Agilon Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AGL
 Stock
  

USD 27.07  1.48  5.78%   

Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your bold attitude towards risk, our recommendation regarding Agilon Health is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Agilon Health buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AGL positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Agilon Health's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
The advice is provided from Agilon Health's buy-and-hold perspective. Please continue to Agilon Health Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Agilon and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Agilon Health.

Execute Agilon Health Buy or Sell Advice

The Agilon recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Agilon Health. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Agilon Health or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Agilon Health's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Agilon HealthBuy Agilon Health
Strong Buy

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

FrailDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Agilon Health has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1954, Jensen Alpha of 0.6632, Total Risk Alpha of 0.7629, Sortino Ratio of 0.1716 and Treynor Ratio of 0.4163
Our investment recommendation module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Agilon Health. It analyzes the firm potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure Agilon Health is not overpriced, please confirm all Agilon Health fundamentals, including its shares owned by institutions, net income, short ratio, as well as the relationship between the price to sales and debt to equity . Given that Agilon Health has a number of shares shorted of 19.16 M, we suggest you to validate Agilon Health market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Agilon Health Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Agilon Health appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the last year's revenue of 2.07 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (390.72 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 76.41 M.
Agilon Health has about 1.02 B in cash with (130.56 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.51.
Agilon Health has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from www.marketscreener.com: agilon health The Jackson Clinic Adopts Value-Based Care Model to Transform Health Care for Seniors in West Tennessee - Marketscreener.com

Agilon Health current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Agilon analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Agilon analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price30.65
Target Median Price31.50
Target High Price41.00
Recommendation Mean1.60
Number Of Analyst Opinions10
Target Low Price22.50
Average Consensus Strong Buy
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Agilon Health Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Agilon Health's historical returns is an attempt to chart the future uncertainty of Agilon Health's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Agilon Health stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Agilon Health price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Agilon Health returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Agilon Health stock.
Mean Return0.59Value At Risk-5.92
Potential Upside6.05Standard Deviation4.12
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Agilon Health historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Agilon Health Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Agilon Health or Healthcare sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Agilon Health stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Agilon stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.66
β
Beta against DOW1.40
σ
Overall volatility
3.94
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

Agilon Health Volatility Alert

Agilon Health shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. We advise investors to inspect Agilon Health further and ensure that all market timing and asset allocation strategies are consistent with the estimation of Agilon Health future alpha. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Agilon Health's stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Agilon Health's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Agilon Health Implied Volatility

Agilon Health's implied volatility" href="/stock-options/AGL/Agilon-Health">Agilon Health's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Agilon Health stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Agilon Health's implied volatility" href="/stock-options/AGL/Agilon-Health">Agilon Health's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Agilon Health stock will not fluctuate a lot when Agilon Health's options" href="/stock-options/AGL/Agilon-Health">Agilon Health's options are near their expiration.

Agilon Health Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Agilon Health's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Agilon Health's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Agilon Health and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Agilon Health or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Agilon Health's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Agilon Health by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Agilon Health to competition
FundamentalsAgilon HealthPeer Average
Return On Equity(96.17) %(0.31) %
Return On Asset(19.41) %(0.14) %
Profit Margin(18.81) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(18.19) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation9.21 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding393.66 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders1.12 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions99.39 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted19.16 M4.71 M
Price to Earning23.14 X28.72 X
Price to Book9.18 X9.51 X
Price to Sales5.02 X11.42 X
Revenue2.07 B9.43 B
Gross Profit76.41 M27.38 B
EBITDA(362.69 M)3.9 B
Net Income(390.72 M)570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents1.02 B2.7 B
Cash per Share2.51 X5.01 X
Total Debt55.44 M5.32 B
Debt to Equity0.049 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.67 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share2.88 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations(130.56 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio9.85 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(1.06) X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth0.29 X4.89 X
Number of Employees64618.84 K
Beta-0.38-0.15
Market Capitalization10.41 B19.03 B
Total Asset14.34 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings1.54 B9.33 B
Working Capital(952 M)1.48 B
Current Asset1.54 B9.34 B
   Exercise or conversion by Veeral Desai of 79768 shares of Agilon Health subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Agilon Health Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Agilon . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Accumulation Distribution138472.0
Daily Balance Of Power0.8222
Rate Of Daily Change1.06
Day Median Price26.68
Day Typical Price26.81
Market Facilitation Index0.0
Price Action Indicator1.13

About Agilon Health Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Agilon Health? Buying financial instruments such as Agilon Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Although Agilon Health investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2010 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Current Assets245.53 M294.2 M1.37 B1.09 B
Total Assets402.79 M446.36 M1.59 B1.3 B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Agilon Health in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Small Value Thematic Idea Now

Small Value
Small Value Theme
Funds or Etfs that invest in the undervalued stocks of small to mid-sized companies. The Small Value theme has 40 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Small Value Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch
Please continue to Agilon Health Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Agilon Health information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Agilon Health's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolio or rebalance existing positions based on mean-variance optimization algorithm.

Complementary Tools for Agilon Stock analysis

When running Agilon Health price analysis, check to measure Agilon Health's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Agilon Health is operating at the current time. Most of Agilon Health's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Agilon Health's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Agilon Health's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Agilon Health to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Portfolio Backtesting
Avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios
Go
Balance Of Power
Check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios
Go
Instant Ratings
Determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Go
Stock Screener
Find equities using custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook.
Go
Focused Opportunities
Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences
Go
Portfolio Rebalancing
Analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets
Go
Portfolio Manager
State of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital
Go
Alpha Finder
Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk
Go
Is Agilon Health's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Agilon Health. If investors know Agilon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Agilon Health listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
10.4 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.34
Return On Assets
-0.0352
Return On Equity
-0.1
The market value of Agilon Health is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Agilon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Agilon Health's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Agilon Health's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Agilon Health's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Agilon Health's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Agilon Health's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Agilon Health value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Agilon Health's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.