Trinseo Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

TSE
 Stock
  

USD 23.37  1.28  5.19%   

Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Trinseo SA is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Trinseo SA buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding TSE positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Trinseo SA's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
The advice is provided from Trinseo SA's buy-and-hold perspective. Additionally, take a look at Trinseo SA Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Trinseo and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Trinseo SA.

Execute Trinseo SA Buy or Sell Advice

The Trinseo recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Trinseo SA. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Trinseo SA or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Trinseo SA's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Trinseo SABuy Trinseo SA
Strong Hold

Volatility

Details

Hype Condition

Details

Current Valuation

Details

Odds of Distress

Details

Economic Sensitivity

Details

Analyst Consensus

Details

Financial Strenth (F Score)

Details

Financial Leverage

Inapplicable
Details

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Details
For the selected time horizon Trinseo SA has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.023995), Jensen Alpha of (0.23), Total Risk Alpha of (0.28) and Treynor Ratio of (0.048834)
Our trade recommendation module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Trinseo SA. It analyzes the company potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure Trinseo SA is not overpriced, please validate all Trinseo SA fundamentals, including its current ratio, total asset, and the relationship between the net income and price to earnings to growth . Given that Trinseo SA has a price to book of 1.22 X, we advise you to double-check Trinseo SA market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Trinseo SA Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Trinseo SA has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Over 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 20th of October 2022 Trinseo SA paid $ 0.32 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Styrenic Polymers Market 2022 Covid-19 Impact, Competitive Landscape, Growth Factors, Top Vendors, and Forecast Till 2028 Styrolution Group GmbH, Americas Styrenics LLC, Styron LLC - Digital Journal

Trinseo SA Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Trinseo SA's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Trinseo SA's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Trinseo SA stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Trinseo SA price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Trinseo SA returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Trinseo SA.
Mean Return-0.09Value At Risk-6.36
Potential Upside7.33Standard Deviation4.25
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Trinseo SA historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Trinseo SA Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Trinseo SA or Chemicals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Trinseo SA's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Trinseo stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.23
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.99
σ
Overall volatility
4.34
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Trinseo SA Volatility Alert

Trinseo SA exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.91 and kurtosis of 2.18. However, we advise investors to further study Trinseo SA technical indicators to ensure that all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Trinseo SA's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Trinseo SA's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Trinseo SA Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Trinseo SA's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Trinseo SA's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Trinseo SA and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Trinseo SA or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Trinseo SA's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Trinseo SA by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Trinseo SA to competition
FundamentalsTrinseo SAPeer Average
Return On Equity(7.69) %(0.31) %
Return On Asset0.0163 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin0.011 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.0219 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation3 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding34.97 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders1.69 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions93.60 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted1.69 M4.71 M
Price to Earning122.95 X28.72 X
Price to Book1.22 X9.51 X
Price to Sales0.16 X11.42 X
Revenue4.83 B9.43 B
Gross Profit698.9 M27.38 B
EBITDA590.3 M3.9 B
Net Income440 M570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents573 M2.7 B
Cash per Share7.57 X5.01 X
Total Debt2.31 B5.32 B
Debt to Equity2.60 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.22 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share19.89 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations452.7 M971.22 M
Short Ratio2.46 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.17 X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth1.54 X4.89 X
Target Price25.38
Number of Employees3.4 K18.84 K
Beta1.38-0.15
Market Capitalization850.21 M19.03 B
Total Asset4.71 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(18.29 M)9.33 B
Working Capital839.76 M1.48 B
   Trinseo SA exotic insider transaction detected [view details]

About Trinseo SA Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Trinseo SA? Buying financial instruments such as Trinseo Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2014 2015 2021 2022 (projected)
Current Assets1.32 B1.29 B1.48 B1.57 B
Total Assets2.36 B2.26 B2.6 B2.75 B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Trinseo SA in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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ISP
ISP Theme
Internet Service Providers (ISP) companies and IT providers specializing in internet technologies. The ISP theme has 40 constituents at this time.
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Additionally, take a look at Trinseo SA Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.

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Is Trinseo SA's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Trinseo SA. If investors know Trinseo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Trinseo SA listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.74) 
Market Capitalization
850.2 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
(0.07) 
Return On Assets
0.0163
Return On Equity
(7.69) 
The market value of Trinseo SA is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Trinseo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Trinseo SA's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Trinseo SA's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Trinseo SA's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Trinseo SA's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Trinseo SA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Trinseo SA value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Trinseo SA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.