Kaspien Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.54

KSPN
 Stock
  

USD 1.54  0.02  1.32%   

Kaspien Holdings' future price is the expected price of Kaspien Holdings instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Kaspien Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Please see Kaspien Holdings Backtesting, Kaspien Holdings Valuation, Kaspien Holdings Correlation, Kaspien Holdings Hype Analysis, Kaspien Holdings Volatility, Kaspien Holdings History as well as Kaspien Holdings Performance. Please specify Kaspien Holdings time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Kaspien Holdings odds to be computed.

Kaspien Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 1.54

The tendency of Kaspien Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.54 90 days 1.54 
about 89.44
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kaspien Holdings to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 89.44 (This Kaspien Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Kaspien Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Kaspien Holdings has a beta of -2.43. This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Kaspien Holdings are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Kaspien Holdings is expected to outperform its benchmark. Moreover The company has an alpha of 1.3448, implying that it can generate a 1.34 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Kaspien Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Kaspien Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kaspien Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kaspien Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Kaspien Holdings in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.071.4230.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.5711.4840.78
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
40.0040.0040.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Kaspien Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Kaspien Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Kaspien Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Kaspien Holdings.

Kaspien Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kaspien Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kaspien Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kaspien Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kaspien Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
1.34
β
Beta against DOW-2.43
σ
Overall volatility
1.08
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Kaspien Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kaspien Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kaspien Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kaspien Holdings is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Kaspien Holdings may become a speculative penny stock
Kaspien Holdings appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Kaspien Holdings has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 134.89 M. Net Loss for the year was (11.04 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 32.77 M.
Kaspien Holdings currently holds about 828 K in cash with (17.84 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.33.
Roughly 48.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from www.benzinga.com: Wynn Resorts Wynn Resorts shares are trading higher after Credit Suisse upgraded the stoc - Benzinga

Kaspien Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kaspien Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kaspien Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kaspien Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out9.10%
Short Percent Of Float14.78%
Float Shares1.52M
Shares Short Prior Month14.57k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day213.7k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month2.94M
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022

Kaspien Holdings Technical Analysis

Kaspien Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kaspien Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kaspien Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kaspien Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Kaspien Holdings Predictive Forecast Models

Kaspien Holdings time-series forecasting models is one of many Kaspien Holdings' stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Kaspien Holdings' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Kaspien Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about Kaspien Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kaspien Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kaspien Holdings is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Kaspien Holdings may become a speculative penny stock
Kaspien Holdings appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Kaspien Holdings has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 134.89 M. Net Loss for the year was (11.04 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 32.77 M.
Kaspien Holdings currently holds about 828 K in cash with (17.84 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.33.
Roughly 48.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from www.benzinga.com: Wynn Resorts Wynn Resorts shares are trading higher after Credit Suisse upgraded the stoc - Benzinga
Please see Kaspien Holdings Backtesting, Kaspien Holdings Valuation, Kaspien Holdings Correlation, Kaspien Holdings Hype Analysis, Kaspien Holdings Volatility, Kaspien Holdings History as well as Kaspien Holdings Performance. You can also try Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.

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Is Kaspien Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Kaspien Holdings. If investors know Kaspien will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Kaspien Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Kaspien Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Kaspien that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Kaspien Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Kaspien Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Kaspien Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Kaspien Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Kaspien Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Kaspien Holdings value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kaspien Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.