Archer Stock Market Value

ACHR
 Stock
  

USD 4.84  0.06  1.26%   

Archer Aviation's market value is the price at which a share of Archer Aviation stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Archer Aviation investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Archer Aviation and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Archer Aviation over a given investment horizon. Please continue to Archer Aviation Hype Analysis, Archer Aviation Correlation, Archer Aviation Valuation, Archer Aviation Volatility, as well as analyze Archer Aviation Alpha and Beta and Archer Aviation Performance.
Symbol


Is Archer Aviation's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Archer Aviation. If investors know Archer will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Archer Aviation listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
B
Return On Assets
-0.64
Return On Equity
-0.91
The market value of Archer Aviation is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Archer that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Archer Aviation's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Archer Aviation's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Archer Aviation's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Archer Aviation's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Archer Aviation's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Archer Aviation value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Archer Aviation's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Archer Aviation 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Archer Aviation's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Archer Aviation.
0.00
06/14/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 2 days
08/13/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Archer Aviation on June 14, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Archer Aviation or generate 0.0% return on investment in Archer Aviation over 60 days. Archer Aviation is related to or competes with Alphabet, Pfizer, Intel Corp, Walmart, Travelers Companies, Home Depot, and 3M. Archer Aviation Inc., an urban air mobility company, engages in designs, develops, manufactures, and operates electric v...More

Archer Aviation Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Archer Aviation's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Archer Aviation upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Archer Aviation Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Archer Aviation's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Archer Aviation's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Archer Aviation historical prices to predict the future Archer Aviation's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Archer Aviation's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Archer Aviation in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.254.9211.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.737.1413.55
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.094.3510.76
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
14.0014.5015.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Archer Aviation. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Archer Aviation's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Archer Aviation's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Archer Aviation.

Archer Aviation Backtested Returns

Archer Aviation appears to be relatively risky, given 3 months investment horizon. Archer Aviation secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0799, which signifies that the company had 0.0799% of return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Our philosophy in foreseeing the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. By analyzing Archer Aviation technical indicators you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.51% is justified by implied risk. Please makes use of Archer Aviation's risk adjusted performance of 0.156, and Mean Deviation of 4.93 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations.
On a scale of 0 to 100, Archer Aviation holds a performance score of 6. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.8313, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Archer's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Archer Aviation will likely underperform. Although it is vital to follow Archer Aviation historical returns, it is good to be conservative about what you can do with the information regarding equity current trending patterns. The philosophy in foreseeing future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Archer Aviation, which you can use to evaluate the performance of the firm. Please makes use of Archer Aviation treynor ratio, and the relationship between the coefficient of variation and semi variance to make a quick decision on whether Archer Aviation price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.85  

Excellent reverse predictability

Archer Aviation has excellent reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Archer Aviation time series from 14th of June 2022 to 14th of July 2022 and 14th of July 2022 to 13th of August 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Archer Aviation price movement. The serial correlation of -0.85 indicates that around 85.0% of current Archer Aviation price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.85
Spearman Rank Test-0.77
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.3

Archer Aviation lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Archer Aviation stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Archer Aviation's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Archer Aviation returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Archer Aviation stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
Share
       Timeline  

Archer Aviation regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Archer Aviation stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Archer Aviation stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Archer Aviation stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
Share
       Timeline  

Archer Aviation Lagged Returns

When evaluating Archer Aviation's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Archer Aviation stock have on its future price. Archer Aviation autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Archer Aviation autocorrelation shows the relationship between Archer Aviation stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Archer Aviation.
   Regressed Prices   
Share
       Timeline  

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in Archer Aviation without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate.risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Pair Trading with Archer Aviation

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Archer Aviation position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Archer Aviation will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Archer Aviation could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Archer Aviation when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Archer Aviation - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Archer Aviation to buy it.
The correlation of Archer Aviation is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Archer Aviation moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Archer Aviation moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Archer Aviation can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Please continue to Archer Aviation Hype Analysis, Archer Aviation Correlation, Archer Aviation Valuation, Archer Aviation Volatility, as well as analyze Archer Aviation Alpha and Beta and Archer Aviation Performance. Note that the Archer Aviation information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Archer Aviation's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.

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When running Archer Aviation price analysis, check to measure Archer Aviation's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Archer Aviation is operating at the current time. Most of Archer Aviation's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Archer Aviation's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Archer Aviation's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Archer Aviation to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Archer Aviation technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Archer Aviation technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Archer Aviation trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...