Middlefield Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

MBCN
 Stock
  

USD 29.15  0.11  0.38%   

Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your slightly conservative level of risk, our recommendation regarding Middlefield Banc is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Middlefield Banc buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding MBCN positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Middlefield Banc's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
The advice is provided from Middlefield Banc's buy-and-hold perspective. Additionally, see Middlefield Banc Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Middlefield and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Middlefield Banc.

Execute Middlefield Banc Buy or Sell Advice

The Middlefield recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Middlefield Banc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Middlefield Banc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Middlefield Banc's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Middlefield BancBuy Middlefield Banc
Strong Buy

Volatility

Details

Hype Condition

Details

Current Valuation

Details

Odds of Distress

Details

Economic Sensitivity

Details

Analyst Consensus

Details

Financial Strenth (F Score)

Details

Financial Leverage

Inapplicable
Details

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Details
For the selected time horizon Middlefield Banc has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1736, Jensen Alpha of 0.08, Total Risk Alpha of 0.0527, Sortino Ratio of 0.0357 and Treynor Ratio of 1.09
Our advice module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Middlefield Banc. It analyzes the company potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure Middlefield Banc is not overpriced, please verify all Middlefield Banc fundamentals, including its shares owned by insiders, ebitda, short ratio, as well as the relationship between the price to book and total debt . Given that Middlefield Banc has a number of shares shorted of 18.25 K, we recommend you to check Middlefield Banc market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Middlefield Banc Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Middlefield Banc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from news.google.com: Middlefield Banc Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year - Simply Wall St

Middlefield Banc current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Middlefield analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Middlefield analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price28.00
Target Median Price28.00
Target High Price28.00
Recommendation Mean2.50
Number Of Analyst Opinions2
Target Low Price28.00
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Middlefield Banc Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Middlefield Banc's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Middlefield Banc's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Middlefield Banc stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Middlefield Banc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Middlefield Banc returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Middlefield Banc.
Mean Return0.09Value At Risk-0.91
Potential Upside1.48Standard Deviation0.73
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Middlefield Banc historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Middlefield Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Middlefield Banc is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Middlefield Banc backward and forwards among themselves. Middlefield Banc's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Middlefield Banc's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Security TypeSharesValue
Yhb Investment Advisors IncCommon SharesK243 K
Yhb Investment Advisors IncCommon SharesK226 K
Yhb Investment Advisors IncCommon SharesK222 K
Yhb Investment Advisors IncCommon SharesK222 K
Yhb Investment Advisors IncCommon SharesK213 K
Yhb Investment Advisors IncCommon SharesK211 K
Yhb Investment Advisors IncCommon SharesK201 K
Note, although Middlefield Banc's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Middlefield Banc Cash Flow Accounts

201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Capital Expenditure(1.2 M)(2.1 M)(1.9 M)(1.05 M)(605 K)(652.76 K)
Depreciation Amortization and Accretion2.08 M1.91 M2.38 M2.31 M2.42 M2.15 M
Net Cash Flow or Change in Cash and Cash Equivalents7.39 M68.05 M(72.82 M)77.3 M7.08 M8.4 M
Issuance Purchase of Equity Shares15.89 M786 K(1.85 M)(1.18 M)(12.2 M)(12.52 M)
Issuance Repayment of Debt Securities25.98 M(4.57 M)(85.75 M)(1.8 M)(4.2 M)(4.31 M)
Payment of Dividends and Other Cash Distributions(3.36 M)(3.78 M)(3.69 M)(3.83 M)(4.24 M)(4.57 M)
Net Cash Flow from Financing88.72 M130.31 M(86.56 M)197.55 M(79.23 M)(81.32 M)
Net Cash Flow from Investing(95.25 M)(76.54 M)276 K(135.32 M)70.89 M76.48 M
Net Cash Flow Investment Acquisitions and Disposals(101.68 M)(74.61 M)1.81 M(134.98 M)70.57 M76.14 M
Net Cash Flow from Operations13.92 M14.28 M13.46 M15.08 M15.42 M12.67 M
Share Based Compensation33 K467 K644 K144 K478 K515.74 K

Middlefield Banc Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Middlefield Banc or Financial Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Middlefield Banc's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Middlefield stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.08
β
Beta against DOW0.08
σ
Overall volatility
0.73
Ir
Information ratio 0.0313

Middlefield Banc Volatility Alert

Middlefield Banc exhibits relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.38 and kurtosis of 1.3. However, we advice investors to further investigate Middlefield Banc to ensure all market statistics is disseminated and is consistent with investors' estimations about Middlefield Banc upside potential. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Middlefield Banc's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Middlefield Banc's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Middlefield Banc Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Middlefield Banc's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Middlefield Banc's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Middlefield Banc and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Middlefield Banc or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Middlefield Banc's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Middlefield Banc by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Middlefield Banc to competition
FundamentalsMiddlefield BancPeer Average
Return On Equity12.65 %(0.31) %
Return On Asset1.25 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin31.35 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin41.55 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation129.07 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding5.97 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders5.50 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions29.14 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted18.25 K4.71 M
Price to Earning16.35 X28.72 X
Price to Book1.29 X9.51 X
Price to Sales3.22 X11.42 X
Revenue54.25 M9.43 B
Gross Profit54.78 M27.38 B
EBITDA6.89 M3.9 B
Net Income17.01 M570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents128.58 M2.7 B
Cash per Share22.29 X5.01 X
Total Debt92.11 M5.32 B
Debt to Equity10.80 %48.70 %
Book Value Per Share22.74 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations15.43 M971.22 M
Short Ratio2.63 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.79 X3.12 X
Number of Employees18518.84 K
Beta0.57-0.15
Market Capitalization174.63 M19.03 B
Total Asset735.14 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings54.17 M9.33 B
Z Score0.68.72
Five Year Return2.59 %
Last Dividend Paid0.68
   Purchase by Voinovich Michael C of 100 shares of Middlefield Banc [view details]

About Middlefield Banc Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Middlefield Banc? Buying financial instruments such as Middlefield Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Cash and Equivalents35.11 M92.87 M97.17 M104.84 M
Total Assets1.18 B1.39 B1.33 B1.09 B

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Additionally, see Middlefield Banc Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Middlefield Banc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Middlefield Banc's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.

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Is Middlefield Banc's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Middlefield Banc. If investors know Middlefield will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Middlefield Banc listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.14) 
Market Capitalization
168.1 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
(0.01) 
Return On Assets
0.0125
Return On Equity
0.13
The market value of Middlefield Banc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Middlefield that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Middlefield Banc's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Middlefield Banc's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Middlefield Banc's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Middlefield Banc's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Middlefield Banc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Middlefield Banc value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Middlefield Banc's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.