Alamos Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AGI
 Stock
  

USD 7.55  0.19  2.45%   

Considering the 90-day investment horizon and complete risk avoidance on your part, our recommendation regarding Alamos Gold is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Alamos Gold buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AGI positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Alamos Gold's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
The advice is provided from Alamos Gold's buy-and-hold perspective. Please continue to Alamos Gold Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Alamos and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Alamos Gold.

Execute Alamos Gold Buy or Sell Advice

The Alamos recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Alamos Gold. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Alamos Gold or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Alamos Gold's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Alamos GoldBuy Alamos Gold
Strong Sell

Volatility

Details

Hype Condition

Details

Current Valuation

Details

Odds of Distress

Details

Economic Sensitivity

Details

Analyst Consensus

Details

Financial Strenth (F Score)

Details

Financial Leverage

Inapplicable
Details

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Details
For the selected time horizon Alamos Gold has a Mean Deviation of 2.57, Semi Deviation of 2.92, Standard Deviation of 3.35, Variance of 11.22, Downside Variance of 9.79 and Semi Variance of 8.5
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Alamos Gold. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Alamos Gold is not overpriced, please confirm all Alamos Gold fundamentals, including its operating margin, price to earning, net income, as well as the relationship between the shares owned by insiders and revenue . Given that Alamos Gold has a price to earning of 14.24 X, we suggest you to validate Alamos Gold market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Alamos Gold Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Alamos Gold has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Alamos Gold has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Alamos Gold was previously known as ALAMOS GOLD INC and was traded on New York Stock Exchange under the symbol AGIGF.
About 64.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 30th of June 2022 Alamos Gold paid $ 0.025 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from www.sharecafe.com.au: Gold and Gold Stocks Oversold ShareCafe - ShareCafe

Alamos Gold current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Alamos analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Alamos analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price10.52
Target Median Price10.07
Target High Price14.00
Recommendation Mean2.30
Number Of Analyst Opinions6
Target Low Price7.50
Average Consensus Hold
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Alamos Gold Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Alamos Gold's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Alamos Gold's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Alamos Gold stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Alamos Gold price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Alamos Gold returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Alamos Gold.
Mean Return0.14Value At Risk-3.73
Potential Upside6.84Standard Deviation3.35
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Alamos Gold historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Alamos Gold Cash Flow Accounts

201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Capital Expenditure(162.5 M)(221.5 M)(263.6 M)(246.1 M)(348.6 M)(357.77 M)
Depreciation Amortization and Accretion125.6 M166.6 M165 M153.8 M170.9 M156.82 M
Net Cash Flow or Change in Cash and Cash Equivalents(51.4 M)5.2 M(23.2 M)37.7 M(48 M)(49.26 M)
Issuance Purchase of Equity Shares20.4 M11.7 M(3.9 M)10.3 M(11.5 M)(11.8 M)
Issuance Repayment of Debt Securities(94.6 M)(4.9 M)(4.5 M)(2 M)(1.3 M)(1.4 M)
Payment of Dividends and Other Cash Distributions(6 M)(7.8 M)(15.6 M)(23.9 M)(34.5 M)(35.41 M)
Net Cash Flow from Financing(97.6 M)(8.8 M)(17 M)(15.6 M)(47.3 M)(48.54 M)
Net Cash Flow from Investing(119.4 M)(196.6 M)(267.6 M)(314.1 M)(357.1 M)(366.5 M)
Net Cash Flow from Operations163.5 M213.9 M260.4 M368.4 M356.5 M293.55 M
Effect of Exchange Rate Changes on Cash2.1 M(3.3 M)1,000 K(1,000 K)(100 K)(107.89 K)
Share Based Compensation6.2 M6.6 M9.2 M10.3 M11.1 M10.76 M

Alamos Gold Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Alamos Gold or Basic Materials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Alamos Gold's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Alamos stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.09
β
Beta against DOW0.82
σ
Overall volatility
3.25
Ir
Information ratio 0.0244

Alamos Gold Volatility Alert

Alamos Gold shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. We advise investors to inspect Alamos Gold further and ensure that all market timing and asset allocation strategies are consistent with the estimation of Alamos Gold future alpha. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Alamos Gold's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Alamos Gold's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Alamos Gold Implied Volatility

Alamos Gold's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Alamos Gold stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Alamos Gold's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Alamos Gold stock will not fluctuate a lot when Alamos Gold's options are near their expiration.

Alamos Gold Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Alamos Gold's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Alamos Gold's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Alamos Gold and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Alamos Gold or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Alamos Gold's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alamos Gold by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Alamos Gold to competition
FundamentalsAlamos GoldPeer Average
Return On Equity1.94 %(0.31) %
Return On Asset2.91 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin6.76 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin42.08 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation2.95 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding391.96 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders0.30 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions63.92 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted8.38 M4.71 M
Price to Earning14.24 X28.72 X
Price to Book1.09 X9.51 X
Price to Sales3.81 X11.42 X
Revenue776.8 M9.43 B
Gross Profit461.5 M27.38 B
EBITDA326.9 M3.9 B
Net Income52.5 M570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents144 M2.7 B
Cash per Share0.37 X5.01 X
Total Debt2.9 M5.32 B
Debt to Equity0.001 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.67 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share6.93 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations292.7 M971.22 M
Short Ratio1.45 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.05) X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth(3.78) X4.89 X
Number of Employees1.9 K18.84 K
Beta1.04-0.15
Market Capitalization2.96 B19.03 B
Total Asset2.46 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(1.12 B)9.33 B
Working Capital383.3 M1.48 B
Current Asset483.2 M9.34 B

About Alamos Gold Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Alamos Gold? Buying financial instruments such as Alamos Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Current Assets394.3 M473.4 M459.4 M476.51 M
Total Assets3.4 B3.64 B3.62 B3.31 B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Alamos Gold in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run ESG Investing Thematic Idea Now

ESG Investing
ESG Investing Theme
Sustainable investments that promote the conservation of the natural world, social resposibility, freindly employees policies and strong governance. The ESG Investing theme has 51 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize ESG Investing Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Please continue to Alamos Gold Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Alamos Gold information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Alamos Gold's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

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Is Alamos Gold's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alamos Gold. If investors know Alamos will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Alamos Gold listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.64
Market Capitalization
3.1 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.02
Return On Assets
0.0291
Return On Equity
0.0194
The market value of Alamos Gold is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alamos that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alamos Gold's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alamos Gold's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Alamos Gold's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alamos Gold's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Alamos Gold's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Alamos Gold value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alamos Gold's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.