American Stock Future Price Prediction


USD 13.16  0.14  1.08%   

American Public Education stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of American Public shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of American Public's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of American Public and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from American Public's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with American Public Education, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please continue to American Public Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of American Public based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The American stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on American Public over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
EPS Estimate Current Year
EPS Estimate Next Year
Wall Street Target Price
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
Using American Public hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of American Public Education from the perspective of American Public response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards American Public using American Public's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards American using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of American Public's stock price.
American Public Accrued Expenses Turnover is most likely to drop in the upcoming years. The last year's value of Accrued Expenses Turnover was reported at 15.93. The current Operating Margin is estimated to increase to 7.76, while PPandE Turnover is projected to decrease to 4.90.

American Public Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in American Public's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards American. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of American Public stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long American Public may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about American Public and may potentially protect profits, hedge American Public with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
Short Percent
Short Ratio
Shares Short Prior Month
862.5 K
50 Day MA
Shares Short
525.3 K

American Public Education Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to American Public's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in American. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding American can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around American Public Education. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of American Public's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about American Public.

American Public Implied Volatility

American Public's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of American Public Education stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if American Public's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that American Public stock will not fluctuate a lot when American Public's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in American Public. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in American Public to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying American because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

American Public after-hype prediction price

  $ 13.13  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of American Public's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of American Public in the context of predictive analytics.
LowReal ValueHigh
LowNext ValueHigh
4 Analysts
LowTarget PriceHigh
Estimates (3)
LowProjected EPSHigh
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as American Public. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against American Public's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, American Public's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in American Public Education.

American Public After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of American Public at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in American Public or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of American Public, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

American Public Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting American Public's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on American Public's historical news coverage. American Public's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.62 and 16.64, respectively. We have considered American Public's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 13.16
After-hype Price
American Public is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of American Public Education is based on 3 months time horizon.

American Public Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as American Public is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading American Public backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with American Public, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.44  3.50  0.03   2.23  7 Events / Month2 Events / MonthIn about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility

American Public Hype Timeline

American Public Education is presently traded for 13.16. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 2.23. American is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 13.13 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is forecasted to be 0.23% whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.44%. The volatility of related hype on American Public is about 69.07% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 15.39. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 556.6 M. Net Loss for the year was (95.58 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 246.18 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days.
Please continue to American Public Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

American Public Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to American Public's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict American Public's future price movements. Getting to know how American Public rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how American Public may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

American Public Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine American price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for American using various technical indicators. When you analyze American charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About American Public Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of American Public stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as American Public Education, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of American Public based on analysis of American Public hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to American Public's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to American Public's related companies.
 2019 2020 2021 (projected)
PPandE Turnover3.464.374.9
Calculated Tax Rate31.1327.1628.78

Story Coverage note for American Public

The number of cover stories for American Public depends on current market conditions and American Public's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that American Public is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about American Public's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

American Public Short Properties

American Public's future price predictability will typically decrease when American Public's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of American Public Education often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential American Public's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. American Public's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out4.75%
Short Percent Of Float5.79%
Float Shares15.66M
Shares Short Prior Month799.47k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day102.98k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month272.23k
Date Short Interest14th of October 2022
Please continue to American Public Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the American Public Education information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other American Public's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolio or rebalance existing positions based on mean-variance optimization algorithm.

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When running American Public Education price analysis, check to measure American Public's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Public is operating at the current time. Most of American Public's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Public's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Public's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Public to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is American Public's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Public. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about American Public listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
Market Capitalization
240.1 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
Return On Assets
Return On Equity
The market value of American Public Education is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of American that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of American Public's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is American Public's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because American Public's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect American Public's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between American Public's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine American Public value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Public's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.