# Celsius Network Market Value

CEL | Crypto | ## USD 2.36 0.50 17.48% |

Symbol | Celsius |

## Celsius Network 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Celsius Network's crypto coin what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Celsius Network.

06/19/2022 |
| 08/18/2022 |

If you would invest

**0.00**in Celsius Network on**June 19, 2022**and sell it all today you would**earn a total of 0.00**from holding Celsius Network or generate**0.0%**return on investment in Celsius Network over**60**days. Celsius Network is related to or competes with XRP, Solana, Avalanche, Polkadot, FTX Token, Polygon, and Chainlink. Celsius Network is peer-to-peer digital currency powered by the Blockchain technology.## Celsius Network Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Celsius Network's crypto coin current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Celsius Network upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Downside Deviation | 13.7 | |||

Information Ratio | 0.2009 | |||

Maximum Drawdown | 121.23 | |||

Value At Risk | (19.23) | |||

Potential Upside | 36.76 |

## Celsius Network Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Celsius Network's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Celsius Network's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Celsius Network historical prices to predict the future Celsius Network's volatility.Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2632 | |||

Jensen Alpha | 4.2 | |||

Total Risk Alpha | 2.91 | |||

Sortino Ratio | 0.303 | |||

Treynor Ratio | 10.25 |

Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Celsius Network's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Celsius Network in the context of predictive analytics.

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Celsius Network. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Celsius Network's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Celsius Network's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Celsius Network.

## Celsius Network Backtested Returns

Celsius Network is abnormally risky given 3 months investment horizon. Celsius Network secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.19, which signifies that digital coin had 0.19% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Our standpoint towards foreseeing the volatility of a crypto is to use Celsius Network market data together with coin specific technical indicators. We were able to analyze and collect data for twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 4.16% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Celsius Network Mean Deviation of 13.49, risk adjusted performance of 0.2632, and Downside Deviation of 13.7 to evaluate coin specific risk that cannot be diversified away.

The crypto shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.4126, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Let's try to break down what Celsius's beta means in this case. As returns on the market increase, Celsius Network returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Celsius Network will be expected to be smaller as well. Although it is essential to pay attention to Celsius Network historical returns, it is also good to be reasonable about what you can do with equity current trending patterns. Our philosophy towards foreseeing future potential of any crypto is to look not only at its past charts but also at the business as a whole, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. To evaluate if Celsius Network expected return of 4.16 will be sustainable into the future, we have found twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to check if the expected returns are sustainable.

## Auto-correlation | -0.32 |

### Poor reverse predictability

Celsius Network has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Celsius Network time series from 19th of June 2022 to 19th of July 2022 and 19th of July 2022 to 18th of August 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Celsius Network price movement. The serial correlation of

**-0.32**indicates that nearly 32.0% of current Celsius Network price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.Correlation Coefficient | -0.32 | |

Spearman Rank Test | -0.27 | |

Residual Average | 0.0 | |

Price Variance | 0.75 |

## Celsius Network lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Celsius Network crypto coin's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Celsius Network's crypto coin expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Celsius Network returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Celsius Network crypto coin has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.

Current and Lagged Values |

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## Celsius Network regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Celsius Network crypto coin is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Celsius Network crypto coin is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Celsius Network crypto coin over time.

Current vs Lagged Prices |

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## Celsius Network Lagged Returns

When evaluating Celsius Network's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Celsius Network crypto coin have on its future price. Celsius Network autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Celsius Network autocorrelation shows the relationship between Celsius Network crypto coin current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Celsius Network.

Regressed Prices |

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## Celsius Network Investors Sentiment

The influence of Celsius Network's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Celsius. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a crypto movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire crypto markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.

Investor biases related to Celsius Network's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Celsius. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Celsius can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Celsius Network. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.

Celsius Network's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Celsius Network's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Celsius Network's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Celsius Network.

Some cryptocurrency investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. However, unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Celsius Network in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the crypto's market sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools provided by cryptocurrency exchanges to gauge market sentiment could be utilized to time the market in a somewhat predictable way.

## Pair Trading with Celsius Network

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Celsius Network position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Celsius Network will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.The ability to find closely correlated positions to Celsius Network could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Celsius Network when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Celsius Network - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Celsius Network to buy it.

The correlation of Celsius Network is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Celsius Network moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Celsius Network moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.

Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Celsius Network can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Continue to Celsius Network Correlation, Celsius Network Volatility and Investing Opportunities module to complement your research on Celsius Network. Note that the Celsius Network information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Celsius Network's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.

## Other Tools for Celsius Crypto Coin

When running Celsius Network price analysis, check to measure Celsius Network's coin volatility and technical momentum indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Celsius Network is operating at the current time. Most of Celsius Network's value examination focuses on studying past and present price actions to predict the probability of Celsius Network's future price movements. You can analyze the coin against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Celsius Network's coin price. Additionally, you may evaluate how adding Celsius Network to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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