Momentus Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.2864

MNTS
 Stock
  

USD 1.10  0.02  1.79%   

Momentus' future price is the expected price of Momentus instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Momentus performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Momentus' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Momentus. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Momentus based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Momentus over a specific time period. For example, 2022-12-16 PUT at $2.5 is a PUT option contract on Momentus' common stock with a strick price of 2.5 expiring on 2022-12-16. The contract was last traded on 2022-11-09 at 12:00:35 for $1.17 and, as of today, has 14 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.0, and an ask price of $1.5. The implied volatility as of the 2nd of December is 431.6734. View All Momentus options

Closest to current price Momentus long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration

Additionally, see Momentus Backtesting, Momentus Valuation, Momentus Correlation, Momentus Hype Analysis, Momentus Volatility, Momentus History as well as Momentus Performance. Please specify Momentus time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Momentus odds to be computed.

Momentus Target Price Odds to finish over 1.2864

The tendency of Momentus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 1.29  or more in 90 days
 1.10 90 days 1.29 
about 69.15
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Momentus to move over $ 1.29  or more in 90 days from now is about 69.15 (This Momentus probability density function shows the probability of Momentus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Momentus price to stay between its current price of $ 1.10  and $ 1.29  at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.5 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.76 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Momentus will likely underperform. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Momentus is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Momentus Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Momentus

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Momentus. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Momentus' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Momentus in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.061.105.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.173.317.99
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
10.0010.0010.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (1)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.630.630.63
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Momentus. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Momentus' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Momentus' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Momentus.

Momentus Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Momentus is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Momentus' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Momentus, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Momentus within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.79
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.76
σ
Overall volatility
0.20
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Momentus Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Momentus for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Momentus can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Momentus generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Momentus may become a speculative penny stock
Momentus has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Momentus currently holds about 109.05 M in cash with (86.71 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.31, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

Momentus Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Momentus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Momentus' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Momentus' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding70918777.00
Cash And Short Term Investments160036000.00

Momentus Technical Analysis

Momentus' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Momentus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Momentus. In general, you should focus on analyzing Momentus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Momentus Predictive Forecast Models

Momentus time-series forecasting models is one of many Momentus' stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Momentus' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Momentus

Checking the ongoing alerts about Momentus for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Momentus help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Momentus generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Momentus may become a speculative penny stock
Momentus has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Momentus currently holds about 109.05 M in cash with (86.71 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.31, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Additionally, see Momentus Backtesting, Momentus Valuation, Momentus Correlation, Momentus Hype Analysis, Momentus Volatility, Momentus History as well as Momentus Performance. You can also try Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Momentus price analysis, check to measure Momentus' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Momentus is operating at the current time. Most of Momentus' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Momentus' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Momentus' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Momentus to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Momentus' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Momentus. If investors know Momentus will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Momentus listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
94.2 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
(0.35) 
Return On Assets
(0.41) 
Return On Equity
(0.79) 
The market value of Momentus is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Momentus that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Momentus' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Momentus' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Momentus' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Momentus' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Momentus' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Momentus value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Momentus' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.