharma and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Inovio Pharma over a given investment horizon. Please see Inovio Pharma Correlation, Inovio Pharma Volatility and Inovio Pharma Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Inovio Pharma.
Symbol


Is Inovio Pharma's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Inovio Pharma. If investors know Inovio will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Inovio Pharma listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
501.5 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
30.38
Return On Assets
(0.43) 
Return On Equity
(0.92) 
The market value of Inovio Pharma is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Inovio that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Inovio Pharma's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Inovio Pharma's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Inovio Pharma's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Inovio Pharma's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Inovio Pharma's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Inovio Pharma value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Inovio Pharma's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Inovio Pharma 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Inovio Pharma's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Inovio Pharma.
0.00
09/29/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 2 days
11/28/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Inovio Pharma on September 29, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Inovio Pharma or generate 0.0% return on investment in Inovio Pharma over 60 days. Inovio Pharma is related to or competes with Siemens Ag, Vertex Pharmaceutic, and Regeneron Pharmaceuticals. Inovio Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a biotechnology company, focuses on the discovery, development, and commercialization of D... More

Inovio Pharma Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Inovio Pharma's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Inovio Pharma upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Inovio Pharma Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Inovio Pharma's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Inovio Pharma's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Inovio Pharma historical prices to predict the future Inovio Pharma's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Inovio Pharma's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Inovio Pharma in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.102.037.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.244.8410.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.0359591.806.95
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
6.0013.6235.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Inovio Pharma. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Inovio Pharma's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Inovio Pharma's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Inovio Pharma.

Inovio Pharma Backtested Returns

Inovio Pharma holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0133, which attests that the entity had -0.0133% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Macroaxis standpoint towards determining the risk of any stock is to look at both systematic and unsystematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. Inovio Pharma exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility that cannot be diversified away. Please be advised to check out Inovio Pharma risk adjusted performance of (0.05), and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.10) to validate the risk estimate we provide.
The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 2.1054, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Inovio's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Inovio Pharma will likely underperform. Even though it is essential to pay attention to Inovio Pharma current price history, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity current price movements. Our philosophy towards determining any stock's future performance is to check both, its past performance charts as well as the business as a whole, including all available technical indicators. Inovio Pharma exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate its performance. Inovio Pharma has an expected return of -0.0683%. Please be advised to check out Inovio Pharma maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the expected short fall and rate of daily change to decide if Inovio Pharma performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.55  

Good reverse predictability

Inovio Pharma has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Inovio Pharma time series from 29th of September 2022 to 29th of October 2022 and 29th of October 2022 to 28th of November 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Inovio Pharma price movement. The serial correlation of -0.55 indicates that about 55.0% of current Inovio Pharma price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.55
Spearman Rank Test-0.36
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

Inovio Pharma lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Inovio Pharma stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Inovio Pharma's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Inovio Pharma returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Inovio Pharma stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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       Timeline  

Inovio Pharma regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Inovio Pharma stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Inovio Pharma stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Inovio Pharma stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
Share
       Timeline  

Inovio Pharma Lagged Returns

When evaluating Inovio Pharma's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Inovio Pharma stock have on its future price. Inovio Pharma autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Inovio Pharma autocorrelation shows the relationship between Inovio Pharma stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Inovio Pharma.
   Regressed Prices   
Share
       Timeline  

Inovio Pharma Investors Sentiment

The influence of Inovio Pharma's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Inovio. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Inovio Pharma's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Inovio. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Inovio can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Inovio Pharma. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Inovio Pharma's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Inovio Pharma's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Inovio Pharma's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Inovio Pharma.

Inovio Pharma Implied Volatility

    
  73.52  
Inovio Pharma's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Inovio Pharma stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Inovio Pharma's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Inovio Pharma stock will not fluctuate a lot when Inovio Pharma's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Inovio Pharma in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Inovio Pharma's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Inovio Pharma options trading.

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Please see Inovio Pharma Correlation, Inovio Pharma Volatility and Inovio Pharma Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Inovio Pharma. You can also try Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Inovio Pharma price analysis, check to measure Inovio Pharma's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Inovio Pharma is operating at the current time. Most of Inovio Pharma's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Inovio Pharma's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Inovio Pharma's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Inovio Pharma to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Inovio Pharma technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Inovio Pharma technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Inovio Pharma trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...