Xunlei Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

XNET
 Stock
  

USD 1.45  0.03  2.11%   

Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Xunlei Limited is 'Buy'. Macroaxis provides Xunlei buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Xunlei positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Xunlei's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
The advice is provided from Xunlei's buy-and-hold perspective. Check out Xunlei Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Xunlei and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Xunlei Limited.

Execute Xunlei Buy or Sell Advice

The Xunlei recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Xunlei Limited. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Xunlei Limited or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Xunlei's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell XunleiBuy Xunlei
Buy

Volatility

Details

Hype Condition

Details

Current Valuation

Details

Odds of Distress

Details

Economic Sensitivity

Details

Analyst Consensus

Not Available
Details

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Details
For the selected time horizon Xunlei Limited has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0146, Jensen Alpha of 0.1021, Total Risk Alpha of 0.2563, Sortino Ratio of 0.0246 and Treynor Ratio of 0.0126
We provide recommendation to complement the prevalent expert consensus on Xunlei Limited. Our dynamic recommendation engine utilizes a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Xunlei Limited is not overpriced, please check out all Xunlei Limited fundamentals, including its debt to equity, and the relationship between the gross profit and number of employees . Please also validate Xunlei Limited number of shares shorted to confirm your buy or sell decision is consistent with all fundamental data available and that the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle.

Xunlei Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Xunlei Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Xunlei Limited may become a speculative penny stock
Xunlei Limited has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 264.53 M. Net Loss for the year was (97 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 120.18 M.
Xunlei Limited currently holds about 269.94 M in cash with (13.91 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.0, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 12.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Latest headline from uk.finance.yahoo.com: While private equity firms own 38 percent of Xunlei Limited , individual investors are its largest shareholders with 46 percent ownership - Yahoo Finance UK

Xunlei Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Xunlei's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Xunlei's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Xunlei stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Xunlei Limited price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Xunlei returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Xunlei.
Mean Return0.0247Value At Risk-5.37
Potential Upside5.77Standard Deviation3.69
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Xunlei historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Xunlei Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Xunlei is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Xunlei Limited backward and forwards among themselves. Xunlei's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Xunlei's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Security TypeSharesValue
Morgan StanleyCommon Shares2.4 M3.8 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors LpCommon Shares554.9 K878 K
D E Shaw Co IncCommon Shares500.6 K791 K
Anson Funds Management LpCommon Shares426.4 K674 K
Renaissance Technologies LlcCommon Shares364.6 K576 K
Dekabank Deutsche GirozentraleCommon Shares160 K259 K
Connor Clark Lunn Investment Management LtdCommon Shares134.8 K213 K
Group One Trading LpPut Options39.6 K63 K
Susquehanna International Group LlpCall Options22.9 K36 K
Note, although Xunlei's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Xunlei Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Xunlei or Communication Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Xunlei's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Xunlei stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.10
β
Beta against DOW1.16
σ
Overall volatility
3.60
Ir
Information ratio 0.0243

Xunlei Volatility Alert

Xunlei Limited shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. We advise investors to inspect Xunlei Limited further and ensure that all market timing and asset allocation strategies are consistent with the estimation of Xunlei future alpha. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Xunlei's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Xunlei's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Xunlei Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Xunlei's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Xunlei's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Xunlei and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Xunlei or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Xunlei's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Xunlei by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Xunlei to competition
FundamentalsXunleiPeer Average
Return On Equity(0.07) %(0.31) %
Return On Asset(0.35) %(0.14) %
Profit Margin(0.04) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.94) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation(119.27 M)16.62 B
Shares Outstanding66.99 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders12.49 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions10.93 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted560.4 K4.71 M
Price to Earning15.85 X28.72 X
Price to Book0.33 X9.51 X
Price to Sales0.37 X11.42 X
Revenue264.53 M9.43 B
Gross Profit120.18 M27.38 B
EBITDA4.21 M3.9 B
Net Income(97 K)570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents269.94 M2.7 B
Cash per Share4.00 X5.01 X
Total Debt38.54 M5.32 B
Debt to Equity0.12 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.59 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share4.37 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations(13.91 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio4.10 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.20) X3.12 X
Number of Employees91818.84 K
Beta1.33-0.15
Market Capitalization97.14 M19.03 B
Total Asset538.36 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(12.59 M)9.33 B
Working Capital380.92 M1.48 B
Current Asset457.65 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities76.74 M7.9 B

Xunlei Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Xunlei . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Xunlei Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Xunlei Limited? Buying financial instruments such as Xunlei Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Xunlei in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Disruptive Technologies Thematic Idea Now

Disruptive Technologies
Disruptive Technologies Theme
New or established technology companies and funds across multiple sectors that are involved in development or marketing of products or services that experience disruptive trends and that are at the forefront of discussions on Wall Street. The Disruptive Technologies theme has 46 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Disruptive Technologies Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Xunlei Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Xunlei Limited information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Xunlei's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.

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Is Xunlei's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Xunlei. If investors know Xunlei will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Xunlei listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Xunlei Limited is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Xunlei that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Xunlei's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Xunlei's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Xunlei's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Xunlei's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Xunlei's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Xunlei value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Xunlei's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.