Atmos Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ATO
 Stock
  

USD 114.47  0.81  0.70%   

Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Atmos Energy Corp is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Atmos Energy buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ATO positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Atmos Energy's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
The advice is provided from Atmos Energy's buy-and-hold perspective. Please continue to Atmos Energy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Atmos and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Atmos Energy Corp.

Execute Atmos Energy Buy or Sell Advice

The Atmos recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Atmos Energy Corp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Atmos Energy Corp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Atmos Energy's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Atmos EnergyBuy Atmos Energy
Strong Buy

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds of Distress

Close to AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Atmos Energy Corp has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0128, Jensen Alpha of (0.007597), Total Risk Alpha of (0.01517), Sortino Ratio of (0.00871) and Treynor Ratio of 0.0048
Macroaxis provides advice on Atmos Energy Corp to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Atmos Energy Corp. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Atmos Energy is not overpriced, please confirm all Atmos Energy Corp fundamentals, including its debt to equity, total asset, and the relationship between the ebitda and earnings per share . Given that Atmos Energy Corp has a price to earning of 22.24 X, we suggest you to validate Atmos Energy Corp market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Atmos Energy Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Atmos Energy Corp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 92.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from www.marketwatch.com: CenterPoint Energy Inc. stock underperforms Thursday when compared to competitors - MarketWatch

Atmos Energy current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Atmos analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Atmos analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price122.25
Target Median Price124.50
Target High Price132.00
Recommendation Mean2.40
Number Of Analyst Opinions8
Target Low Price107.00
Average Consensus Buy
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Atmos Energy Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Atmos Energy's historical returns is an attempt to chart the future uncertainty of Atmos Energy's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Atmos Energy stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Atmos Energy Corp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Atmos Energy returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Atmos Energy stock.
Mean Return0.0131Value At Risk-1.97
Potential Upside2.08Standard Deviation1.39
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Atmos Energy historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Atmos Energy Cash Flow Accounts

201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Capital Expenditure(1.47 B)(1.69 B)(1.94 B)(1.97 B)(1.77 B)(1.91 B)
Depreciation Amortization and Accretion361.08 M391.46 M429.83 M477.98 M549.67 M474.46 M
Net Cash Flow or Change in Cash and Cash Equivalents(12.64 M)10.78 M(3.74 M)95.92 M110.3 M119.01 M
Issuance Purchase of Equity Shares414.65 M713.43 M643.85 M622.51 M715.88 M772.4 M
Issuance Repayment of Debt Securities128.03 M348.1 M526.8 M2.78 B3.2 B3.45 B
Payment of Dividends and Other Cash Distributions(214.91 M)(245.72 M)(282.44 M)(323.9 M)(291.51 M)(314.53 M)
Net Cash Flow from Financing326.27 M725.67 M883.78 M3.14 B3.62 B3.9 B
Net Cash Flow from Investing(1.46 B)(1.68 B)(1.93 B)(1.96 B)(1.77 B)(1.91 B)
Net Cash Flow Investment Acquisitions and Disposals(8.32 M)(2.78 M)491 K(6.07 M)(5.46 M)(5.9 M)
Net Cash Flow from Operations1.12 B968.77 M1.04 B(1.08 B)(975.83 M)(1 B)
Share Based Compensation12.86 M11.12 M9.58 M11.26 M10.13 M11.19 M

Atmos Energy Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Atmos Energy or Utilities sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Atmos Energy stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Atmos stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.0076
β
Beta against DOW0.64
σ
Overall volatility
1.43
Ir
Information ratio -0.0098

Atmos Energy Volatility Alert

Atmos Energy Corp has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.67 and kurtosis of 1.42. However, we advise all investors to independently investigate Atmos Energy Corp to ensure all accessible information is consistent with the expectations about its upside potential and future expected returns. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Atmos Energy's stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Atmos Energy's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Atmos Energy Implied Volatility

Atmos Energy's implied volatility" href="/stock-options/ATO/Atmos-Energy-Corp">Atmos Energy's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Atmos Energy Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Atmos Energy's implied volatility" href="/stock-options/ATO/Atmos-Energy-Corp">Atmos Energy's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Atmos Energy stock will not fluctuate a lot when Atmos Energy's options" href="/stock-options/ATO/Atmos-Energy-Corp">Atmos Energy's options are near their expiration.

Atmos Energy Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Atmos Energy's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Atmos Energy's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Atmos Energy and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Atmos Energy or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Atmos Energy's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Atmos Energy by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Atmos Energy to competition
FundamentalsAtmos EnergyPeer Average
Return On Equity8.63 %(0.31) %
Return On Asset2.70 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin18.91 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin36.04 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation24.14 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding132.71 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders0.80 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions91.88 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted6.05 M4.71 M
Price to Earning22.24 X28.72 X
Price to Book1.91 X9.51 X
Price to Sales3.94 X11.42 X
Revenue3.84 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.7 B27.38 B
EBITDA1.38 B3.9 B
Net Income724.84 M570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents692.38 M2.7 B
Cash per Share4.98 X5.01 X
Total Debt7.96 B5.32 B
Debt to Equity0.89 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.10 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share59.71 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations958.48 M971.22 M
Short Ratio7.55 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share5.12 X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth2.69 X4.89 X
Number of Employees4.68 K18.84 K
Beta0.48-0.15
Market Capitalization15.11 B19.03 B
Total Asset10.01 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings2.67 B9.33 B
Working Capital(1.11 B)1.48 B
Current Asset681.69 M9.34 B
   Acquisition by Ale John C of 1000 shares of Atmos Energy subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Atmos Energy Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Atmos . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Accumulation Distribution33337.42
Daily Balance Of Power(0.46)
Rate Of Daily Change0.99
Day Median Price115.15
Day Typical Price114.92
Market Facilitation Index0.0
Price Action Indicator(1.09)

About Atmos Energy Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Atmos Energy Corp? Buying financial instruments such as Atmos Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Although Atmos Energy investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Receivables230.59 M342.97 M394.41 M367.11 M
Inventories118.78 M193.7 M222.75 M248.17 M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Atmos Energy in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Military Industrial Thematic Idea Now

Military Industrial
Military Industrial Theme
A collection of large United States defense contractors including companies involved in production or distribution of aircraft, ships, vehicles, weaponry, and electronic systems in cooperation with the government. The Military Industrial theme has 46 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Military Industrial Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Please continue to Atmos Energy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Atmos Energy Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Atmos Energy's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.

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When running Atmos Energy Corp price analysis, check to measure Atmos Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Atmos Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Atmos Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Atmos Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Atmos Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Atmos Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Atmos Energy's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Atmos Energy. If investors know Atmos will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Atmos Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.18
Market Capitalization
15.9 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.35
Return On Assets
0.0279
Return On Equity
0.0882
The market value of Atmos Energy Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Atmos that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Atmos Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Atmos Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Atmos Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Atmos Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Atmos Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Atmos Energy value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Atmos Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.