Jefferies Probability Of Bankruptcy

JEF
 Stock
  

USD 38.11  0.44  1.17%   

Jefferies Financial Probability Of Bankruptcy is used to show its chance of financial distress over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. Jefferies Financial Probability Of Bankruptcy is determined by interpolating and adjusting Jefferies Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Jefferies balance sheet as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Please see Jefferies Financial Piotroski F Score and Jefferies Financial Altman Z Score analysis.
  
Jefferies Financial Revenue Per Employee is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Revenue Per Employee was at 311,618. The current year Average Assets is expected to grow to about 49.1 B, whereas Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA are forecasted to decline to about 1.1 B.

Jefferies Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

Jefferies Financial's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
 2019 2020 2022 (projected)
Consolidated Income768.41 M1.68 B259.5 M
Direct Expenses338.59 M470.87 M5.97 B
Probability Of Bankruptcy 
 = 
Normalized 
 
Z-Score 
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Jefferies Financial Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  42%  
Most of Jefferies Financial's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Jefferies Financial Group is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Jefferies Financial probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Jefferies Financial odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Jefferies Financial Group financial health.
Is Jefferies Financial's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Jefferies Financial. If investors know Jefferies will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Jefferies Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.48) 
Market Capitalization
8.7 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
(0.21) 
Return On Assets
0.0172
Return On Equity
0.0924
The market value of Jefferies Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Jefferies that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Jefferies Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Jefferies Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Jefferies Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Jefferies Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Jefferies Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Jefferies Financial value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Jefferies Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Jefferies Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Jefferies Financial is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Ford stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Jefferies Financial's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Jefferies Financial's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Jefferies Financial's interrelated accounts and indicators.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Compare to competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Jefferies Financial Group has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 42.0%. This is 15.88% lower than that of the Financial Services sector and 4.22% lower than that of the Capital Markets industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 5.45% lower than that of the firm.

Jefferies Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Jefferies Financial's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Jefferies Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Jefferies Financial by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Jefferies Financial is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

Jefferies Financial Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Return on Average Assets0.280.372.01.512.950.38
Gross Margin31.9238.491.7994.3794.2544.47
Total Debt18.59 B15.72 B18.01 B31.32 B34.53 B20.56 B
Total Liabilities34.82 B36.94 B39.76 B43.59 B49.73 B32.27 B
Current Liabilities8.34 B10.13 B11.12 B12.37 B13.16 B9.21 B
Total Assets45.07 B47.17 B49.46 B53.12 B60.4 B41.57 B
Current Assets12.95 B14.96 B18.52 B21.37 B27.25 B13.38 B
Net Cash Flow from Operations608.85 M1.07 B(827.84 M)2.08 B1.57 B1.16 B
Weighted Average Shares371.21 M368.2 M310.69 M285.69 M263.6 M325.82 M
Weighted Average Shares Diluted371.52 M370.7 M317.03 M290.49 M271.5 M328.69 M

Jefferies Financial ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Jefferies Financial's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Jefferies Financial's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environment Score
Governance Score
Social Score

Jefferies Fundamentals

About Jefferies Financial Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Jefferies Financial Group's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Jefferies Financial using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Jefferies Financial Group based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Jefferies Financial Group Inc. engages in the investment banking and capital markets, and asset management businesses in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia. Jefferies Financial Group Inc. was founded in 1962 and is headquartered in New York, New York. Jefferies Financial operates under Capital Markets classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 5347 people.

Jefferies Financial Investors Sentiment

The influence of Jefferies Financial's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Jefferies. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Jefferies Financial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Jefferies. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Jefferies can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Jefferies Financial Group. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Jefferies Financial's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Jefferies Financial's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Jefferies Financial's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Jefferies Financial.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Jefferies Financial in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Jefferies Financial's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Jefferies Financial options trading.

Becoming a Better Investor with Macroaxis

Macroaxis puts the power of mathematics on your side. We analyze your portfolios and positions such as Jefferies Financial using complex mathematical models and algorithms, but make them easy to understand. There is no real person involved in your portfolio analysis. We perform a number of calculations to compute absolute and relative portfolio volatility, correlation between your assets, value at risk, expected return as well as over 100 different fundamental and technical indicators.

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Please see Jefferies Financial Piotroski F Score and Jefferies Financial Altman Z Score analysis. Note that the Jefferies Financial information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Jefferies Financial's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

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When running Jefferies Financial price analysis, check to measure Jefferies Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Jefferies Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Jefferies Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Jefferies Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Jefferies Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Jefferies Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Jefferies Financial's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Jefferies Financial. If investors know Jefferies will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Jefferies Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.48) 
Market Capitalization
8.7 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
(0.21) 
Return On Assets
0.0172
Return On Equity
0.0924
The market value of Jefferies Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Jefferies that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Jefferies Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Jefferies Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Jefferies Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Jefferies Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Jefferies Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Jefferies Financial value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Jefferies Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.