Bank First Stock Market Value

BFC
 Stock
  

USD 96.29  1.03  1.06%   

Bank First's market value is the price at which a share of Bank First stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Bank First National investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Bank First National and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Bank First over a given investment horizon. Continue to Bank First Correlation, Bank First Volatility and Bank First Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Bank First.
Symbol


Is Bank First's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bank First. If investors know Bank First will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bank First listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.14) 
Market Capitalization
878.7 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.2
Return On Assets
0.0134
Return On Equity
0.12
The market value of Bank First National is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bank First that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bank First's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bank First's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bank First's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bank First's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bank First's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Bank First value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bank First's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Bank First 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Bank First's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Bank First.
0.00
11/05/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/05/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Bank First on November 5, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Bank First National or generate 0.0% return on investment in Bank First over 30 days. Bank First is related to or competes with Affinity Bancshares. Bank First Corporation operates as a holding company for Bank First N.A More

Bank First Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Bank First's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Bank First National upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Bank First Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Bank First's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Bank First's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Bank First historical prices to predict the future Bank First's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bank First's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Bank First in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
95.4997.3299.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
90.6892.51107.05
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
76.0076.0076.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (1)
LowProjected EPSHigh
5.845.845.84
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Bank First. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Bank First's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Bank First's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Bank First National.

Bank First National Backtested Returns

Bank First appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Bank First National secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.21, which signifies that the company had 0.21% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Our standpoint towards foreseeing the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Bank First National, which you can use to evaluate the future volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Bank First's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2367, downside deviation of 1.78, and Mean Deviation of 1.43 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations.
On a scale of 0 to 100, Bank First holds a performance score of 15. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.6284, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Let's try to break down what Bank First's beta means in this case. As returns on the market increase, Bank First returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bank First will be expected to be smaller as well. Although it is vital to follow Bank First National historical returns, it is good to be conservative about what you can do with the information regarding equity current trending patterns. The philosophy towards foreseeing future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By analyzing Bank First National technical indicators, you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.38% will be sustainable into the future. Please makes use of Bank First National maximum drawdown, semi variance, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and potential upside to make a quick decision on whether Bank First price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.02  

Virtually no predictability

Bank First National has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Bank First time series from 5th of November 2022 to 20th of November 2022 and 20th of November 2022 to 5th of December 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Bank First National price movement. The serial correlation of 0.02 indicates that only 2.0% of current Bank First price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.02
Spearman Rank Test-0.64
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2.74

Bank First National lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Bank First stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Bank First's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Bank First returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Bank First stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
Share
       Timeline  

Bank First regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Bank First stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Bank First stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Bank First stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
Share
       Timeline  

Bank First Lagged Returns

When evaluating Bank First's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Bank First stock have on its future price. Bank First autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Bank First autocorrelation shows the relationship between Bank First stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Bank First National.
   Regressed Prices   
Share
       Timeline  

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in Bank First without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up the expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Pair Trading with Bank First

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Bank First position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Bank First will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Bank First

+0.82CBSHCommerce Bancshares SplitPairCorr
+0.64PNCPNC Financial Services Downward RallyPairCorr

Moving against Bank First

-0.69SBNYSignature Bank Downward RallyPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Bank First could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Bank First when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Bank First - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Bank First National to buy it.
The correlation of Bank First is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Bank First moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Bank First National moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Bank First can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Continue to Bank First Correlation, Bank First Volatility and Bank First Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Bank First. Note that the Bank First National information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Bank First's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .

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When running Bank First National price analysis, check to measure Bank First's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bank First is operating at the current time. Most of Bank First's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bank First's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bank First's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bank First to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Bank First technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Bank First technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Bank First trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...