Hexcel Probability Of Bankruptcy

HXL
 Stock
  

USD 62.05  0.78  1.27%   

Hexcel Probability Of Bankruptcy is used to show its chance of financial distress over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. Hexcel Probability Of Bankruptcy is determined by interpolating and adjusting Hexcel Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Hexcel balance sheet as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Please check Hexcel Piotroski F Score and Hexcel Altman Z Score analysis.
  
Hexcel Average Equity is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Average Equity is estimated at 1.5 Billion. Enterprise Value is expected to hike to about 5.6 B this year, although the value of Average Assets will most likely fall to nearly 2.9 B.

Hexcel Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

Hexcel's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
Probability Of Bankruptcy 
 = 
Normalized 
 
Z-Score 
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Hexcel Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  9%  
Most of Hexcel's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Hexcel is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Hexcel probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Hexcel odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Hexcel financial health.
Is Hexcel's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hexcel. If investors know Hexcel will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hexcel listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
1.9
Market Capitalization
5.2 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.093
Return On Assets
0.0351
Return On Equity
0.0736
The market value of Hexcel is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hexcel that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hexcel's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hexcel's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hexcel's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hexcel's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hexcel's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Hexcel value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hexcel's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Hexcel Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Hexcel is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Ford stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Hexcel's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Hexcel's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Hexcel's interrelated accounts and indicators.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Compare to competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Hexcel has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 9.0%. This is 78.86% lower than that of the Aerospace & Defense sector and 75.12% lower than that of the Industrials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 77.4% higher than that of the company.
Chance Of Financial Distress
Less than 9
Hexcel has less than 9 (%) percent chance of experiencing financial distress in the next two years of operations. The calculation of odds of distress for Hexcel stock is tightly coupled with the Probability of Bankruptcy. It complements the equity performance score by supplying investors with insight into company financials without requiring them to know too much about all of the complex accounting and financial indicators surrounding the entity. More Info

Hexcel Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Return on Average Assets10.969.8710.31.050.560.57
Asset Turnover0.760.780.790.50.460.47
Gross Margin27.9626.5327.1915.9518.8824.52
Total Debt809.9 M956.8 M1.06 B926.4 M823.3 M804.92 M
Total Liabilities1.29 B1.5 B1.68 B1.41 B1.33 B1.15 B
Current Liabilities262.1 M326.7 M322.6 M183.1 M247.6 M241.71 M
Total Assets2.78 B2.82 B3.13 B2.92 B2.82 B2.44 B
Current Assets656.7 M675.8 M704.9 M535.9 M616.3 M582.83 M
Net Cash Flow from Operations428.7 M421.4 M491.1 M264.3 M151.7 M205.45 M
Weighted Average Shares90.6 M87.9 M84.9 M83.8 M84.1 M97.97 M
Weighted Average Shares Diluted91.9 M89 M85.8 M84 M84.6 M99.05 M

Hexcel Fundamentals

About Hexcel Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Hexcel's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Hexcel using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Hexcel based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Hexcel Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and markets structural materials for use in commercial aerospace, space and defense, and industrial markets. Hexcel Corporation was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Stamford, Connecticut. Hexcel Corp operates under Aerospace Defense classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 4863 people.

Hexcel Investors Sentiment

The influence of Hexcel's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Hexcel. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Hexcel's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Hexcel. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Hexcel can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Hexcel. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Hexcel's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Hexcel's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Hexcel's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Hexcel.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Hexcel in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Hexcel's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Hexcel options trading.

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Please check Hexcel Piotroski F Score and Hexcel Altman Z Score analysis. You can also try Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.

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When running Hexcel price analysis, check to measure Hexcel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hexcel is operating at the current time. Most of Hexcel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hexcel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hexcel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hexcel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Hexcel's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hexcel. If investors know Hexcel will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hexcel listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
1.9
Market Capitalization
5.2 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.093
Return On Assets
0.0351
Return On Equity
0.0736
The market value of Hexcel is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hexcel that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hexcel's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hexcel's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hexcel's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hexcel's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hexcel's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Hexcel value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hexcel's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.