Escalade Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ESCA
 Stock
  

USD 10.22  0.39  3.97%   

Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Escalade is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Escalade buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Escalade positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Escalade's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
The advice is provided from Escalade's buy-and-hold perspective. Continue to Escalade Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Escalade and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Escalade.

Execute Escalade Buy or Sell Advice

The Escalade recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Escalade. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Escalade or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Escalade's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell EscaladeBuy Escalade
Hold

Volatility

Details

Hype Condition

Details

Current Valuation

Details

Odds of Distress

Details

Economic Sensitivity

Details

Analyst Consensus

Details

Financial Strenth (F Score)

Details

Financial Leverage

Inapplicable
Details

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Details
For the selected time horizon Escalade has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.12), Jensen Alpha of (0.24), Total Risk Alpha of (0.29) and Treynor Ratio of 12.87
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Escalade and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Escalade is not overpriced, please confirm all Escalade fundamentals, including its operating margin, shares owned by institutions, price to sales, as well as the relationship between the shares outstanding and price to earning . Given that Escalade has a price to earning of 4.75 X, we urge you to verify Escalade market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Escalade Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Escalade generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Escalade currently holds about 4 M in cash with (1.8 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.29.
Escalade has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 35.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Escalade current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Escalade analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Escalade analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price22.00
Target Median Price22.00
Target High Price22.00
Number Of Analyst Opinions1
Target Low Price22.00
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Escalade Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Escalade's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Escalade's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Escalade stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Escalade price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Escalade returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Escalade.
Mean Return-0.23Value At Risk-2.63
Potential Upside3.31Standard Deviation2.57
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Escalade historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Escalade Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Escalade is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Escalade backward and forwards among themselves. Escalade's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Escalade's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Security TypeSharesValue
Zpr Investment ManagementCommon Shares11.7 K166 K
Zpr Investment ManagementCommon Shares11.4 K156 K
Zpr Investment ManagementCommon Shares13.4 K83 K
Zebra Capital Management LlcCommon Shares11.5 K128 K
Zebra Capital Management LlcCommon Shares10.1 K116 K
Zacks Investment ManagementCommon Shares48.8 K629 K
Wilen Investment Management CorpCommon Shares6.4 K79 K
Note, although Escalade's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Escalade Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Escalade or Consumer Cyclical sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Escalade's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Escalade stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.24
β
Beta against DOW-0.02
σ
Overall volatility
2.65
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Escalade Volatility Alert

Escalade exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.47 and kurtosis of 7.05. However, we advise investors to further study Escalade technical indicators to ensure that all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Escalade's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Escalade's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Escalade Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Escalade's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Escalade's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Escalade and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Escalade or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Escalade's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Escalade by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Escalade to competition
FundamentalsEscaladePeer Average
Return On Equity13.35 %(0.31) %
Return On Asset6.06 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin6.40 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin10.77 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation259.13 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding13.49 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders34.68 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions24.20 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted150.08 K4.71 M
Price to Earning4.75 X28.72 X
Price to Book0.96 X9.51 X
Price to Sales0.42 X11.42 X
Revenue315.06 M9.43 B
Gross Profit77.13 M27.38 B
EBITDA33.95 M3.9 B
Net Income20.16 M570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents4 M2.7 B
Cash per Share0.29 X5.01 X
Total Debt116.08 M5.32 B
Debt to Equity0.74 %48.70 %
Current Ratio4.21 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share10.19 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations(1.8 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio10.30 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share2.07 X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth0.48 X4.89 X
Number of Employees67018.84 K
Beta1.23-0.15
Market Capitalization132.6 M19.03 B
Total Asset143.74 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings96.68 M9.33 B
Working Capital34.51 M1.48 B
Current Asset72.81 M9.34 B
   Exercise or conversion by Patrick Griffin of 1031 shares of Escalade subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Escalade Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Escalade . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Escalade Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Escalade? Buying financial instruments such as Escalade Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2011 2012 2016 2022 (projected)
Receivables26.91 M65.99 M35.89 M35.85 M
Inventories29.04 M92.38 M33.8 M34.49 M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

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Continue to Escalade Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Escalade information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Escalade's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

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Is Escalade's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Escalade. If investors know Escalade will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Escalade listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.49) 
Market Capitalization
133.6 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
(0.08) 
Return On Assets
0.0606
Return On Equity
0.13
The market value of Escalade is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Escalade that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Escalade's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Escalade's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Escalade's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Escalade's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Escalade's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Escalade value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Escalade's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.