WILLISTON Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 5.55

ICPAX
 Fund
  

USD 5.55  0.02  0.36%   

WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH's future price is the expected price of WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH AMERICA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Please see WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH Correlation, WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH Hype Analysis, WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH Volatility, WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH History as well as WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH Performance. Please specify WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH odds to be computed.

WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH Target Price Odds to finish over 5.55

The tendency of WILLISTON Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 5.55 90 days 5.55 
about 15.87
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 15.87 (This WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH AMERICA probability density function shows the probability of WILLISTON Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH has a beta of 0.0194. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH AMERICA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.1145, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
3.305.557.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
3.175.427.67
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH.

WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH AMERICA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.11
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.0194
σ
Overall volatility
0.34
Ir
Information ratio 0.008878

WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
This fund generated-2.0 ten year return of -2.0%
WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH retains all of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH Technical Analysis

WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. WILLISTON Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH AMERICA. In general, you should focus on analyzing WILLISTON Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH Predictive Forecast Models

WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH time-series forecasting models is one of many WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH

Checking the ongoing alerts about WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
This fund generated-2.0 ten year return of -2.0%
WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH retains all of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
Please see WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH Correlation, WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH Hype Analysis, WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH Volatility, WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH History as well as WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH Performance. Note that the WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.

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When running WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH price analysis, check to measure WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH is operating at the current time. Most of WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, WILLISTON BASINMID-NORTH's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.