Is Carnival (NYSE:CCL) outlook still optimistic?


USD 9.40  0.24  2.49%   

While some traders are getting carried away by overanalyzing consumer cyclical space, it is reasonable to summarize Carnival Corp against current market trends. As we have suggested previously, Carnival Corp is beginning its pull down as stakeholders shift to be more bearish due to the increased sector volatility. Carnival Corp hyperactively responds to market trends. A great deal of the actions of the company stock price movements has been a reflection of what is happening in the market overall. Steady fundamental indicators of the company may denote signs of medium-term price drift for stakeholders. The next fiscal year end is expected on the 19th of December 2022. The stock continues to experience above-average trading activities.
Published over two months ago
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Carnival Corp's average rating is Hold from 13 analysts. Do analysts base this consensus on technical analyses? We know that typical technical analysis utilizes price momentum, patterns, and trends looking at historical prices. It aims to identify signals based on Carnival Corp market sentiment investors' perception of the future value of Carnival. Let us look at a few aspects of Carnival technical analysis.
Using predictive technical analysis, we will analyze different prices and returns patterns and diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Carnival. In general, we focus on analyzing Carnival stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environment and drivers. We also apply predictive analytics to build Carnival's daily price indicators and compare them against related drivers such as momentum indicators and various other types of predictive indicators. Using this methodology combined with a more conventional technical analysis and fundamental analysis, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Carnival's intrinsic value. In addition to deriving basic predictive indicators for Carnival, we also check how macroeconomic factors affect Carnival price patterns. Please read more on our technical analysis page or use our predictive modules below to complement your research.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Carnival's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Carnival in the context of predictive analytics.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Carnival. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Carnival's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Carnival's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Carnival.

How does Carnival Stands against Peers?

Analyzing Carnival competition or peers my help you to expand the diversification possibilities of your existing portfolios and to get a better perspective on locking in new positions. Try to analyze the advantages of investing in traded instruments related to Carnival across multiple sectors and thematic ideas. A good competitive analysis can cover a lot of different areas. But what areas to choose depends on who you are. The more exhaustive you are in your analysis, the more effective your competitive analysis will be.
Check out Carnival Competition Details

What do experts say?

Stock analysis is a method for investors and traders to make buying and selling decisions. By studying and evaluating past and current data, investors and traders attempt to gain an edge in the markets by making informed decisions.
It is good to see analyst projects for Carnival, but it might be worth checking our own buy vs. sell analysis

Is Carnival valued accurately by the market?

The entity has a beta of 2.6237. Let's try to break down what Carnival's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Carnival Corp will likely underperform. The beta indicator helps investors understand whether Carnival Corp moves in the same direction as the rest of the market, and how volatile (i.e., risky) it is compared to the market (i.e., selected benchmark). In other words, if Carnival deviates very little from the market, it does not add much risk to the portfolio, but it also doesn't increase the expected returns.
The new Carnival Corp price pull down could raise concerns from stakeholders as the firm is trading at a share price of 7.03 on 236,643,700 in volume. The company directors and management were unable to exploit market volatilities in September. However, diversifying your overall positions with Carnival Corp can protect your principal portfolio during market swings. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 90 days investing horizon is currently 5.31. The very high volatility is mostly attributed to the latest market swings and not very good earnings reports from some of the Carnival Corp partners.

Will Carnival Corp continue to go bonkers?

Carnival Corp new standard deviation upsurges over 5.35.
As of the 2nd of October, Carnival Corp shows the mean deviation of 4.01, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.035401). Carnival Corp technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to break down nineteen technical drivers for Carnival Corp, which can be compared to its rivals. Please confirm Carnival Corp value at risk, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and semi variance to decide if Carnival Corp is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 7.03 per share. Given that Carnival Corp has jensen alpha of 0.1028, we suggest you to validate Carnival Corp's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Our Takeaway on Carnival Corp Investment

While some companies in the travel services industry are either recovering or due for a correction, Carnival Corp may not be performing as strong as the other in terms of long-term growth potentials. In closing, as of the 2nd of October 2022, our research shows that Carnival Corp is a rather slightly risky investment opportunity with a average odds of financial turmoil in the next two years. From a slightly different view, the entity currently appears to be undervalued. Our concluding 90 days buy-hold-sell recommendation on the company is Cautious Hold.

Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Gabriel Shpitalnik do not own shares of Carnival. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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