Luna Innovations Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

LUNA
 Stock
  

USD 7.43  0.01  0.13%   

Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Luna Innovations Incorporated is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Luna Innovations buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding LUNA positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Luna Innovations' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
The advice is provided from Luna Innovations' buy-and-hold perspective. Additionally, see Luna Innovations Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Luna Innovations and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Luna Innovations Incorporated.

Execute Luna Innovations Buy or Sell Advice

The Luna Innovations recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Luna Innovations Incorporated. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Luna Innovations Incorporated or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Luna Innovations' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Luna InnovationsBuy Luna Innovations
Strong Buy

Volatility

Details

Hype Condition

Details

Current Valuation

Details

Odds of Distress

Details

Economic Sensitivity

Details

Analyst Consensus

Details

Financial Strenth (F Score)

Details

Financial Leverage

Inapplicable
Details

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Details
For the selected time horizon Luna Innovations Incorporated has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1891, Jensen Alpha of 0.3732, Total Risk Alpha of 0.2049, Sortino Ratio of 0.1308 and Treynor Ratio of 0.6042
We provide investment recommendation to complement the last-minute expert consensus on Luna Innovations Incorporated. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the entity's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Luna Innovations is not overpriced, please verify all Luna Innovations Incorporated fundamentals, including its price to book, total debt, number of employees, as well as the relationship between the ebitda and cash flow from operations . Given that Luna Innovations has a price to earning of 17.66 X, we recommend you to check Luna Innovations market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Luna Innovations Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Luna Innovations appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Latest headline from news.google.com: Luna Innovations Incorporated Stock Price Today, Quote News - Seeking Alpha

Luna Innovations Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Luna Innovations' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Luna Innovations' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Luna Innovations stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Luna Innovations Incorporated price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Luna Innovations returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Luna Innovations.
Mean Return0.45Value At Risk-4.39
Potential Upside5.47Standard Deviation3.66
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Luna Innovations historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Luna Innovations Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Luna Innovations is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Luna Innovations Incorporated backward and forwards among themselves. Luna Innovations' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Luna Innovations' securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Security TypeSharesValue
Zpr Investment ManagementCommon Shares22.1 K92 K
Your Advocates Ltd LlpCommon Shares200K
Yintercept Hong Kong LtdCommon Shares10.7 K62 K
Yakira Capital Management IncCommon Shares15.7 K53 K
Yakira Capital Management IncCommon Shares19.5 K63 K
Yakira Capital Management IncCommon Shares19.5 K58 K
Yakira Capital Management IncCommon Shares34.5 K112 K
Note, although Luna Innovations' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Luna Innovations Cash Flow Accounts

201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Capital Expenditure(1.35 M)(385.89 K)(541 K)(278 K)(1.41 M)(1.45 M)
Depreciation Amortization and Accretion2.53 M1.22 M2.5 M2.97 M4.63 M3.7 M
Net Cash Flow or Change in Cash and Cash Equivalents24.18 M5.48 M(17.45 M)(9.65 M)1.45 M1.57 M
Issuance Purchase of Equity Shares(1.03 M)630.42 K(1.77 M)1.72 M2.93 M3.16 M
Issuance Repayment of Debt Securities(1.89 M)(1.88 M)(665 K)19.93 M(4.19 M)(4.3 M)
Net Cash Flow from Financing(2.92 M)(1.25 M)(2.44 M)21.65 M(1.26 M)(1.3 M)
Net Cash Flow from Investing26.18 M10.04 M(19.81 M)(34.16 M)(1.77 M)(1.81 M)
Net Cash Flow from Operations915.04 K(3.31 M)4.8 M2.86 M4.48 M4.84 M
Share Based Compensation715.09 K627.86 K1.54 M2.13 M2.96 M2.41 M

Luna Innovations Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Luna Innovations or Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Luna Innovations' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Luna Innovations stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.37
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.73
σ
Overall volatility
3.67
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

Luna Innovations Volatility Alert

Luna Innovations Incorporated currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.1 and Jensen Alpha of 0.37. However, we advise investors to further question Luna Innovations Incorporated expected returns to ensure all indicators are consistent with the current outlook about its relatively low value at risk. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Luna Innovations' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Luna Innovations' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Luna Innovations Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Luna Innovations' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Luna Innovations' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Luna Innovations and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Luna Innovations or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Luna Innovations' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Luna Innovations by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Luna Innovations to competition
FundamentalsLuna InnovationsPeer Average
Return On Equity(0.0197) %(0.31) %
Return On Asset(0.0105) %(0.14) %
Profit Margin0.1 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.0227) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation263.6 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding32.96 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders4.07 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions51.09 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted250.25 K4.71 M
Price to Earning17.66 X28.72 X
Price to Book2.79 X9.51 X
Price to Sales2.40 X11.42 X
Revenue87.51 M9.43 B
Gross Profit51.56 M27.38 B
EBITDA4.47 M3.9 B
Net Income1.38 M570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents7.89 M2.7 B
Cash per Share0.24 X5.01 X
Total Debt11.67 M5.32 B
Debt to Equity0.30 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.38 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share2.67 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations4.48 M971.22 M
Short Ratio4.28 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.35 X3.12 X
Target Price10.13
Number of Employees38518.84 K
Beta1.37-0.15
Market Capitalization245.24 M19.03 B
Total Asset130.24 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(17.53 M)9.33 B
Working Capital23.42 M1.48 B
Current Asset38.75 M9.34 B
   Acquisition by Coe Pamela L of 274 shares of Luna Innovations subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Luna Innovations Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Luna Innovations . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Luna Innovations Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Luna Innovations Incorporated? Buying financial instruments such as Luna Innovations Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Receivables18.77 M24.95 M20.91 M22.56 M
Inventories10.29 M23.6 M22.49 M24.27 M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Luna Innovations in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Top Penny Thematic Idea Now

Top Penny
Top Penny Theme
Solid stocks, funds or ETFs with above average market capitalization and strong fundamental indicators based on Macroaxis rating system. The Top Penny theme has 19 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Top Penny Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch
Additionally, see Luna Innovations Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze depth of different equity instruments across global markets.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Luna Innovations price analysis, check to measure Luna Innovations' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Luna Innovations is operating at the current time. Most of Luna Innovations' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Luna Innovations' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Luna Innovations' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Luna Innovations to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
ETF Directory
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world
Go
Companies Directory
Evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals
Go
Pattern Recognition
Use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges
Go
Focused Opportunities
Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences
Go
Commodity Channel Index
Use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum
Go
Is Luna Innovations' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Luna Innovations. If investors know Luna Innovations will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Luna Innovations listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
1.77
Market Capitalization
245.2 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.43
Return On Assets
(0.0105) 
Return On Equity
(0.0197) 
The market value of Luna Innovations is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Luna Innovations that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Luna Innovations' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Luna Innovations' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Luna Innovations' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Luna Innovations' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Luna Innovations' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Luna Innovations value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Luna Innovations' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.