McDonalds Piotroski F Score

MCD
 Stock
  

USD 269.89  3.51  1.28%   

This module uses fundamental data of McDonalds to approximate its Piotroski F score. McDonalds F Score is determined by combining nine binary scores representing 3 distinct fundamental categories of McDonalds. These three categories are profitability, efficiency, and funding. Some research analysts and sophisticated value traders use Piotroski F Score to find opportunities outside of the conventional market and financial statement analysis.They believe that some of the new information about McDonalds financial position does not get reflected in the current market share price suggesting a possibility of arbitrage. Additionally, see McDonalds Altman Z Score, McDonalds Correlation, McDonalds Valuation, as well as analyze McDonalds Alpha and Beta and McDonalds Hype Analysis.
  
McDonalds Long Term Debt to Equity is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Long Term Debt to Equity was at 3.06. The current year Debt to Equity Ratio is expected to grow to 3.31, whereas Debt Non Current is forecasted to decline to about 41.9 B. McDonalds Long Term Debt to Equity is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Long Term Debt to Equity was at 3.06. The current year Calculated Tax Rate is expected to grow to 26.50, whereas Operating Margin is forecasted to decline to 37.23.
At this time, it appears that McDonalds' Piotroski F Score is Healthy. Although some professional money managers and academia have recently criticized Piotroski F-Score model, we still consider it an effective method of predicting the state of the financial strength of any organization that is not predisposed to accounting gimmicks and manipulations. Using this score on the criteria to originate an efficient long-term portfolio can help investors filter out the purely speculative stocks or equities playing fundamental games by manipulating their earnings..
6.0
Piotroski F Score - Healthy
1
Current Return On AssetsPositiveFocus
2
Change in Return on AssetsIncreasedFocus
3
Cash Flow Return on AssetsPositiveFocus
4
Current Quality of Earnings (accrual)DecreasingFocus
5
Asset Turnover GrowthIncreaseFocus
6
Current Ratio ChangeIncreaseFocus
7
Long Term Debt Over Assets ChangeLower LeverageFocus
8
Change In Outstending SharesIncreaseFocus
9
Change in Gross MarginNo ChangeFocus

McDonalds Piotroski F Score Drivers

The critical factor to consider when applying the Piotroski F Score to McDonalds is to make sure McDonalds is not a subject of accounting manipulations and runs a healthy internal audit department. So, if McDonalds' auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back. Below are the main accounts that are used in the Piotroski F Score model. By analyzing the historical trends of the mains drivers, investors can determine if McDonalds' financial numbers are properly reported.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Weighted Average Shares Diluted917.3 M751.8 M
Fairly Up
Decreasing
Slightly volatile
Weighted Average Shares909.8 M746.3 M
Fairly Up
Decreasing
Slightly volatile
Return on Average Assets15.9614.1719
Moderately Up
Decreasing
Stable
Net Cash Flow from Operations7.7 B9.1 B
Fairly Down
Increasing
Slightly volatile
Current Liabilities3.6 BB
Fairly Down
Increasing
Slightly volatile
Total Liabilities63.1 B58.5 B
Significantly Up
Increasing
Slightly volatile
Gross Margin55.6564.2263
Fairly Down
Increasing
Slightly volatile
Total Debt42.5 B49.3 B
Fairly Down
Increasing
Slightly volatile
Asset Turnover0.620.4362
Significantly Up
Decreasing
Slightly volatile
Current AssetsB7.1 B
Fairly Down
Increasing
Stable
Total Assets44.5 B53.9 B
Significantly Down
Increasing
Slightly volatile

McDonalds F Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to project the various growth rates. Understanding the correlation between McDonalds' different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards McDonalds in a much-optimized way.

About McDonalds Piotroski F Score

F-Score is one of many stock grading techniques developed by Joseph Piotroski, a professor of accounting at the Stanford University Graduate School of Business. It was published in 2002 under the paper titled Value Investing: The Use of Historical Financial Statement Information to Separate Winners from Losers. Piotroski F Score is based on binary analysis strategy in which stocks are given one point for passing 9 very simple fundamental tests, and zero point otherwise. According to Mr. Piotroski's analysis, his F-Score binary model can help to predict the performance of low price-to-book stocks.

