Siemens OTC Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 11.41

SMNEY
 Stock
  

USD 11.41  0.43  3.92%   

Siemens Energy's future price is the expected price of Siemens Energy instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Siemens Energy Ag performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Additionally, take a look at Siemens Energy Backtesting, Siemens Energy Valuation, Siemens Energy Correlation, Siemens Energy Hype Analysis, Siemens Energy Volatility, Siemens Energy History as well as Siemens Energy Performance. Please specify Siemens Energy time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Siemens Energy odds to be computed.

Siemens Energy Target Price Odds to finish over 11.41

The tendency of Siemens OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 11.41 90 days 11.41 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Siemens Energy to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Siemens Energy Ag probability density function shows the probability of Siemens OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the otc stock has the beta coefficient of 1.63 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Siemens Energy will likely underperform. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Siemens Energy Ag is significantly underperforming DOW.
   Siemens Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Siemens Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Siemens Energy Ag. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Siemens Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Siemens Energy in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
7.9811.2314.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
7.4310.6813.93
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Siemens Energy. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Siemens Energy's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Siemens Energy's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Siemens Energy Ag.

Siemens Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Siemens Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Siemens Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Siemens Energy Ag, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Siemens Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.5
β
Beta against DOW1.63
σ
Overall volatility
1.43
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

Siemens Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Siemens Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Siemens Energy Ag can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Siemens Energy Ag generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Siemens Energy Ag has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Siemens Energy Ag has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company has accumulated 3.33 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.22, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Siemens Energy Ag has a current ratio of 0.97, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Siemens Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Siemens Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Siemens Energy Ag sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Siemens to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Siemens Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 28 B. Net Loss for the year was (822 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.42 B.

Siemens Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Siemens OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Siemens Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Siemens Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.10
Float Shares430.36M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day19.51k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month26.32k
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.85%

Siemens Energy Technical Analysis

Siemens Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Siemens OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Siemens Energy Ag. In general, you should focus on analyzing Siemens OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Siemens Energy Predictive Forecast Models

Siemens Energy time-series forecasting models is one of many Siemens Energy's otc stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Siemens Energy's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Siemens Energy Ag

Checking the ongoing alerts about Siemens Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Siemens Energy Ag help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Siemens Energy Alerts

Siemens Energy Alerts and Suggestions

Siemens Energy Ag generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Siemens Energy Ag has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Siemens Energy Ag has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company has accumulated 3.33 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.22, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Siemens Energy Ag has a current ratio of 0.97, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Siemens Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Siemens Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Siemens Energy Ag sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Siemens to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Siemens Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 28 B. Net Loss for the year was (822 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.42 B.
Additionally, take a look at Siemens Energy Backtesting, Siemens Energy Valuation, Siemens Energy Correlation, Siemens Energy Hype Analysis, Siemens Energy Volatility, Siemens Energy History as well as Siemens Energy Performance. Note that the Siemens Energy Ag information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Siemens Energy's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.

Complementary Tools for Siemens OTC Stock analysis

When running Siemens Energy Ag price analysis, check to measure Siemens Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Siemens Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Siemens Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Siemens Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Siemens Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Siemens Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Siemens Energy's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Siemens Energy. If investors know Siemens will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Siemens Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Siemens Energy Ag is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Siemens that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Siemens Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Siemens Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Siemens Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Siemens Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Siemens Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Siemens Energy value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Siemens Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.