Great-West Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 10.28

SFBPX
 Fund
  

USD 10.28  0.15  1.44%   

Great-West Securefoundation's future price is the expected price of Great-West Securefoundation instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Great-West Securefoundation Balanced performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Additionally, take a look at Great-West Securefoundation Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Great-West Securefoundation Correlation, Great-West Securefoundation Hype Analysis, Great-West Securefoundation Volatility, Great-West Securefoundation History as well as Great-West Securefoundation Performance. Please specify Great-West Securefoundation time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Great-West Securefoundation odds to be computed.

Great-West Securefoundation Target Price Odds to finish over 10.28

The tendency of Great-West Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 10.28 90 days 10.28 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Great-West Securefoundation to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Great-West Securefoundation Balanced probability density function shows the probability of Great-West Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Great-West Securefoundation has a beta of 0.6. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Great-West Securefoundation average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Great-West Securefoundation Balanced will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Great-West Securefoundation is significantly underperforming DOW.
   Great-West Securefoundation Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Great-West Securefoundation

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Great-West Securefoundation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Great-West Securefoundation's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Great-West Securefoundation in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
9.3910.2811.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
9.5710.4611.35
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
9.3810.2711.17
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.1610.5410.93
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Great-West Securefoundation. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Great-West Securefoundation's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Great-West Securefoundation's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Great-West Securefoundation.

Great-West Securefoundation Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Great-West Securefoundation is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Great-West Securefoundation's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Great-West Securefoundation Balanced, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Great-West Securefoundation within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.05
β
Beta against DOW0.60
σ
Overall volatility
0.34
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Great-West Securefoundation Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Great-West Securefoundation for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Great-West Securefoundation can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Great-West Securefoundation generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Great-West Securefoundation is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
On 9th of September 2022 Great-West Securefoundation paid $ 0.2101 per share dividend to its current shareholders
The fund maintains about 39.4% of its assets in bonds

Great-West Securefoundation Technical Analysis

Great-West Securefoundation's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Great-West Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Great-West Securefoundation Balanced. In general, you should focus on analyzing Great-West Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Great-West Securefoundation Predictive Forecast Models

Great-West Securefoundation time-series forecasting models is one of many Great-West Securefoundation's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Great-West Securefoundation's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Great-West Securefoundation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Great-West Securefoundation for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Great-West Securefoundation help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Great-West Securefoundation Alerts

Great-West Securefoundation Alerts and Suggestions

Great-West Securefoundation generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Great-West Securefoundation is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
On 9th of September 2022 Great-West Securefoundation paid $ 0.2101 per share dividend to its current shareholders
The fund maintains about 39.4% of its assets in bonds

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Great-West Securefoundation price analysis, check to measure Great-West Securefoundation's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Great-West Securefoundation is operating at the current time. Most of Great-West Securefoundation's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Great-West Securefoundation's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Great-West Securefoundation's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Great-West Securefoundation to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Great-West Securefoundation's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Great-West Securefoundation value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Great-West Securefoundation's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.