Antero Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AR
 Stock
  

USD 37.80  0.45  1.20%   

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your way above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Antero Resources Corp is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Antero Resources buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AR positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Antero Resources' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
The advice is provided from Antero Resources' buy-and-hold perspective. Please continue to Antero Resources Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Antero and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Antero Resources Corp.

Execute Antero Resources Buy or Sell Advice

The Antero recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Antero Resources Corp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Antero Resources Corp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Antero Resources' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Antero ResourcesBuy Antero Resources
Cautious Hold

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Actively responds to the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Antero Resources Corp has a Mean Deviation of 3.55, Semi Deviation of 4.85, Standard Deviation of 4.55, Variance of 20.75, Downside Variance of 24.46 and Semi Variance of 23.52
Antero Resources advice module can be used to check and cross-verify current investment recommendation provided by analysts analyzing the company's potential to grow using all of fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure Antero Resources is not overpriced, please confirm all Antero Resources Corp fundamentals, including its price to sales, debt to equity, beta, as well as the relationship between the net income and short ratio . Given that Antero Resources Corp has a price to earning of 26.67 X, we suggest you to validate Antero Resources Corp market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Antero Resources Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Antero Resources has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reports 4.93 B of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.79, which is normal for its line of buisiness. Antero Resources Corp has a current ratio of 0.4, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Debt can assist Antero Resources until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Antero Resources' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Antero Resources Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Antero to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Antero Resources' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 84.0% of Antero Resources shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
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Antero Resources current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Antero analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Antero analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price49.64
Target Median Price49.50
Target High Price62.00
Recommendation Mean2.10
Number Of Analyst Opinions14
Target Low Price40.00
Average Consensus Buy
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Antero Resources Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Antero Resources' historical returns is an attempt to chart the future uncertainty of Antero Resources' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Antero Resources stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Antero Resources Corp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Antero Resources returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Antero Resources stock.
Mean Return0.09Value At Risk-7.96
Potential Upside6.87Standard Deviation4.55
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Antero Resources historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Antero Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Antero Resources is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Antero Resources Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Antero Resources' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Antero Resources' securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Security TypeSharesValue
Assenagon Asset Management SaCommon Shares3.3 M101.3 M
Bank Of Nova ScotiaDebt11.8 M83.5 M
Shah Capital ManagementCommon Shares1.4 M41.4 M
Simplex Trading LlcCall Options1.2 M36.1 M
Loomis Sayles Co L PCommon Shares806.4 K24.7 M
Simplex Trading LlcPut Options714.5 K21.9 M
Vaughan Nelson Investment Management LpCommon Shares669.6 K20.5 M
New York State Common Retirement FundCommon Shares597.4 K18.3 M
Walleye Capital LlcCommon Shares457.1 K14 M
Brightline Capital Management LlcCommon Shares340 K10.4 M
Note, although Antero Resources' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Antero Resources Cash Flow Accounts

201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Capital Expenditure(2.22 B)(2.21 B)(1.42 B)(874.36 M)(715.94 M)(772.46 M)
Depreciation Amortization and Accretion827.22 M975.28 M918.63 M865.29 M745.83 M758.02 M
Net Cash Flow or Change in Cash and Cash Equivalents(222.51 M)8.14 M(3.17 M)(28.44 M)(25.6 M)(26.27 M)
Net Cash Flow Business Acquisitions and Disposals(235 M)(136.47 M)74.98 M215.79 M248.16 M267.75 M
Issuance Repayment of Debt Securities73.62 M658.21 M686.36 M(475.5 M)(888.78 M)(912.17 M)
Net Cash Flow from Financing452.17 M240.3 M557.56 M(205.58 M)(949.33 M)(974.31 M)
Net Cash Flow from Investing(2.46 B)(2.35 B)(1.04 B)(530.06 M)(710.78 M)(766.9 M)
Net Cash Flow from Operations2.01 B2.08 B1.1 B735.64 M1.66 B1.5 B
Share Based Compensation103.44 M70.41 M23.56 M23.32 M20.44 M20.97 M

Antero Resources Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Antero Resources or Energy sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Antero Resources stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Antero stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.10
β
Beta against DOW1.82
σ
Overall volatility
4.44
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Antero Resources Volatility Alert

Antero Resources Corp exhibits above-average semi-deviation for your current time horizon. We encourage investors to investigate Antero Resources Corp individually to make sure intended market timing strategies and available technical indicagtors are consistent with their estimates about Antero Resources future systematic risk. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Antero Resources' stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Antero Resources' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Antero Resources Implied Volatility

Antero Resources' implied volatility" href="/stock-options/AR/Antero-Resources-Corp">Antero Resources' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Antero Resources Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Antero Resources' implied volatility" href="/stock-options/AR/Antero-Resources-Corp">Antero Resources' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Antero Resources stock will not fluctuate a lot when Antero Resources' options" href="/stock-options/AR/Antero-Resources-Corp">Antero Resources' options are near their expiration.

Antero Resources Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Antero Resources' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Antero Resources' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Antero Resources and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Antero Resources or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Antero Resources' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Antero Resources by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Antero Resources to competition
FundamentalsAntero ResourcesPeer Average
Return On Equity17.16 %(0.31) %
Return On Asset6.61 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin11.89 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin17.72 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation17.34 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding313.93 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders10.17 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions83.56 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted23.33 M4.71 M
Price to Earning26.67 X28.72 X
Price to Book2.37 X9.51 X
Price to Sales1.42 X11.42 X
Revenue8.08 B9.43 B
Gross Profit4.42 B27.38 B
EBITDA2.23 B3.9 B
Net Income960.78 M570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents4.54 M2.7 B
Cash per Share0.01 X5.01 X
Total Debt4.93 B5.32 B
Debt to Equity0.79 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.41 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share15.45 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations2.28 B971.22 M
Short Ratio2.23 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(3.43) X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth(0.19) X4.89 X
Number of Employees51918.84 K
Beta3.73-0.15
Market Capitalization11.51 B19.03 B
Total Asset14.12 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings963.78 M9.33 B
Working Capital540.97 M1.48 B
Current Asset1.25 B9.34 B
   Sale by W Ash of 36701 shares of Antero Resources [view details]

Antero Resources Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Antero . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Accumulation Distribution280078.0
Daily Balance Of Power0.2406
Rate Of Daily Change1.01
Day Median Price37.24
Day Typical Price37.42
Price Action Indicator0.79

About Antero Resources Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Antero Resources Corp? Buying financial instruments such as Antero Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Although Antero Resources investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Accounts Payable112.38 M96.59 M101.06 M103.72 M
Receivables46.42 M28.46 M79 M62.87 M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Antero Resources in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Banks
Banks Theme
Large and small money and credit banks and credit services. The Banks theme has 40 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Banks Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Please continue to Antero Resources Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Antero Resources Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Antero Resources' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.

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Is Antero Resources' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Antero Resources. If investors know Antero will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Antero Resources listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
11.53
Market Capitalization
11.4 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.88
Return On Assets
0.0661
Return On Equity
0.17
The market value of Antero Resources Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Antero that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Antero Resources' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Antero Resources' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Antero Resources' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Antero Resources' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Antero Resources' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Antero Resources value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Antero Resources' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.