American Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AOUT
 Stock
  

USD 9.20  0.34  3.84%   

Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding American Outdoor Brands is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides American Outdoor buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AOUT positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of American Outdoor's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
The advice is provided from American Outdoor's buy-and-hold perspective. Please continue to American Outdoor Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as American and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards American Outdoor Brands.

Execute American Outdoor Buy or Sell Advice

The American recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on American Outdoor Brands. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in American Outdoor Brands or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute American Outdoor's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell American OutdoorBuy American Outdoor
Hold

Volatility

Details

Hype Condition

Details

Current Valuation

Details

Odds of Distress

Details

Economic Sensitivity

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Analyst Consensus

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Reporting Quality (M-Score)

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For the selected time horizon American Outdoor Brands has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.001658), Jensen Alpha of (0.06), Total Risk Alpha of 0.1567 and Treynor Ratio of 0.1415
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on American Outdoor Brands. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure American Outdoor is not overpriced, please confirm all American Outdoor Brands fundamentals, including its gross profit, and the relationship between the shares owned by institutions and debt to equity . Given that American Outdoor Brands has a shares owned by institutions of 72.84 %, we suggest you to validate American Outdoor Brands market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

American Outdoor Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

American Outdoor has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
American Outdoor has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 247.53 M. Net Loss for the year was (64.88 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 114.27 M.
American Outdoor Brands currently holds about 19.52 M in cash with (17.95 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.45.
Roughly 73.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from sgbonline.com: American Outdoor Brands Launches Stock Buyback Program - SGB Media

American Outdoor current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. American analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. American analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price16.25
Target Median Price15.50
Target High Price23.00
Recommendation Mean2.20
Number Of Analyst Opinions4
Target Low Price11.00
Average Consensus Buy
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

American Outdoor Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of American Outdoor's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of American Outdoor's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of American Outdoor stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use American Outdoor Brands price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of American Outdoor returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for American Outdoor.
Mean Return-0.03Value At Risk-5.6
Potential Upside7.33Standard Deviation4.21
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of American Outdoor historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

American Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as American Outdoor is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading American Outdoor Brands backward and forwards among themselves. American Outdoor's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase American Outdoor's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Security TypeSharesValue
Wellington Management Group LlpCommon Shares1.2 M11.1 M
Polar Asset Management Partners IncCommon Shares1.1 M10.6 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors LpCommon Shares1.1 M10.1 M
Vanguard Group IncCommon Shares608.9 K5.8 M
Engine Capital Management LpCommon Shares585.8 K5.6 M
Farmer Steven PatrickCommon Shares387.8 K3.7 M
Confluence Investment Management LlcCommon Shares387.8 K3.7 M
Citadel Advisors LlcPut Options182.9 K1.7 M
Citadel Advisors LlcCall Options124.3 K1.2 M
Note, although American Outdoor's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

American Outdoor Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to American Outdoor or Consumer Cyclical sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that American Outdoor's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a American stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.06
β
Beta against DOW-0.28
σ
Overall volatility
4.28
Ir
Information ratio 0.0043

American Outdoor Volatility Alert

American Outdoor Brands exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.96 and kurtosis of 4.12. However, we advise investors to further study American Outdoor Brands technical indicators to ensure that all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure American Outdoor's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact American Outdoor's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

American Outdoor Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing American Outdoor's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze American Outdoor's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between American Outdoor and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as American Outdoor or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of American Outdoor's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing American Outdoor by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare American Outdoor to competition
FundamentalsAmerican OutdoorPeer Average
Return On Equity(26.87) %(0.31) %
Return On Asset2.41 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin(26.21) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin4.83 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation136.33 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding14.18 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders4.60 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions72.84 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted442.86 K4.71 M
Price to Earning7.38 X28.72 X
Price to Book0.43 X9.51 X
Price to Sales0.51 X11.42 X
Revenue247.53 M9.43 B
Gross Profit114.27 M27.38 B
EBITDA28.92 M3.9 B
Net Income(64.88 M)570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents19.52 M2.7 B
Cash per Share1.45 X5.01 X
Total Debt49.58 M5.32 B
Debt to Equity0.24 %48.70 %
Current Ratio6.66 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share20.40 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations(17.95 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio1.76 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.20 X3.12 X
Number of Employees31518.84 K
Beta0.3-0.15
Market Capitalization125.68 M19.03 B
Z Score1.28.72
   Acquisition by Favreau Bradley Thede of 9777 shares of American Outdoor subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

American Outdoor Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as American . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About American Outdoor Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell American Outdoor Brands? Buying financial instruments such as American Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Electronics
Electronics Theme
Companies manufacturing electronic appliances and goods. The Electronics theme has 40 constituents at this time.
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Please continue to American Outdoor Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.

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Is American Outdoor's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Outdoor. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about American Outdoor listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of American Outdoor Brands is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of American that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of American Outdoor's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is American Outdoor's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because American Outdoor's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect American Outdoor's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between American Outdoor's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine American Outdoor value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Outdoor's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.