Aercap Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AER
 Stock
  

USD 50.46  2.00  4.13%   

Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Aercap Holdings NV is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Aercap Holdings buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AER positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Aercap Holdings' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
The advice is provided from Aercap Holdings' buy-and-hold perspective. Please continue to Aercap Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Aercap and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Aercap Holdings NV.

Execute Aercap Holdings Buy or Sell Advice

The Aercap recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Aercap Holdings NV. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Aercap Holdings NV or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Aercap Holdings' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Aercap HoldingsBuy Aercap Holdings
Strong Hold

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Actively responds to the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Aercap Holdings NV has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1244, Jensen Alpha of 0.1492, Total Risk Alpha of 0.1063, Sortino Ratio of 0.064 and Treynor Ratio of 0.1512
Our investment recommendation tool can be used to complement Aercap Holdings trade advice provided by experts. It analyzes the company's potential to grow against your specific risk preferences and investment horizon. To make sure Aercap Holdings is not overpriced, please confirm all Aercap Holdings NV fundamentals, including its total debt, number of employees, and the relationship between the ebitda and cash flow from operations . Given that Aercap Holdings NV has a number of shares shorted of 4.24 M, we suggest you to validate Aercap Holdings NV market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Aercap Holdings Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Aercap Holdings NV has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the last year's revenue of 5.28 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (1.23 B) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 2.53 B.
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: AerCap Non-GAAP EPS of 1.91 beats by 0.49, revenue of 1.67B beats by 20M - Seeking Alpha

Aercap Holdings Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Aercap Holdings' historical returns is an attempt to chart the future uncertainty of Aercap Holdings' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Aercap Holdings stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Aercap Holdings NV price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Aercap Holdings returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Aercap Holdings stock.
Mean Return0.29Value At Risk-4.62
Potential Upside4.60Standard Deviation3.09
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Aercap Holdings historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Aercap Holdings Cash Flow Accounts

201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Capital Expenditure(3.45 B)(4.13 B)(2.95 B)(712.29 M)(993.17 M)(1.07 B)
Depreciation Amortization and Accretion1.73 B1.68 B1.68 B1.65 B1.74 B1.68 B
Net Cash Flow or Change in Cash and Cash Equivalents(339.47 M)(611.83 M)(114.07 M)192.76 M418.69 M451.74 M
Issuance Repayment of Debt Securities819.55 M1.17 B(2.11 M)(867.49 M)20.1 B21.69 B
Net Cash Flow from Financing(87.57 M)600.41 M(265.01 M)(1.23 B)20.18 B21.78 B
Net Cash Flow from Investing(3.39 B)(4.05 B)(2.95 B)(712.29 M)(23.46 B)(24.08 B)
Net Cash Flow Investment Acquisitions and Disposals54.98 M74.21 M91.92 M94.7 M108.91 M117.51 M
Net Cash Flow from Operations3.14 B2.84 B3.11 B2.13 B3.69 B3.31 B

Aercap Holdings Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Aercap Holdings or Industrials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Aercap Holdings stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Aercap stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.15
β
Beta against DOW1.87
σ
Overall volatility
3.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Aercap Holdings Volatility Alert

Aercap Holdings NV shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. We advise investors to inspect Aercap Holdings NV further and ensure that all market timing and asset allocation strategies are consistent with the estimation of Aercap Holdings future alpha. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Aercap Holdings' stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Aercap Holdings' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Aercap Holdings Implied Volatility

Aercap Holdings' implied volatility" href="/stock-options/AER/Aercap-Holdings-NV">Aercap Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Aercap Holdings NV stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Aercap Holdings' implied volatility" href="/stock-options/AER/Aercap-Holdings-NV">Aercap Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Aercap Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Aercap Holdings' options" href="/stock-options/AER/Aercap-Holdings-NV">Aercap Holdings' options are near their expiration.

Aercap Holdings Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Aercap Holdings' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Aercap Holdings' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Aercap Holdings and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Aercap Holdings or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Aercap Holdings' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aercap Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Aercap Holdings to competition
FundamentalsAercap HoldingsPeer Average
Return On Equity(10.19) %(0.31) %
Return On Asset2.75 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin(23.25) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin46.70 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation58.75 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding245.62 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders2.72 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions102.10 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted4.24 M4.71 M
Price to Earning6.12 X28.72 X
Price to Book0.78 X9.51 X
Price to Sales2.22 X11.42 X
Revenue5.28 B9.43 B
Gross Profit2.53 B27.38 B
EBITDA2.49 B3.9 B
Net Income(1.23 B)570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents1.25 B2.7 B
Cash per Share5.23 X5.01 X
Total Debt49.1 B5.32 B
Debt to Equity3.33 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.70 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share61.11 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations4.63 B971.22 M
Short Ratio4.41 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(7.05) X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth0.56 X4.89 X
Number of Employees73018.84 K
Beta2.09-0.15
Market Capitalization11.73 B19.03 B
Total Asset43.91 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings8.35 B9.33 B
Working Capital6.17 B1.48 B
Current Asset41.66 B9.34 B
   Acquisition or disposition of Aercap Holdings securities by Gradon Michael [view details]

Aercap Holdings Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Aercap . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Accumulation Distribution46855.13
Daily Balance Of Power0.8929
Rate Of Daily Change1.04
Day Median Price49.89
Day Typical Price50.08
Market Facilitation Index0.0
Price Action Indicator1.57

About Aercap Holdings Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Aercap Holdings NV? Buying financial instruments such as Aercap Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Although Aercap Holdings investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Cash and Equivalents1.3 B1.5 B1.91 B1.93 B
Total Assets43.75 B42.05 B74.57 B60.41 B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Aercap Holdings in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Moderate Thematic Idea Now

Moderate
Moderate Theme
Funds or Etfs that combine stocks, bonds and money market instruments to get modest capital appreciation over time. The Moderate theme has 40 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Moderate Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Please continue to Aercap Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Aercap Holdings NV information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Aercap Holdings' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.

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When running Aercap Holdings NV price analysis, check to measure Aercap Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aercap Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Aercap Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aercap Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aercap Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aercap Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Aercap Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aercap Holdings. If investors know Aercap will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Aercap Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.27
Market Capitalization
12.4 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.61
Return On Assets
0.0286
Return On Equity
-0.0919
The market value of Aercap Holdings NV is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Aercap that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Aercap Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Aercap Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Aercap Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Aercap Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Aercap Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Aercap Holdings value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aercap Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.