Armour Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ARR
 Stock
  

USD 7.59  0.04  0.52%   

Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Armour Residential R is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Armour Residential buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ARR positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Armour Residential's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
The advice is provided from Armour Residential's buy-and-hold perspective. Please continue to Armour Residential Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Armour and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Armour Residential R.

Execute Armour Residential Buy or Sell Advice

The Armour recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Armour Residential R. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Armour Residential R or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Armour Residential's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Armour ResidentialBuy Armour Residential
Cautious Hold

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Armour Residential R has a Mean Deviation of 1.67, Semi Deviation of 2.74, Standard Deviation of 2.53, Variance of 6.41, Downside Variance of 9.8 and Semi Variance of 7.51
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Armour Residential. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Armour Residential is not overpriced, please confirm all Armour Residential fundamentals, including its current ratio, retained earnings, and the relationship between the net income and price to earnings to growth . Given that Armour Residential has a price to earning of 5.24 X, we suggest you to validate Armour Residential R market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Armour Residential Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Reported Net Loss for the year was (123.8 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 50.28 M.
Armour Residential R has about 7.41 B in cash with (98.94 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 64.68, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Armour Residential has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
On 29th of July 2022 Armour Residential paid $ 0.1 per share dividend to its current shareholders

Armour Residential current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Armour analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Armour analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price7.00
Target Median Price7.00
Target High Price8.00
Recommendation Mean3.20
Number Of Analyst Opinions3
Target Low Price6.00
Average Consensus Hold
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Armour Residential Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Armour Residential's historical returns is an attempt to chart the future uncertainty of Armour Residential's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Armour Residential stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Armour Residential R price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Armour Residential returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Armour Residential stock.
Mean Return0.14Value At Risk-4.03
Potential Upside3.63Standard Deviation2.53
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Armour Residential historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Armour Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Armour Residential is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Armour Residential R backward and forwards among themselves. Armour Residential's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Armour Residential's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Security TypeSharesValue
Blackrock IncCommon Shares18.2 M128.1 M
Vanguard Group IncCommon Shares11.7 M82.4 M
Geode Capital Management LlcCommon Shares1.8 M13 M
Northern Trust CorpCommon Shares1.1 M7.7 M
Principal Financial Group IncCommon Shares637 K4.5 M
Van Eck Associates CorpCommon Shares516.2 K3.6 M
Bank Of America CorpCommon Shares321.7 K2.3 M
Simplex Trading LlcPut Options108 K760 K
Note, although Armour Residential's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Armour Residential Cash Flow Accounts

201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Net Cash Flow or Change in Cash and Cash Equivalents(68.85 M)(50.2 M)40.97 M(101.5 M)184.55 M199.12 M
Issuance Purchase of Equity Shares133.19 M38.01 M304.89 M53.8 M328.78 M293.21 M
Issuance Repayment of Debt Securities737.46 M(518.27 M)4.32 B(6.82 B)(588.03 M)(603.5 M)
Payment of Dividends and Other Cash Distributions(89.41 M)(97.02 M)(124.48 M)(75.49 M)(96.63 M)(104.26 M)
Net Cash Flow from Financing780.18 M(591.68 M)4.47 B(6.93 B)(330.77 M)(339.47 M)
Net Cash Flow from Investing(959.11 M)466.26 M(4.39 B)7.09 B503.58 M543.33 M
Net Cash Flow Investment Acquisitions and Disposals(879.93 M)398.64 M(4.31 B)7.06 B377.22 M407 M
Net Cash Flow from Operations110.08 M75.22 M(40.72 M)(257.82 M)11.74 M12.05 M
Share Based Compensation937 K2.4 M2.69 M4.07 M4.77 M5.14 M

Armour Residential Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Armour Residential or Real Estate sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Armour Residential stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Armour stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.046633
β
Beta against DOW1.23
σ
Overall volatility
2.54
Ir
Information ratio 0.0248

Armour Residential Volatility Alert

Armour Residential R shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. We advise investors to inspect Armour Residential R further and ensure that all market timing and asset allocation strategies are consistent with the estimation of Armour Residential future alpha. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Armour Residential's stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Armour Residential's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Armour Residential Implied Volatility

Armour Residential's implied volatility" href="/stock-options/ARR/Armour-Residential-R">Armour Residential's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Armour Residential R stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Armour Residential's implied volatility" href="/stock-options/ARR/Armour-Residential-R">Armour Residential's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Armour Residential stock will not fluctuate a lot when Armour Residential's options" href="/stock-options/ARR/Armour-Residential-R">Armour Residential's options are near their expiration.

Armour Residential Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Armour Residential's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Armour Residential's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Armour Residential and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Armour Residential or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Armour Residential's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Armour Residential by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Armour Residential to competition
FundamentalsArmour ResidentialPeer Average
Return On Equity(10.75) %(0.31) %
Return On Asset(1.60) %(0.14) %
Operating Margin149.09 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation183.69 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding89.69 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders1.09 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions47.37 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted13.46 M4.71 M
Price to Earning5.24 X28.72 X
Price to Book0.58 X9.51 X
Price to Sales(9.08) X11.42 X
Revenue(75 M)9.43 B
Gross Profit50.28 M27.38 B
EBITDA(41.83 M)3.9 B
Net Income(123.8 M)570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents7.41 B2.7 B
Cash per Share64.68 X5.01 X
Total Debt6.7 B5.32 B
Debt to Equity6.88 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.13 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share13.04 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations(98.94 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio4.16 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.45 X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth(0.64) X4.89 X
Number of Employees918.84 K
Beta0.97-0.15
Market Capitalization680.74 M19.03 B
Total Asset13.06 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(2.03 B)9.33 B
Working Capital(11.01 B)1.48 B
Current Asset589.26 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities11.6 B7.9 B
   Acquisition by Carolyn Downey of 2343 shares of Armour Residential subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Armour Residential Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Armour . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Accumulation Distribution83597.14
Daily Balance Of Power(0.22)
Rate Of Daily Change0.99
Day Median Price7.61
Day Typical Price7.6
Price Action Indicator(0.04)

About Armour Residential Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Armour Residential R? Buying financial instruments such as Armour Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Although Armour Residential investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2017 2018 2021 2022 (projected)
Accounts Payable2.96 M3.61 M3.25 M3.33 M
Receivables127.17 M127.5 M146.63 M193.78 M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Armour Residential in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Energy
Energy Theme
Funds or Etfs investing in energy sector, natural resources, and ecology. The Energy theme has 40 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Energy Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Please continue to Armour Residential Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Armour Residential information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Armour Residential's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Bond Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.

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Is Armour Residential's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Armour Residential. If investors know Armour will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Armour Residential listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.58
Market Capitalization
870.1 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.34
Return On Assets
-0.016
Return On Equity
-0.11
The market value of Armour Residential is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Armour that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Armour Residential's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Armour Residential's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Armour Residential's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Armour Residential's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Armour Residential's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Armour Residential value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Armour Residential's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.