Chevron Stock Market Value

CVX
 Stock
  

USD 181.03  1.46  0.80%   

Chevron Corp's market value is the price at which a share of Chevron Corp stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Chevron Corp investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Chevron Corp and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Chevron Corp over a given investment horizon. Continue to Chevron Corp Correlation, Chevron Corp Volatility and Chevron Corp Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Chevron Corp.
Symbol


Is Chevron Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Chevron Corp. If investors know Chevron will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Chevron Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.81
Market Capitalization
350 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.49
Return On Assets
0.0924
Return On Equity
0.23
The market value of Chevron Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Chevron that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Chevron Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Chevron Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Chevron Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Chevron Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Chevron Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Chevron Corp value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Chevron Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Chevron Corp 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Chevron Corp's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Chevron Corp.
0.00
11/03/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/03/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Chevron Corp on November 3, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Chevron Corp or generate 0.0% return on investment in Chevron Corp over 30 days. Chevron Corp is related to or competes with Transportadora, China Petroleum, and National Fuel. Chevron Corporation, through its subsidiaries, engages in integrated energy and chemicals operations worldwide More

Chevron Corp Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Chevron Corp's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Chevron Corp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Chevron Corp Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Chevron Corp's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Chevron Corp's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Chevron Corp historical prices to predict the future Chevron Corp's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Chevron Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Chevron Corp in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
179.67181.71183.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
132.22134.26199.13
Details
17 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
105.00128.94155.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (7)
LowProjected EPSHigh
7.638.429.40
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Chevron Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Chevron Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Chevron Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Chevron Corp.

Chevron Corp Backtested Returns

Chevron Corp appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Chevron Corp secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.12, which signifies that the company had 0.12% of return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Our philosophy in foreseeing the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Chevron Corp, which you can use to evaluate the future volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Chevron Corp's mean deviation of 1.51, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1663 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations.
On a scale of 0 to 100, Chevron Corp holds a performance score of 9. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.1049, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Chevron's beta means in this case. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Chevron Corp are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Chevron Corp is likely to outperform the market. Although it is vital to follow Chevron Corp historical returns, it is good to be conservative about what you can do with the information regarding equity current trending patterns. The philosophy in foreseeing future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By analyzing Chevron Corp technical indicators, you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.25% will be sustainable into the future. Please makes use of Chevron Corp potential upside, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and accumulation distribution to make a quick decision on whether Chevron Corp price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.10  

Insignificant predictability

Chevron Corp has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Chevron Corp time series from 3rd of November 2022 to 18th of November 2022 and 18th of November 2022 to 3rd of December 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Chevron Corp price movement. The serial correlation of 0.1 indicates that less than 10.0% of current Chevron Corp price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.1
Spearman Rank Test-0.84
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3.78

Chevron Corp lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Chevron Corp stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Chevron Corp's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Chevron Corp returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Chevron Corp stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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       Timeline  

Chevron Corp regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Chevron Corp stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Chevron Corp stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Chevron Corp stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
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       Timeline  

Chevron Corp Lagged Returns

When evaluating Chevron Corp's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Chevron Corp stock have on its future price. Chevron Corp autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Chevron Corp autocorrelation shows the relationship between Chevron Corp stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Chevron Corp.
   Regressed Prices   
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       Timeline  

Chevron Corp Investors Sentiment

The influence of Chevron Corp's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Chevron. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Chevron Corp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Chevron. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Chevron can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Chevron Corp. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Chevron Corp's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Chevron Corp's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Chevron Corp's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Chevron Corp.

Chevron Corp Implied Volatility

    
  32.77  
Chevron Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Chevron Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Chevron Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Chevron Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Chevron Corp's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Chevron Corp in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Chevron Corp's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Chevron Corp options trading.

Pair Trading with Chevron Corp

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Chevron Corp position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Chevron Corp will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Chevron Corp

+0.9CVECenovus Energy Potential GrowthPairCorr
+0.94APAAPA Corporation Potential GrowthPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Chevron Corp could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Chevron Corp when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Chevron Corp - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Chevron Corp to buy it.
The correlation of Chevron Corp is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Chevron Corp moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Chevron Corp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Chevron Corp can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Continue to Chevron Corp Correlation, Chevron Corp Volatility and Chevron Corp Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Chevron Corp. You can also try Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.

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When running Chevron Corp price analysis, check to measure Chevron Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chevron Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Chevron Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chevron Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chevron Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chevron Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Chevron Corp technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Chevron Corp technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Chevron Corp trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...