KINETICS Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 136.28

KSCOX
 Fund
  

USD 136.28  2.40  1.73%   

KINETICS SMALL's future price is the expected price of KINETICS SMALL instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of KINETICS SMALL CAP performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Please see KINETICS SMALL Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, KINETICS SMALL Correlation, KINETICS SMALL Hype Analysis, KINETICS SMALL Volatility, KINETICS SMALL History as well as KINETICS SMALL Performance. Please specify KINETICS SMALL time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like KINETICS SMALL odds to be computed.

KINETICS SMALL Target Price Odds to finish over 136.28

The tendency of KINETICS Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 136.28 90 days 136.28 
about 13.44
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of KINETICS SMALL to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 13.44 (This KINETICS SMALL CAP probability density function shows the probability of KINETICS Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon KINETICS SMALL CAP has a beta of -0.0519. This indicates as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding KINETICS SMALL are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, KINETICS SMALL CAP is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.3165, implying that it can generate a 0.32 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   KINETICS SMALL Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for KINETICS SMALL

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KINETICS SMALL CAP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of KINETICS SMALL's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of KINETICS SMALL in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
134.27136.28138.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
120.44122.45149.91
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as KINETICS SMALL. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against KINETICS SMALL's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, KINETICS SMALL's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in KINETICS SMALL CAP.

KINETICS SMALL Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. KINETICS SMALL is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the KINETICS SMALL's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold KINETICS SMALL CAP, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of KINETICS SMALL within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.32
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.05
σ
Overall volatility
11.92
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

KINETICS SMALL Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of KINETICS SMALL for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for KINETICS SMALL CAP can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 7.56% of its assets in cash

KINETICS SMALL Technical Analysis

KINETICS SMALL's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. KINETICS Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of KINETICS SMALL CAP. In general, you should focus on analyzing KINETICS Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

KINETICS SMALL Predictive Forecast Models

KINETICS SMALL time-series forecasting models is one of many KINETICS SMALL's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary KINETICS SMALL's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about KINETICS SMALL CAP

Checking the ongoing alerts about KINETICS SMALL for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for KINETICS SMALL CAP help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 7.56% of its assets in cash
Please see KINETICS SMALL Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, KINETICS SMALL Correlation, KINETICS SMALL Hype Analysis, KINETICS SMALL Volatility, KINETICS SMALL History as well as KINETICS SMALL Performance. You can also try Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running KINETICS SMALL CAP price analysis, check to measure KINETICS SMALL's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy KINETICS SMALL is operating at the current time. Most of KINETICS SMALL's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of KINETICS SMALL's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move KINETICS SMALL's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of KINETICS SMALL to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between KINETICS SMALL's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine KINETICS SMALL value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, KINETICS SMALL's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.