Lakeland Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 73.33

LKFN
 Stock
  

USD 78.23  0.52  0.67%   

Lakeland Finl's future price is the expected price of Lakeland Finl instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Lakeland Finl Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. The Price to Book Value is projected to slide to 2.74. The value of Price to Earnings Ratio is estimated to slide to 20.89.
  
Lakeland Finl's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Lakeland Finl Corp. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Lakeland Finl based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Lakeland Finl Corp over a specific time period. For example, 2022-12-16 CALL at $75.0 is a CALL option contract on Lakeland Finl's common stock with a strick price of 75.0 expiring on 2022-12-16. The contract was last traded on 2022-10-17 at 14:15:23 for $4.59 and, as of today, has 20 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $2.8, and an ask price of $6.0. The implied volatility as of the 26th of November is 33.5723. View All Lakeland options

Closest to current price Lakeland long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Additionally, see Lakeland Finl Backtesting, Lakeland Finl Valuation, Lakeland Finl Correlation, Lakeland Finl Hype Analysis, Lakeland Finl Volatility, Lakeland Finl History as well as Lakeland Finl Performance. Please specify Lakeland Finl time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Lakeland Finl odds to be computed.

Lakeland Finl Target Price Odds to finish below 73.33

The tendency of Lakeland Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 73.33  or more in 90 days
 78.23 90 days 73.33 
about 7.83
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lakeland Finl to drop to $ 73.33  or more in 90 days from now is about 7.83 (This Lakeland Finl Corp probability density function shows the probability of Lakeland Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lakeland Finl Corp price to stay between $ 73.33  and its current price of $78.23 at the end of the 90-day period is about 61.66 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Lakeland Finl has a beta of 0.53. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Lakeland Finl average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lakeland Finl Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Lakeland Finl Corp is significantly underperforming DOW.
   Lakeland Finl Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lakeland Finl

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lakeland Finl Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lakeland Finl's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Lakeland Finl in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
76.7278.2479.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
74.1875.7086.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
77.6479.1680.69
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
72.0073.5075.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Lakeland Finl. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Lakeland Finl's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Lakeland Finl's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Lakeland Finl Corp.

Lakeland Finl Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lakeland Finl is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lakeland Finl's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lakeland Finl Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lakeland Finl within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.0069
β
Beta against DOW0.53
σ
Overall volatility
2.55
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Lakeland Finl Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lakeland Finl for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lakeland Finl Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lakeland Finl Corp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 83.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 7th of November 2022 Lakeland Finl paid $ 0.4 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Stocks end lower on Wall Street as tech weighs down Nasdaq - Lakeland TODAY

Lakeland Finl Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lakeland Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lakeland Finl's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lakeland Finl's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out7.10%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.28
Short Percent Of Float8.72%
Float Shares24.47M
Shares Short Prior Month1.88M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day81.01k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month94.07k
Date Short Interest14th of October 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield1.64%

Lakeland Finl Technical Analysis

Lakeland Finl's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lakeland Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lakeland Finl Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lakeland Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Lakeland Finl Predictive Forecast Models

Lakeland Finl time-series forecasting models is one of many Lakeland Finl's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Lakeland Finl's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Lakeland Finl Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lakeland Finl for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lakeland Finl Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lakeland Finl Corp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 83.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 7th of November 2022 Lakeland Finl paid $ 0.4 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Stocks end lower on Wall Street as tech weighs down Nasdaq - Lakeland TODAY
Additionally, see Lakeland Finl Backtesting, Lakeland Finl Valuation, Lakeland Finl Correlation, Lakeland Finl Hype Analysis, Lakeland Finl Volatility, Lakeland Finl History as well as Lakeland Finl Performance. Note that the Lakeland Finl Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Lakeland Finl's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.

Complementary Tools for Lakeland Stock analysis

When running Lakeland Finl Corp price analysis, check to measure Lakeland Finl's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lakeland Finl is operating at the current time. Most of Lakeland Finl's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lakeland Finl's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lakeland Finl's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lakeland Finl to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Lakeland Finl's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lakeland Finl. If investors know Lakeland will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lakeland Finl listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.18
Market Capitalization
B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.13
Return On Assets
0.0163
Return On Equity
0.17
The market value of Lakeland Finl Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lakeland that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lakeland Finl's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lakeland Finl's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lakeland Finl's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lakeland Finl's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lakeland Finl's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Lakeland Finl value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lakeland Finl's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.