Astronics Z Score

ATRO
 Stock
  

USD 9.13  0.03  0.33%   

Altman Z Score is one of the simplest fundamental models to determine how likely your company is to fail. The module uses available fundamental data of a given equity to approximate the Altman Z score. Altman Z Score is determined by evaluating five fundamental price points available from the company's current public disclosure documents. Please continue to Astronics Piotroski F Score and Astronics Valuation analysis.
  
Astronics Invested Capital is quite stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Invested Capital is estimated at 505.43 Million. Invested Capital Average is expected to rise to about 511.5 M this year, although the value of Capital Expenditure will most likely fall to (6.5 M). Astronics Cost of Revenue is quite stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Cost of Revenue is estimated at 441.89 Million. Gross Profit is expected to rise to about 67.1 M this year, although the value of Direct Expenses will most likely fall to about 366.4 M.

Astronics Z Score Analysis

Astronics' Z-Score is a simple linear, multi-factor model that measures the financial health and economic stability of a company. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm going into bankruptcy within next 24 months or two fiscal years from the day stated on the accounting statements used to calculate it. The model uses five fundamental business ratios that are weighted according to algorithm of Professor Edward Altman who developed it in the late 1960s at New York University..
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Enterprise Value1.02 B568.38 M551.87 M831.7 M
Average Equity438.9 M291.6 M255.85 M284.21 M
Z Score 
 = 
Sum Of  
 
5 Factors 
More About Z Score | All Equity Analysis

Current Astronics Z Score

    
  0.6  
Most of Astronics' fundamental indicators, such as Z Score, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Astronics is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
First Factor
 = 
1.2 * (
Working Capital
/
Total Assets )
Second Factor
 = 
1.4 * (
Retained Earnings
/
Total Assets )
Thrid Factor
 = 
3.3 * (
EBITAD
/
Total Assets )
Fouth Factor
 = 
0.6 * (
Market Value of Equity
/
Total Liabilities )
Fifth Factor
 = 
0.99 * (
Revenue
/
Total Assets )

Astronics Z Score Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Astronics is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Ford stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Z Score. Since Astronics' main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Astronics' historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Astronics' interrelated accounts and indicators.
To calculate Z-Score one would need to know current working capital of the company, its total assets, and liabilities, amount of latest retained earnings as well as earnings before interest and tax. Z-Score can be used to compare the odds of bankruptcy of companies in a similar line of business or firms operating in the same industry. Companies with Z-Scores above 3.1 are generally considered to be stable and healthy with a low probability of bankruptcy. Scores that fall between 1.8 and 3.1 lie in a so-called 'grey area' with scores of less than 1, indicating the high probability of distress. Z Score is used widely by financial auditors, accountants, money managers, loan processers, wealth advisers, as well as day traders. In the last 25 years, many financial models that utilize z score has been proved to be successful as a predictor of corporate bankruptcy.
Compare to competition

In accordance with the company's disclosures, Astronics has a Z Score of 0.6. This is 85.26% lower than that of the Aerospace & Defense sector and 74.68% lower than that of the Industrials industry. The z score for all United States stocks is 93.12% higher than that of the company.

Astronics Current Valuation Drivers

We derive many important indicators used in calculating different scores of Astronics from analyzing Astronics' financial statements. These drivers represent accounts that assess Astronics' ability to generate profits relative to its revenue, operating costs, and shareholders' equity. Below are some of Astronics' important valuation drivers and their relationship over time.
201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Net Income Per Employee7.87 K17.33 K18.58 K(52.48 K)(12.18 K)(12.5 K)
Revenue Per Employee249.79 K297.5 K275.96 K227.82 K211.86 K216.84 K
Average Assets651.92 M770.67 M777.12 M691.44 M606.97 M636.3 M
Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA44.46 M76.99 M88.14 M(92.37 M)(7.46 M)(7.65 M)
Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization USD57.42 M97.02 M111.7 M(69.31 M)14.05 M14.42 M
Earnings before Tax24.99 M52.28 M68.3 M(112.41 M)(26.96 M)(27.67 M)
Average Equity340.27 M361.35 M438.9 M291.6 M255.85 M284.21 M
Enterprise Value1.32 B1.24 B1.02 B568.38 M551.87 M831.7 M
Free Cash Flow24.3 M38.56 M30.61 M29.88 M(11.56 M)(11.87 M)
Invested Capital607.78 M605.57 M571.69 M512.06 M489.96 M505.43 M
Invested Capital Average507.42 M630.59 M525.68 M566.01 M507.52 M511.47 M
Market Capitalization1.16 B983.99 M862.9 M407.49 M377.52 M530.92 M
Tangible Asset Value456.82 M516.3 M510.45 M451.58 M456.54 M458.23 M
Working Capital212.44 M246.08 M222.44 M223.21 M221.25 M212.29 M

Astronics Institutional Holders

Institutional Holdings refers to the ownership stake in Astronics that is held by large financial organizations, pension funds or endowments. Institutions may purchase large blocks of Astronics' outstanding shares and can exert considerable influence upon its management. Institutional holders may also work to push the share price higher once they own the stock. Extensive social media coverage, TV shows, articles in high-profile magazines, and presentations at investor conferences help move the stock higher, increasing Astronics' value.
Security TypeSharesValue
Zwj Investment Counsel IncCommon Shares120.7 KM
Zwj Investment Counsel IncCommon Shares126.8 K3.8 M
Zwj Investment Counsel IncCommon Shares127.7 K3.9 M
Zwj Investment Counsel IncCommon Shares127.9 K4.1 M
Zwj Investment Counsel IncCommon Shares149.9 K5.1 M
Zwj Investment Counsel IncCommon Shares144.5 K6.5 M
Zwj Investment Counsel IncCommon Shares146.1 K4.9 M

Astronics Fundamentals

About Astronics Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Astronics's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Astronics using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Astronics based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Astronics Corporation, through its subsidiaries, designs and manufactures products for the aerospace, defense, and electronics industries in the United States, rest of North America, Asia, Europe, South America, and internationally. The company was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in East Aurora, New York. Astronics operates under Aerospace Defense classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 2100 people.

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in Astronics without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up the expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Pair Trading with Astronics

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Astronics position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Astronics will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Astronics could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Astronics when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Astronics - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Astronics to buy it.
The correlation of Astronics is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Astronics moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Astronics moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Astronics can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Please continue to Astronics Piotroski F Score and Astronics Valuation analysis. You can also try Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze depth of different equity instruments across global markets.

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Is Astronics' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Astronics. If investors know Astronics will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Astronics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.93) 
Market Capitalization
293.5 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.18
Return On Assets
(0.0441) 
Return On Equity
(0.11) 
The market value of Astronics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Astronics that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Astronics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Astronics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Astronics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Astronics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Astronics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Astronics value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Astronics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.