Huntington Stock Future Price Prediction

HII
 Stock
  

USD 240.68  9.78  4.24%   

Huntington Ingalls stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Huntington Ingalls shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Huntington Ingalls' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Huntington Ingalls and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Huntington Ingalls' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Huntington Ingalls Industries, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please check Huntington Ingalls Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Huntington Ingalls based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Huntington stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Huntington Ingalls over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.06) 
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
3.8
EPS Estimate Current Year
14.68
EPS Estimate Next Year
15.13
Wall Street Target Price
256.82
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
3.42
Using Huntington Ingalls hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Huntington Ingalls Industries from the perspective of Huntington Ingalls response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Huntington Ingalls using Huntington Ingalls' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Huntington using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Huntington Ingalls' stock price.
Huntington Ingalls Calculated Tax Rate is most likely to decrease significantly in the upcoming years. The last year's value of Calculated Tax Rate was reported at 12.54. The current PPandE Turnover is estimated to increase to 3.66, while Accrued Expenses Turnover is projected to decrease to 25.47.

Huntington Ingalls Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Huntington Ingalls' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Huntington. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Huntington Ingalls stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Huntington Ingalls may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Huntington Ingalls and may potentially protect profits, hedge Huntington Ingalls with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
219.37
Short Percent
0.027
Short Ratio
1.8
Shares Short Prior Month
641 K
50 Day MA
235.61
Shares Short
817.1 K

Huntington Ingalls Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Huntington Ingalls' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Huntington. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Huntington can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Huntington Ingalls Industries. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Huntington Ingalls' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Huntington Ingalls.

Huntington Ingalls Implied Volatility

    
  24.11  
Huntington Ingalls' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Huntington Ingalls Industries stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Huntington Ingalls' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Huntington Ingalls stock will not fluctuate a lot when Huntington Ingalls' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Huntington Ingalls. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Huntington Ingalls to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Huntington because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Huntington Ingalls after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 240.51  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Huntington contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Huntington Ingalls Industries will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 1.51% per day over the life of the 2022-12-16 option contract. With Huntington Ingalls trading at USD240.68, that is roughly USD3.63. If you think that the market is fully incorporating Huntington Ingalls' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Huntington Ingalls Industries options at the current volatility level of 24.11%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Huntington Ingalls' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Huntington Ingalls in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
224.46226.34264.75
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
200.00213.40225.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (3)
LowProjected EPSHigh
13.2513.6913.95
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Huntington Ingalls. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Huntington Ingalls' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Huntington Ingalls' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Huntington Ingalls.

Huntington Ingalls After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Huntington Ingalls at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Huntington Ingalls or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Huntington Ingalls, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Huntington Ingalls Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Huntington Ingalls' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Huntington Ingalls' historical news coverage. Huntington Ingalls' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 238.63 and 242.39, respectively. We have considered Huntington Ingalls' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 240.68
238.63
Downside
240.51
After-hype Price
242.39
Upside
Huntington Ingalls is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Huntington Ingalls is based on 3 months time horizon.

Huntington Ingalls Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Huntington Ingalls is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Huntington Ingalls backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Huntington Ingalls, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.10  1.86   0.17    0.04  8 Events / Month0 Events / MonthIn about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
240.68240.510.07 
109.41  

Huntington Ingalls Hype Timeline

On the 3rd of December Huntington Ingalls is traded for 240.68. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.17 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Huntington is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline with the price expected to drop to 240.51. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 109.41%. The price depreciation on the next newsis expected to be -0.07% whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.1%. The volatility of related hype on Huntington Ingalls is about 476.92% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 240.64. About 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Huntington Ingalls was currently reported as 76.39. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.23. Huntington Ingalls recorded earning per share (EPS) of 14.35. The entity last dividend was issued on the 23rd of November 2022. The firm had 1:2 split on the 5th of December 2003. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days.
Please check Huntington Ingalls Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Huntington Ingalls Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Huntington Ingalls' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Huntington Ingalls' future price movements. Getting to know how Huntington Ingalls rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Huntington Ingalls may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Huntington Ingalls Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Huntington price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Huntington using various technical indicators. When you analyze Huntington charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Huntington Ingalls Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Huntington Ingalls stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Huntington Ingalls Industries, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Huntington Ingalls based on analysis of Huntington Ingalls hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Huntington Ingalls's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Huntington Ingalls's related companies.
 2019 2020 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity0.810.891.31
Interest Coverage10.517.016.05

Story Coverage note for Huntington Ingalls

The number of cover stories for Huntington Ingalls depends on current market conditions and Huntington Ingalls' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Huntington Ingalls is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Huntington Ingalls' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Huntington Ingalls Short Properties

Huntington Ingalls' future price predictability will typically decrease when Huntington Ingalls' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Huntington Ingalls Industries often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Huntington Ingalls' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Huntington Ingalls' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding40300000.00
Cash And Short Term Investments627000000.00
Please check Huntington Ingalls Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..

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When running Huntington Ingalls price analysis, check to measure Huntington Ingalls' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Huntington Ingalls is operating at the current time. Most of Huntington Ingalls' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Huntington Ingalls' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Huntington Ingalls' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Huntington Ingalls to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Huntington Ingalls' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Huntington Ingalls. If investors know Huntington will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Huntington Ingalls listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.06) 
Market Capitalization
9.6 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.12
Return On Assets
0.0472
Return On Equity
0.22
The market value of Huntington Ingalls is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Huntington that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Huntington Ingalls' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Huntington Ingalls' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Huntington Ingalls' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Huntington Ingalls' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Huntington Ingalls' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Huntington Ingalls value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Huntington Ingalls' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.