American Mutual Fund Market Value

AMPAX
 Fund
  

USD 15.58  0.28  1.83%   

American Beacon's market value is the price at which a share of American Beacon stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of American Beacon Mid-Cap investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of American Beacon Mid-Cap and determine expected loss or profit from investing in American Beacon over a given investment horizon. Please continue to American Beacon Correlation, American Beacon Volatility and American Beacon Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on American Beacon.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between American Beacon's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine American Beacon value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Beacon's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

American Beacon 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to American Beacon's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of American Beacon.
0.00
08/29/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
09/28/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in American Beacon on August 29, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding American Beacon Mid-Cap or generate 0.0% return on investment in American Beacon over 30 days. American Beacon is related to or competes with Alcoa Corp. The investment seeks long-term capital appreciation and current income More

American Beacon Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure American Beacon's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess American Beacon Mid-Cap upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

American Beacon Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for American Beacon's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as American Beacon's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use American Beacon historical prices to predict the future American Beacon's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of American Beacon's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of American Beacon in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
14.1815.5816.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
13.6815.0816.48
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
13.6015.0016.40
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.6317.1417.89
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as American Beacon. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against American Beacon's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, American Beacon's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in American Beacon Mid-Cap.

American Beacon Mid-Cap Backtested Returns

American Beacon Mid-Cap secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0394, which signifies that the fund had -0.0394% of return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Macroaxis philosophy in foreseeing the risk of any fund is to look at both systematic and unsystematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. American Beacon Mid-Cap exposes twenty-six different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility that cannot be diversified away. Please be advised to confirm American Beacon Mid-Cap risk adjusted performance of (0.02332), and Mean Deviation of 1.11 to double-check the risk estimate we provide.
The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0175, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. Let's try to break down what American's beta means in this case. As returns on the market increase, American Beacon returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding American Beacon will be expected to be smaller as well. Even though it is essential to pay attention to American Beacon Mid-Cap historical returns, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity current trending patterns. Our philosophy in foreseeing any fund's future performance is to check both, its past performance charts as well as the business as a whole, including all available technical indicators. American Beacon Mid-Cap exposes twenty-six different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate its performance.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.64  

Very good reverse predictability

American Beacon Mid-Cap has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between American Beacon time series from 29th of August 2022 to 13th of September 2022 and 13th of September 2022 to 28th of September 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of American Beacon Mid-Cap price movement. The serial correlation of -0.64 indicates that roughly 64.0% of current American Beacon price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.64
Spearman Rank Test-0.25
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.38

American Beacon Mid-Cap lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is American Beacon mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting American Beacon's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of American Beacon returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that American Beacon mutual fund has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
Share
       Timeline  

American Beacon regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If American Beacon mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if American Beacon mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in American Beacon mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
Share
       Timeline  

American Beacon Lagged Returns

When evaluating American Beacon's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of American Beacon mutual fund have on its future price. American Beacon autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, American Beacon autocorrelation shows the relationship between American Beacon mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in American Beacon Mid-Cap.
   Regressed Prices   
Share
       Timeline  

Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards American Beacon in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, American Beacon's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from American Beacon options trading.

Pair Trading with American Beacon

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if American Beacon position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in American Beacon will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with American Beacon

+0.72MSFTMicrosoft Corp TrendingPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to American Beacon could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace American Beacon when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back American Beacon - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling American Beacon Mid-Cap to buy it.
The correlation of American Beacon is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as American Beacon moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if American Beacon Mid-Cap moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for American Beacon can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Please continue to American Beacon Correlation, American Beacon Volatility and American Beacon Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on American Beacon. Note that the American Beacon Mid-Cap information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other American Beacon's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.

Complementary Tools for American Mutual Fund analysis

When running American Beacon Mid-Cap price analysis, check to measure American Beacon's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Beacon is operating at the current time. Most of American Beacon's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Beacon's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Beacon's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Beacon to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Price Exposure Probability
Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets
Go
Bond Analysis
Evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios.
Go
Cryptocurrency Center
Build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency
Go
Global Correlations
Find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets
Go
Crypto Correlations
Use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins
Go
Headlines Timeline
Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity
Go
Correlation Analysis
Reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated
Go
My Watchlist Analysis
Analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like
Go
Content Syndication
Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal
Go
Portfolio Rebalancing
Analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets
Go
Portfolio Rebalancing
Analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets
Go
Portfolio Manager
State of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital
Go
American Beacon technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of American Beacon technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of American Beacon trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...