Bavarian OTC Pink Sheet Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

BVNRY
 Stock
  

USD 11.31  0.07  0.62%   

Assuming the 90 days horizon and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Bavarian Nordic AS is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Bavarian Nordic buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding BVNRY positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Bavarian Nordic's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
The advice is provided from Bavarian Nordic's buy-and-hold perspective. Continue to Bavarian Nordic Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Bavarian and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Bavarian Nordic AS.

Execute Bavarian Nordic Buy or Sell Advice

The Bavarian recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Bavarian Nordic AS. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Bavarian Nordic AS or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Bavarian Nordic's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Bavarian NordicBuy Bavarian Nordic
Strong Sell

Volatility

Details

Hype Condition

Details

Current Valuation

Details

Odds of Distress

Details

Economic Sensitivity

Details

Analyst Consensus

Details

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Details
For the selected time horizon Bavarian Nordic AS has a Mean Deviation of 2.98, Standard Deviation of 3.8 and Variance of 14.43
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Bavarian Nordic AS and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Bavarian Nordic is not overpriced, please confirm all Bavarian Nordic AS fundamentals, including its cash per share, as well as the relationship between the earnings per share and working capital . Given that Bavarian Nordic AS has a price to sales of 1.00 X, we suggest you to validate Bavarian Nordic AS market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Bavarian Nordic Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Bavarian Nordic AS has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 1.9 B. Net Loss for the year was (464.77 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 570.93 M.
Bavarian Nordic AS has accumulated about 3.25 B in cash with (358.5 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 15.53, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

Bavarian Nordic Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Bavarian Nordic's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Bavarian Nordic's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Bavarian Nordic stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Bavarian Nordic AS price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Bavarian Nordic returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Bavarian Nordic.
Mean Return-0.07Value At Risk-6.62
Potential Upside6.38Standard Deviation3.80
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Bavarian Nordic historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Bavarian Nordic Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Bavarian Nordic or Healthcare sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Bavarian Nordic's price will be affected by overall otc pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Bavarian otc's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.13
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.50
σ
Overall volatility
3.66
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Bavarian Nordic Volatility Alert

Bavarian Nordic AS exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.31 and kurtosis of -0.16. However, we advise investors to further study Bavarian Nordic AS technical indicators to ensure that all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Bavarian Nordic's otc pink sheet risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Bavarian Nordic's otc pink sheet price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Bavarian Nordic Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Bavarian Nordic's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Bavarian Nordic's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Bavarian Nordic and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Bavarian Nordic or determine the otc pink sheets which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Bavarian Nordic's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bavarian Nordic by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Bavarian Nordic to competition
FundamentalsBavarian NordicPeer Average
Return On Equity(0.09) %(0.31) %
Return On Asset(0.0197) %(0.14) %
Profit Margin(0.25) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.15) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation2.09 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding211.77 M571.82 M
Price to Earning39.62 X28.72 X
Price to Book2.39 X9.51 X
Price to Sales1.00 X11.42 X
Revenue1.9 B9.43 B
Gross Profit570.93 M27.38 B
EBITDA85.94 M3.9 B
Net Income(464.77 M)570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents3.25 B2.7 B
Cash per Share15.53 X5.01 X
Total Debt179.41 M5.32 B
Debt to Equity0.14 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.98 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share38.27 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations(358.5 M)971.22 M
Earnings Per Share(0.44) X3.12 X
Number of Employees91718.84 K
Beta1.58-0.15
Market Capitalization2.41 B19.03 B
Total Asset12.09 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings1.61 B9.33 B
Working Capital1.39 B1.48 B
Current Asset2 B9.34 B
Current Liabilities613 M7.9 B
Z Score1.28.72
Annual Yield0.0375 %
Net Asset12.09 B

About Bavarian Nordic Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Bavarian Nordic AS? Buying financial instruments such as Bavarian OTC Pink Sheet isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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IT Theme
Information Technology (IT) companies and IT service providers across different domains. The IT theme has 40 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize IT Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Continue to Bavarian Nordic Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try ETF Directory module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.

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Please note, there is a significant difference between Bavarian Nordic's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Bavarian Nordic value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bavarian Nordic's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.