Kratos Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

KTOS
 Stock
  

USD 10.81  0.37  3.54%   

Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Kratos Defns is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Kratos Defns buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding KTOS positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Kratos Defns' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
The advice is provided from Kratos Defns' buy-and-hold perspective. Please see Kratos Defns Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Kratos and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Kratos Defns.

Execute Kratos Defns Buy or Sell Advice

The Kratos recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Kratos Defns. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Kratos Defns or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Kratos Defns' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Kratos DefnsBuy Kratos Defns
Cautious Hold

Volatility

Details

Hype Condition

Details

Current Valuation

Details

Odds of Distress

Details

Economic Sensitivity

Details

Analyst Consensus

Details

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Details
For the selected time horizon Kratos Defns has a Mean Deviation of 2.08, Standard Deviation of 2.67 and Variance of 7.12
Our investment recommendation tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Kratos Defns and to analyze the entity potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Kratos Defns is not overpriced, please verify all Kratos Defns fundamentals, including its shares owned by institutions, debt to equity, working capital, as well as the relationship between the gross profit and price to earnings to growth . Given that Kratos Defns has a number of shares shorted of 4 M, we recommend you to check Kratos Defns market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Kratos Defns Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Kratos Defns generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 813.5 M. Net Loss for the year was (17.5 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 225.1 M.
Over 87.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from www.nasdaq.com: Kratos Defense Wins 14.7M Deal to Support BQM-177A SSAT - Nasdaq

Kratos Defns current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Kratos analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Kratos analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price22.11
Target Median Price20.70
Target High Price30.00
Recommendation Mean2.10
Number Of Analyst Opinions11
Target Low Price16.00
Average Consensus Buy
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Kratos Defns Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Kratos Defns' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Kratos Defns' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Kratos Defns stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Kratos Defns price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Kratos Defns returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Kratos Defns.
Mean Return-0.4Value At Risk-4.77
Potential Upside4.21Standard Deviation2.67
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Kratos Defns historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Kratos Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Kratos Defns is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kratos Defns backward and forwards among themselves. Kratos Defns' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Kratos Defns' securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Security TypeSharesValue
Vanguard Group IncCommon Shares11.4 M158.1 M
Blackrock IncCommon Shares10.1 M139.8 M
Ark Investment Management LlcCommon Shares8.2 M118.7 M
State Street CorpCommon Shares6.2 M86.3 M
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Holdings IncCommon Shares4.7 M64.8 M
Nikko Asset Management Americas IncCommon Shares4.7 M63.1 M
Bamco IncCommon Shares4.1 M57.1 M
Note, although Kratos Defns' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Kratos Defns Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Kratos Defns or Industrials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Kratos Defns' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Kratos stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.29
β
Beta against DOW1.68
σ
Overall volatility
2.75
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Kratos Defns Volatility Alert

Kratos Defns exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.11 and kurtosis of -0.13. However, we advise investors to further study Kratos Defns technical indicators to ensure that all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Kratos Defns' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Kratos Defns' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Kratos Defns Implied Volatility

Kratos Defns' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Kratos Defns stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Kratos Defns' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Kratos Defns stock will not fluctuate a lot when Kratos Defns' options are near their expiration.

Kratos Defns Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Kratos Defns' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Kratos Defns' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Kratos Defns and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Kratos Defns or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Kratos Defns' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kratos Defns by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Kratos Defns to competition
FundamentalsKratos DefnsPeer Average
Return On Equity(1.81) %(0.31) %
Return On Asset0.96 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin(2.43) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin2.95 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.94 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding123.99 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders1.74 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions86.91 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted4 M4.71 M
Price to Earning15.12 X28.72 X
Price to Book1.35 X9.51 X
Price to Sales1.55 X11.42 X
Revenue813.5 M9.43 B
Gross Profit225.1 M27.38 B
EBITDA50.4 M3.9 B
Net Income(17.5 M)570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents254.4 M2.7 B
Cash per Share2.04 X5.01 X
Total Debt382.9 M5.32 B
Debt to Equity0.40 %48.70 %
Current Ratio3.22 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share7.52 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations800 K971.22 M
Short Ratio5.16 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.67 X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth19.29 X4.89 X
Number of Employees3.3 K18.84 K
Beta0.78-0.15
Market Capitalization1.26 B19.03 B
Total Asset903.3 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(777.71 M)9.33 B
Working Capital148 M1.48 B
Current Asset320.4 M9.34 B
   Sale by Steve Fendley of 7000 shares of Kratos Defns [view details]

Kratos Defns Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Kratos . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Kratos Defns Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Kratos Defns? Buying financial instruments such as Kratos Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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In addition to having Kratos Defns in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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ESG Investing Theme
Sustainable investments that promote the conservation of the natural world, social resposibility, freindly employees policies and strong governance. The ESG Investing theme has 51 constituents at this time.
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Please see Kratos Defns Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.

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Is Kratos Defns' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Kratos Defns. If investors know Kratos will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Kratos Defns listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Kratos Defns is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Kratos that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Kratos Defns' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Kratos Defns' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Kratos Defns' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Kratos Defns' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Kratos Defns' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Kratos Defns value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kratos Defns' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.