Will Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) continue to pull down in October?

AAPL
 Stock
  

USD 148.31  0.28  0.19%   

As many millenniums are trying to avoid technology space, it makes sense to summarize Apple Inc a little further and try to understand its current market patterns. As we have suggested previously, Apple is beginning its pull down as stakeholders shift to be more bearish due to the increased sector volatility. A great deal of the actions of the company stock price movements has been a reflection of what is happening in the market overall. Steady basic indicators of the company may also denote signals of medium-term gains for Apple stakeholders. The next fiscal year end is expected on the 27th of October 2022. The stock continues to experience above-average trading activities.
Published over two months ago
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The company's average rating is Buy from 21 analysts. Do analysts base this consensus on technical analyses? We know that typical technical analysis utilizes price momentum, patterns, and trends looking at historical prices. It aims to identify signals based on Apple market sentiment investors' perception of the future value of Apple. Let us look at a few aspects of Apple technical analysis.
Using predictive technical analysis, we will analyze different prices and returns patterns and diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Apple Inc. In general, we focus on analyzing Apple stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environment and drivers. We also apply predictive analytics to build Apple's daily price indicators and compare them against related drivers such as momentum indicators and various other types of predictive indicators. Using this methodology combined with a more conventional technical analysis and fundamental analysis, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Apple's intrinsic value. In addition to deriving basic predictive indicators for Apple, we also check how macroeconomic factors affect Apple price patterns. Please read more on our technical analysis page or use our predictive modules below to complement your research.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Apple's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Apple in the context of predictive analytics.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Apple. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Apple's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Apple's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Apple Inc.

How does Apple Stands against Peers?

Analyzing Apple competition or peers my help you to expand the diversification possibilities of your existing portfolios and to get a better perspective on locking in new positions. Try to analyze the advantages of investing in traded instruments related to Apple across multiple sectors and thematic ideas. A good competitive analysis can cover a lot of different areas. But what areas to choose depends on who you are. The more exhaustive you are in your analysis, the more effective your competitive analysis will be.
Check out Apple Competition Details

What do experts say?

Stock analysis is a method for investors and traders to make buying and selling decisions. By studying and evaluating past and current data, investors and traders attempt to gain an edge in the markets by making informed decisions.
It is good to see analyst projects for Apple, but it might be worth checking our own buy vs. sell analysis

Closer look at Apple Semi Deviation

Apple Inc has current Semi Deviation of 1.67. Semi-deviation provides a good measure of downside risk for a equity or a portfolio. It is similar to standard deviation, but it only looks at periods where the returns are less than the target or average level.

Semi-deviation is the square root of semi-variance. Semi-variance is calculated by averaging the deviations of returns that have a result that is less than the mean.

Semi Deviation 
=  
SQRT(SV) 
 = 
1.67
SQRT = Square root notation
SV =   Apple semi variance of returns over selected period

How will Apple stakeholders react to the next pull down?

New jensen alpha is at 0.27. Apple Inc has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.31 and kurtosis of 0.96. However, we advise all investors to independently investigate Apple Inc to ensure all accessible information is consistent with the expectations about its upside potential and future expected returns. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Apple's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Apple's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Our Conclusion on Apple

While some other entities in the consumer electronics industry are either recovering or due for a correction, Apple may not be performing as strong as the other in terms of long-term growth potentials. With an optimistic outlook on your 90 days horizon, it may be a good time to pick up new shares of Apple or increase your existing holdings in the Stock as it seems the potential growth has not yet been fully factored into the current price. Please use our equity advice module to run different scenarios to ensure your current risk level and investment horizon are fully reflective of your current investing preferences in regards to Apple.

Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Gabriel Shpitalnik do not own shares of Apple Inc. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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