Archer Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ACHR
 Stock
  

USD 3.89  0.08  2.02%   

Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your highly speculative risk level, our recommendation regarding Archer Aviation is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Archer Aviation buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ACHR positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Archer Aviation's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
The advice is provided from Archer Aviation's buy-and-hold perspective. Please continue to Archer Aviation Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Archer and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Archer Aviation.

Execute Archer Aviation Buy or Sell Advice

The Archer recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Archer Aviation. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Archer Aviation or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Archer Aviation's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Archer AviationBuy Archer Aviation
Hold

Volatility

Details

Hype Condition

Details

Current Valuation

Details

Odds of Distress

Details

Economic Sensitivity

Details

Analyst Consensus

Details

Financial Strenth (F Score)

Details

Financial Leverage

Inapplicable
Details

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Details
For the selected time horizon Archer Aviation has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0411, Jensen Alpha of 0.0262, Total Risk Alpha of (0.25), Sortino Ratio of 0.0133 and Treynor Ratio of 0.0938
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Archer Aviation. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Archer Aviation is not overpriced, please confirm all Archer Aviation fundamentals, including its cash and equivalents, and the relationship between the shares owned by institutions and book value per share . Given that Archer Aviation has a shares owned by institutions of 32.37 %, we suggest you to validate Archer Aviation market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Archer Aviation Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Archer Aviation has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Net Loss for the year was (312.1 M).
Archer Aviation currently holds about 704.2 M in cash with (133.2 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.93.
Archer Aviation has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from www.fool.com: Why Archer Aviations Stock Is Gaining Altitude Today - The Motley Fool

Archer Aviation current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Archer analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Archer analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price9.38
Target Median Price10.00
Target High Price12.00
Recommendation Mean2.20
Number Of Analyst Opinions4
Target Low Price5.50
Average Consensus Strong Buy
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Archer Aviation Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Archer Aviation's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Archer Aviation's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Archer Aviation stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Archer Aviation price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Archer Aviation returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Archer Aviation.
Mean Return0.17Value At Risk-11.25
Potential Upside10.98Standard Deviation6.52
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Archer Aviation historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Archer Aviation Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Archer Aviation or Industrials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Archer Aviation's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Archer stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.026155
β
Beta against DOW1.75
σ
Overall volatility
6.70
Ir
Information ratio 0.013

Archer Aviation Volatility Alert

Archer Aviation is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Investors should scrutinize Archer Aviation independently to ensure intended market timing strategies are aligned with expectations about Archer Aviation volatility. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Archer Aviation's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Archer Aviation's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Archer Aviation Implied Volatility

Archer Aviation's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Archer Aviation stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Archer Aviation's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Archer Aviation stock will not fluctuate a lot when Archer Aviation's options are near their expiration.

Archer Aviation Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Archer Aviation's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Archer Aviation's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Archer Aviation and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Archer Aviation or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Archer Aviation's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Archer Aviation by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Archer Aviation to competition
FundamentalsArcher AviationPeer Average
Return On Equity(91.26) %(0.31) %
Return On Asset(64.42) %(0.14) %
Current Valuation296.03 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding157.27 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders26.37 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions32.37 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted13.67 M4.71 M
Price to Book1.30 X9.51 X
EBITDA(394.3 M)3.9 B
Net Income(312.1 M)570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents704.2 M2.7 B
Cash per Share2.93 X5.01 X
Total Debt28.9 M5.32 B
Debt to Equity0.043 %48.70 %
Current Ratio20.90 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share3.05 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations(133.2 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio3.81 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(4.96) X3.12 X
Number of Employees20918.84 K
Market Capitalization942.2 M19.03 B
Z Score19.28.72
   Archer Aviation exotic insider transaction detected [view details]

Archer Aviation Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Archer . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Archer Aviation Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Archer Aviation? Buying financial instruments such as Archer Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2010 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Current Assets10.16 M37.4 M754.8 M814.39 M
Total Assets10.17 M41.8 M768.4 M829.06 M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Archer Aviation in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Latest Gainers Thematic Idea Now

Latest Gainers
Latest Gainers Theme
Dynamically computed list of top equities currently sorted across major exchanges. The Latest Gainers theme has 119 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Latest Gainers Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch
Please continue to Archer Aviation Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Archer Aviation information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Archer Aviation's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.

Complementary Tools for Archer Stock analysis

When running Archer Aviation price analysis, check to measure Archer Aviation's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Archer Aviation is operating at the current time. Most of Archer Aviation's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Archer Aviation's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Archer Aviation's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Archer Aviation to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
My Watchlist Analysis
Analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like
Go
Bond Directory
Find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies
Go
Risk-Return Analysis
View associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume
Go
Focused Opportunities
Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences
Go
Portfolio Rebalancing
Analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets
Go
Portfolio Volatility
Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk
Go
Alpha Finder
Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk
Go
Global Correlations
Find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets
Go
Global Markets Map
Get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes
Go
Is Archer Aviation's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Archer Aviation. If investors know Archer will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Archer Aviation listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
1.1 B
Return On Assets
-0.57
Return On Equity
-1.16
The market value of Archer Aviation is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Archer that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Archer Aviation's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Archer Aviation's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Archer Aviation's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Archer Aviation's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Archer Aviation's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Archer Aviation value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Archer Aviation's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.