Gladstone Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 26.05

LAND
 Stock
  

USD 19.13  0.20  1.03%   

Gladstone Land's future price is the expected price of Gladstone Land instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Gladstone Land Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Gladstone Land's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Gladstone Land Corp. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Gladstone Land based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Gladstone Land Corp over a specific time period. For example, 2022-10-21 CALL at $20.0 is a CALL option contract on Gladstone Land's common stock with a strick price of 20.0 expiring on 2022-10-21. The contract was last traded on 2022-09-23 at 15:05:40 for $0.59 and, as of today, has 25 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.5, and an ask price of $0.9. The implied volatility as of the 26th of September is 41.6214. View All Gladstone options

Closest to current price Gladstone long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Additionally, see Gladstone Land Backtesting, Gladstone Land Valuation, Gladstone Land Correlation, Gladstone Land Hype Analysis, Gladstone Land Volatility, Gladstone Land History as well as Gladstone Land Performance. Please specify Gladstone Land time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Gladstone Land odds to be computed.

Gladstone Land Target Price Odds to finish over 26.05

The tendency of Gladstone Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 26.05  or more in 90 days
 19.13 90 days 26.05 
about 9.25
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gladstone Land to move over $ 26.05  or more in 90 days from now is about 9.25 (This Gladstone Land Corp probability density function shows the probability of Gladstone Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gladstone Land Corp price to stay between its current price of $ 19.13  and $ 26.05  at the end of the 90-day period is about 90.39 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.03 . This indicates Gladstone Land Corp market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Gladstone Land is expected to follow. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Gladstone Land Corp is significantly underperforming DOW.
   Gladstone Land Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Gladstone Land

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gladstone Land Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gladstone Land's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Gladstone Land in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
19.1319.1319.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
17.2224.0524.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
17.9217.9217.92
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
24.0027.8631.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Gladstone Land. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Gladstone Land's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Gladstone Land's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Gladstone Land Corp.

Gladstone Land Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gladstone Land is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gladstone Land's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gladstone Land Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gladstone Land within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.19
β
Beta against DOW1.03
σ
Overall volatility
1.72
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Gladstone Land Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gladstone Land for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gladstone Land Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Gladstone Land Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Gladstone Land Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 79.15 M. Net Loss for the year was (9.29 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 66.39 M.
On 31st of August 2022 Gladstone Land paid $ 0.0456 per share dividend to its current shareholders

Gladstone Land Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gladstone Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gladstone Land's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gladstone Land's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out2.71%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.54
Short Percent Of Float2.93%
Float Shares32.8M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day238.14k
Shares Short Prior Month948.67k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month251.01k
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield2.67%

Gladstone Land Technical Analysis

Gladstone Land's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gladstone Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gladstone Land Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gladstone Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Gladstone Land Predictive Forecast Models

Gladstone Land time-series forecasting models is one of many Gladstone Land's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Gladstone Land's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Gladstone Land Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Gladstone Land for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gladstone Land Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Gladstone Land Alerts

Gladstone Land Alerts and Suggestions

Gladstone Land Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Gladstone Land Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 79.15 M. Net Loss for the year was (9.29 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 66.39 M.
On 31st of August 2022 Gladstone Land paid $ 0.0456 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Additionally, see Gladstone Land Backtesting, Gladstone Land Valuation, Gladstone Land Correlation, Gladstone Land Hype Analysis, Gladstone Land Volatility, Gladstone Land History as well as Gladstone Land Performance. You can also try Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Gladstone Land Corp price analysis, check to measure Gladstone Land's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gladstone Land is operating at the current time. Most of Gladstone Land's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gladstone Land's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gladstone Land's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gladstone Land to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Gladstone Land's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gladstone Land. If investors know Gladstone will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Gladstone Land listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Gladstone Land Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Gladstone that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Gladstone Land's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Gladstone Land's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Gladstone Land's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Gladstone Land's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gladstone Land's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Gladstone Land value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gladstone Land's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.