Liontown Resources (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.51

LTR
 Stock
  

AUD 2.00  0.08  3.85%   

Liontown Resources' future price is the expected price of Liontown Resources instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Liontown Resources performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Additionally, see Liontown Resources Backtesting, Liontown Resources Valuation, Liontown Resources Correlation, Liontown Resources Hype Analysis, Liontown Resources Volatility, Liontown Resources History as well as Liontown Resources Performance. Please specify Liontown Resources time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Liontown Resources odds to be computed.

Liontown Resources Target Price Odds to finish over 1.51

The tendency of Liontown Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above A$ 1.51  in 90 days
 2.00 90 days 1.51 
about 91.76
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Liontown Resources to stay above A$ 1.51  in 90 days from now is about 91.76 (This Liontown Resources probability density function shows the probability of Liontown Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Liontown Resources price to stay between A$ 1.51  and its current price of A$2.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 82.63 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Liontown Resources has a beta of 0.0613. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Liontown Resources average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Liontown Resources will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.6486, implying that it can generate a 0.65 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Liontown Resources Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Liontown Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Liontown Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Liontown Resources' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Liontown Resources in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.102.005.69
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.091.895.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.039241.965.65
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.861.972.08
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Liontown Resources. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Liontown Resources' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Liontown Resources' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Liontown Resources.

Liontown Resources Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Liontown Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Liontown Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Liontown Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Liontown Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.65
β
Beta against DOW0.06
σ
Overall volatility
0.18
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

Liontown Resources Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Liontown Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Liontown Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Liontown Resources has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Liontown Resources has accumulated about 461 M in cash with (43.79 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.21.
Roughly 28.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Liontown Resources Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Liontown Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Liontown Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Liontown Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Float Shares1.65B
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day16.31M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month15.1M

Liontown Resources Technical Analysis

Liontown Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Liontown Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Liontown Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing Liontown Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Liontown Resources Predictive Forecast Models

Liontown Resources time-series forecasting models is one of many Liontown Resources' stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Liontown Resources' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Liontown Resources

Checking the ongoing alerts about Liontown Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Liontown Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Liontown Resources has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Liontown Resources has accumulated about 461 M in cash with (43.79 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.21.
Roughly 28.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Additionally, see Liontown Resources Backtesting, Liontown Resources Valuation, Liontown Resources Correlation, Liontown Resources Hype Analysis, Liontown Resources Volatility, Liontown Resources History as well as Liontown Resources Performance. You can also try Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Liontown Resources price analysis, check to measure Liontown Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Liontown Resources is operating at the current time. Most of Liontown Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Liontown Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Liontown Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Liontown Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Liontown Resources' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Liontown Resources value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Liontown Resources' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.