Weighted Average Shares

909.77 Million

McDonalds Weighted Average Shares is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Weighted Average Shares was at 746.3 Million

McDonalds Current Valuation Drivers

We derive many important indicators used in calculating different scores of McDonalds from analyzing McDonalds' financial statements. These drivers represent accounts that assess McDonalds' ability to generate profits relative to its revenue, operating costs, and shareholders' equity. Below are some of McDonalds' important valuation drivers and their relationship over time.
201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Net Income Per Employee22.09 K28.21 K29.39 K23.59 K37.73 K40.7 K
Revenue Per Employee97.11 K100.12 K102.81 K95.78 K116.11 K94.59 K
Average Assets32.82 B33.32 B46.5 B50.96 B52.39 B49.73 B
Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA10.54 B9.95 B10.38 B8.71 B11.67 B10.24 B
Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization USD10.86 B10.28 B10.76 B9.11 B12.18 B12.26 B
Earnings before Tax8.57 B7.82 B8.02 B6.14 B9.13 B9.27 B
Average Equity(2.69 B)(5.91 B)(7.54 B)(8.76 B)(5.83 B)(5.98 B)
Enterprise Value163.16 B166.21 B193.08 B207.49 B244.82 B215.54 B
Free Cash Flow3.86 B4.39 B5.88 B4.65 B7.21 B6.54 B
Invested Capital55.61 B57.72 B87.87 B91.69 B91.69 B82.18 B
Invested Capital Average53.26 B57.19 B84.86 B90.14 B90.7 B80.68 B
Market Capitalization137.21 B136.89 B148.82 B159.89 B200.31 B177.62 B
Tangible Asset Value31.42 B30.48 B44.83 B49.85 B51.07 B47.93 B
Working Capital2.44 B1.08 B(63.1 M)62 M3.13 B3.38 B

McDonalds ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, McDonalds' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to McDonalds' managers, analysts, and investors.
Environment Score
Governance Score
Social Score

About McDonalds Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze McDonalds's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of McDonalds using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of McDonalds based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
McDonalds Corporation operates and franchises McDonalds restaurants in the United States and internationally. McDonalds Corporation was founded in 1940 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois. McDonalds Corp operates under Restaurants classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 100000 people.

McDonalds Investors Sentiment

The influence of McDonalds' investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in McDonalds. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to McDonalds' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in McDonalds. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding McDonalds can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around McDonalds. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
McDonalds' market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for McDonalds' and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average McDonalds' news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on McDonalds.

McDonalds Implied Volatility

    
  31.24  
McDonalds' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of McDonalds stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if McDonalds' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that McDonalds stock will not fluctuate a lot when McDonalds' options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards McDonalds in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, McDonalds' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from McDonalds options trading.

Becoming a Better Investor with Macroaxis

Macroaxis puts the power of mathematics on your side. We analyze your portfolios and positions such as McDonalds using complex mathematical models and algorithms, but make them easy to understand. There is no real person involved in your portfolio analysis. We perform a number of calculations to compute absolute and relative portfolio volatility, correlation between your assets, value at risk, expected return as well as over 100 different fundamental and technical indicators.

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Additionally, see McDonalds Altman Z Score, McDonalds Correlation, McDonalds Valuation, as well as analyze McDonalds Alpha and Beta and McDonalds Hype Analysis. Note that the McDonalds information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other McDonalds' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.

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Is McDonalds' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of McDonalds. If investors know McDonalds will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about McDonalds listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.06) 
Market Capitalization
199.8 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
(0.05) 
Return On Assets
0.13
Return On Equity
-100 K
The market value of McDonalds is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of McDonalds that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of McDonalds' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is McDonalds' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because McDonalds' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect McDonalds' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between McDonalds' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine McDonalds value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, McDonalds' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.