Exxon Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

XOM
 Stock
  

USD 83.98  1.77  2.06%   

Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Exxon Mobil Corp is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Exxon buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Exxon positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Exxon's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
The advice is provided from Exxon's buy-and-hold perspective. Check out Exxon Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Exxon and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Exxon Mobil Corp.

Execute Exxon Buy or Sell Advice

The Exxon recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Exxon Mobil Corp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Exxon Mobil Corp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Exxon's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell ExxonBuy Exxon
Hold

Volatility

Details

Hype Condition

Details

Current Valuation

Details

Odds of Distress

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Economic Sensitivity

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Analyst Consensus

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Reporting Quality (M-Score)

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For the selected time horizon Exxon Mobil Corp has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.41), Jensen Alpha of (0.29), Total Risk Alpha of 0.114 and Treynor Ratio of (0.92)
Macroaxis provides advice on Exxon Mobil Corp to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Exxon Mobil Corp. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Exxon is not overpriced, please confirm all Exxon Mobil Corp fundamentals, including its short ratio, and the relationship between the cash per share and total asset . Given that Exxon Mobil Corp has a price to earning of 9.38 X, we urge you to verify Exxon Mobil Corp market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Exxon Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Exxon Mobil Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 59.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
On 9th of September 2022 Exxon paid $ 0.88 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from Macroaxis: Will holding Exxon be justified in October 2022

Exxon current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Exxon analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Exxon analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price106.77
Target Median Price109.00
Target High Price134.00
Recommendation Mean2.40
Number Of Analyst Opinions24
Target Low Price77.00
Average Consensus Hold
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Exxon Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Exxon's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Exxon's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Exxon stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Exxon Mobil Corp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Exxon returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Exxon.
Mean Return-0.61Value At Risk-3.81
Potential Upside2.30Standard Deviation1.96
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Exxon historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Exxon Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Exxon or Energy sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Exxon's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Exxon stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.29
β
Beta against DOW0.68
σ
Overall volatility
1.93
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Exxon Volatility Alert

Exxon Mobil Corp exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.47 and kurtosis of 0.25. However, we advise investors to further study Exxon Mobil Corp technical indicators to ensure that all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Exxon's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Exxon's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Exxon Implied Volatility

Exxon's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Exxon Mobil Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Exxon's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Exxon stock will not fluctuate a lot when Exxon's options are near their expiration.

Exxon Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Exxon's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Exxon's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Exxon and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Exxon or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Exxon's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Exxon by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Exxon to competition
FundamentalsExxonPeer Average
Return On Equity23.05 %(0.31) %
Return On Asset8.85 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin10.97 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin19.64 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation412.68 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding4.17 B571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders0.07 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions58.84 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted40.03 M4.71 M
Price to Earning9.38 X28.72 X
Price to Book2.02 X9.51 X
Price to Sales1.01 X11.42 X
Revenue354.96 B9.43 B
Gross Profit90.05 B27.38 B
EBITDA69.71 B3.9 B
Net Income38.95 B570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents18.86 B2.7 B
Cash per Share4.53 X5.01 X
Total Debt46.88 B5.32 B
Debt to Equity0.25 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.16 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share42.55 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations63.97 B971.22 M
Short Ratio2.17 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share9.14 X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth0.29 X4.89 X
Number of Employees63 K18.84 K
Beta1.06-0.15
Market Capitalization357.38 B19.03 B
Total Asset336.76 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings303.4 B9.33 B
Working Capital(11.35 B)1.48 B
Current Asset42.62 B9.34 B
   Exxon exotic insider transaction detected [view details]

Exxon Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Exxon . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Exxon Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Exxon Mobil Corp? Buying financial instruments such as Exxon Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Exxon in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Gold and Gold Mining Thematic Idea Now

Gold and Gold Mining
Gold and Gold Mining Theme
Large and mid-size companies, ETFs and funds that are either investing, exploring or producing, gold or indirectly involved in trading or making gold products. The Gold and Gold Mining theme has 99 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Gold and Gold Mining Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Exxon Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.

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Is Exxon's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Exxon. If investors know Exxon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Exxon listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Exxon Mobil Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Exxon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Exxon's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Exxon's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Exxon's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Exxon's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Exxon's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Exxon value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Exxon's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.