Cisco Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CSCO
 Stock
  

USD 40.00  0.57  1.41%   

Given the investment horizon of 90 days and complete risk avoidance on your part, our recommendation regarding Cisco Systems is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Cisco Systems buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding CSCO positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Cisco Systems' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
The advice is provided from Cisco Systems' buy-and-hold perspective. Continue to Cisco Systems Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Cisco and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Cisco Systems.

Execute Cisco Systems Buy or Sell Advice

The Cisco recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Cisco Systems. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Cisco Systems or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Cisco Systems' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Cisco SystemsBuy Cisco Systems
Strong Sell

Volatility

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Hype Condition

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Current Valuation

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Odds of Distress

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Economic Sensitivity

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Analyst Consensus

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Reporting Quality (M-Score)

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For the selected time horizon Cisco Systems has a Mean Deviation of 1.08, Standard Deviation of 1.54 and Variance of 2.38
Cisco Systems advice module can be used to check and cross-verify current investment recommendation provided by analysts analyzing the company's potential to grow using all of fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure Cisco Systems is not overpriced, please confirm all Cisco Systems fundamentals, including its revenue, cash flow from operations, current asset, as well as the relationship between the cash per share and beta . Given that Cisco Systems has a price to earning of 16.74 X, we suggest you to validate Cisco Systems market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Cisco Systems Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Cisco Systems generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Cisco Systems is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 75.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from www.nasdaq.com: Why You Might Be Interested In Cisco Systems, Inc. For Its Upcoming Dividend - Nasdaq

Cisco Systems current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Cisco analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Cisco analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price53.42
Target Median Price52.00
Target High Price73.00
Recommendation Mean2.50
Number Of Analyst Opinions24
Target Low Price40.00
Average Consensus Buy
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Cisco Systems Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Cisco Systems' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Cisco Systems' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Cisco Systems stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Cisco Systems price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Cisco Systems returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Cisco Systems.
Mean Return-0.08Value At Risk-2.03
Potential Upside2.20Standard Deviation1.54
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Cisco Systems historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Cisco Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Cisco Systems is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cisco Systems backward and forwards among themselves. Cisco Systems' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Cisco Systems' securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Security TypeSharesValue
Vanguard Group IncCommon Shares372.2 M15.9 B
Blackrock IncCommon Shares351.4 M15 B
State Street CorpCommon Shares182.9 M7.8 B
Geode Capital Management LlcCommon Shares74.6 M3.2 B
Bank Of New York Mellon CorpCommon Shares71.1 MB
Bank Of America CorpCommon Shares67.1 M2.9 B
Charles Schwab Investment Management IncCommon Shares64.9 M2.8 B
Note, although Cisco Systems' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Cisco Systems Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Cisco Systems or Technology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Cisco Systems' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Cisco stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.041536
β
Beta against DOW1.09
σ
Overall volatility
1.55
Ir
Information ratio 0.0196

Cisco Systems Volatility Alert

Cisco Systems exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.6 and kurtosis of 3.39. However, we advise investors to further study Cisco Systems technical indicators to ensure that all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Cisco Systems' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Cisco Systems' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Cisco Systems Implied Volatility

Cisco Systems' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Cisco Systems stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Cisco Systems' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Cisco Systems stock will not fluctuate a lot when Cisco Systems' options are near their expiration.

Cisco Systems Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Cisco Systems' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Cisco Systems' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Cisco Systems and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Cisco Systems or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Cisco Systems' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cisco Systems by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Cisco Systems to competition
FundamentalsCisco SystemsPeer Average
Return On Equity29.79 %(0.31) %
Return On Asset9.50 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin23.28 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin31.16 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation178.26 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding4.22 B571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders0.07 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions75.20 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted37.65 M4.71 M
Price to Earning16.74 X28.72 X
Price to Book4.32 X9.51 X
Price to Sales3.27 X11.42 X
Revenue51.58 B9.43 B
Gross Profit31.89 B27.38 B
EBITDA16.07 B3.9 B
Net Income12.01 B570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents20.11 B2.7 B
Cash per Share4.86 X5.01 X
Total Debt10.5 B5.32 B
Debt to Equity0.26 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.49 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share9.27 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations14.05 B971.22 M
Short Ratio1.63 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share2.39 X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth2.11 X4.89 X
Number of Employees79.5 K18.84 K
Beta0.96-0.15
Market Capitalization168.7 B19.03 B
Total Asset121.65 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings7.3 B9.33 B
Working Capital53.81 B1.48 B
Current Asset78.72 B9.34 B
   Bona fide gift to Murphy Sarah Rae of 1532 shares of Cisco Systems subject to Section 16 [view details]

Cisco Systems Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Cisco . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Cisco Systems Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Cisco Systems? Buying financial instruments such as Cisco Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Cisco Systems in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Farming Thematic Idea Now

Farming
Farming Theme
Companies producing farming products and providing services for farmers. The Farming theme has 40 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Farming Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Continue to Cisco Systems Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Cisco Systems information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Cisco Systems' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Commodity Channel Index module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.

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When running Cisco Systems price analysis, check to measure Cisco Systems' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cisco Systems is operating at the current time. Most of Cisco Systems' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cisco Systems' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cisco Systems' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cisco Systems to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Cisco Systems' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cisco Systems. If investors know Cisco will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cisco Systems listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Cisco Systems is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cisco that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cisco Systems' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cisco Systems' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cisco Systems' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cisco Systems' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cisco Systems' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Cisco Systems value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cisco Systems' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.