Apple Stock Market Value

AAPL
 Stock
  

USD 173.19  1.09  0.63%   

Apple's market value is the price at which a share of Apple stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Apple Inc investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Apple Inc and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Apple over a given investment horizon. Please continue to Apple Hype Analysis, Apple Correlation, Apple Valuation, Apple Volatility, as well as analyze Apple Alpha and Beta and Apple Performance.
Symbol


Is Apple's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Apple. If investors know Apple will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Apple listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.077
Market Capitalization
2765.8 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.019
Return On Assets
0.22
Return On Equity
1.63
The market value of Apple Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Apple that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Apple's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Apple's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Apple's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Apple's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Apple's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Apple value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Apple's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Apple 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Apple's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Apple.
0.00
03/18/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 4 months and 31 days
08/15/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Apple on March 18, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Apple Inc or generate 0.0% return on investment in Apple over 150 days. Apple is related to or competes with JP Morgan, Intel Corp, Cisco Systems, B of A, General Electric, Merck, and Microsoft Corp. Apple Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables, and accessories world...More

Apple Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Apple's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Apple Inc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Apple Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Apple's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Apple's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Apple historical prices to predict the future Apple's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Apple's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Apple in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
170.93173.08175.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
158.11160.26190.41
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
176.30178.44180.59
Details
21 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
145.00180.31210.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Apple. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Apple's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Apple's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Apple Inc.

Apple Inc Backtested Returns

Apple appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Apple Inc secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.12, which signifies that the company had 0.12% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Our standpoint towards foreseeing the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Apple Inc, which you can use to evaluate the future volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Apple's Downside Deviation of 2.48, risk adjusted performance of 0.1094, and Mean Deviation of 1.8 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations.
On a scale of 0 to 100, Apple holds a performance score of 8. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.5686, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Apple's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Apple will likely underperform. Although it is vital to follow Apple Inc historical returns, it is good to be conservative about what you can do with the information regarding equity current trending patterns. The philosophy towards foreseeing future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By analyzing Apple Inc technical indicators, you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.25% will be sustainable into the future. Please makes use of Apple Inc potential upside, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and skewness to make a quick decision on whether Apple price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.88  

Excellent reverse predictability

Apple Inc has excellent reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Apple time series from 18th of March 2022 to 1st of June 2022 and 1st of June 2022 to 15th of August 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Apple Inc price movement. The serial correlation of -0.88 indicates that approximately 88.0% of current Apple price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.88
Spearman Rank Test-0.71
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance130.17

Apple Inc lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Apple stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Apple's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Apple returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Apple stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
Share
       Timeline  

Apple regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Apple stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Apple stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Apple stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
Share
       Timeline  

Apple Lagged Returns

When evaluating Apple's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Apple stock have on its future price. Apple autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Apple autocorrelation shows the relationship between Apple stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Apple Inc.
   Regressed Prices   
Share
       Timeline  

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in Apple without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate.risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Pair Trading with Apple

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Apple position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Apple will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Apple

0.65KOSSKoss Cp Earnings Call  This WeekPairCorr
0.7ABSTAbsolute Software Earnings Call  Next WeekPairCorr

Moving against Apple

0.71APIAgora Inc Ads Earnings Call  TodayPairCorr
0.58SVCTFSenvest Capital Earnings Call  This WeekPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Apple could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Apple when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Apple - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Apple Inc to buy it.
The correlation of Apple is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Apple moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Apple Inc moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Apple can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Please continue to Apple Hype Analysis, Apple Correlation, Apple Valuation, Apple Volatility, as well as analyze Apple Alpha and Beta and Apple Performance. Note that the Apple Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Apple's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.

Complementary Tools for Apple Stock analysis

When running Apple Inc price analysis, check to measure Apple's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Apple is operating at the current time. Most of Apple's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Apple's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Apple's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Apple to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Apple technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Apple technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Apple trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...