Hexcel Stock Market Value

HXL
 Stock
  

USD 62.05  0.78  1.27%   

Hexcel's market value is the price at which a share of Hexcel stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Hexcel investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Hexcel and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Hexcel over a given investment horizon. Please check Hexcel Correlation, Hexcel Volatility and Hexcel Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Hexcel.
Symbol


Is Hexcel's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hexcel. If investors know Hexcel will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hexcel listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Hexcel is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hexcel that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hexcel's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hexcel's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hexcel's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hexcel's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hexcel's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Hexcel value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hexcel's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Hexcel 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Hexcel's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Hexcel.
0.00
11/03/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/03/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Hexcel on November 3, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Hexcel or generate 0.0% return on investment in Hexcel over 30 days. Hexcel is related to or competes with ADEIA CORP, Ametek, ATAI Life, Euro Tech, Curtiss Wright, Danaher, and IDEX. Hexcel Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and markets structural materials for use in ... More

Hexcel Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Hexcel's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Hexcel upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Hexcel Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Hexcel's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Hexcel's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Hexcel historical prices to predict the future Hexcel's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hexcel's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Hexcel in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
57.2659.5261.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
56.4458.7060.96
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
48.0059.1168.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (7)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.200.240.32
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hexcel. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hexcel's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hexcel's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Hexcel.

Hexcel Backtested Returns

We consider Hexcel very steady. Hexcel holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0746, which attests that the entity had 0.0746% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Our standpoint towards determining the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Hexcel, which you can use to evaluate the future volatility of the firm. Please check out Hexcel Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0778, downside deviation of 2.25, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0994 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.17%.
Hexcel has a performance score of 5 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.142, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Hexcel's beta means in this case. Hexcel returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Hexcel is expected to follow. Although it is important to respect Hexcel current price history, it is better to be realistic regarding the information on the equity's current price movements. The philosophy towards determining future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By evaluating Hexcel technical indicators, you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.17% will be sustainable into the future. Hexcel right now retains a risk of 2.26%. Please check out Hexcel downside variance, as well as the relationship between the accumulation distribution and market facilitation index to decide if Hexcel will be following its current trending patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.16  

Very weak predictability

Hexcel has very weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Hexcel time series from 3rd of November 2022 to 18th of November 2022 and 18th of November 2022 to 3rd of December 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Hexcel price movement. The serial correlation of 0.16 indicates that over 16.0% of current Hexcel price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.16
Spearman Rank Test0.33
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.43

Hexcel lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Hexcel stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Hexcel's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Hexcel returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Hexcel stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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       Timeline  

Hexcel regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Hexcel stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Hexcel stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Hexcel stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
Share
       Timeline  

Hexcel Lagged Returns

When evaluating Hexcel's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Hexcel stock have on its future price. Hexcel autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Hexcel autocorrelation shows the relationship between Hexcel stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Hexcel.
   Regressed Prices   
Share
       Timeline  

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in Hexcel without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up the expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Macroaxis puts the power of mathematics on your side. We analyze your portfolios and positions such as Hexcel using complex mathematical models and algorithms, but make them easy to understand. There is no real person involved in your portfolio analysis. We perform a number of calculations to compute absolute and relative portfolio volatility, correlation between your assets, value at risk, expected return as well as over 100 different fundamental and technical indicators.

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Please check Hexcel Correlation, Hexcel Volatility and Hexcel Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Hexcel. You can also try Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.

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When running Hexcel price analysis, check to measure Hexcel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hexcel is operating at the current time. Most of Hexcel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hexcel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hexcel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hexcel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Hexcel technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Hexcel technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Hexcel trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...