Hexcel Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 50.17

HXL
 Stock
  

USD 62.05  0.78  1.27%   

Hexcel's future price is the expected price of Hexcel instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Hexcel performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Hexcel Price to Book Value is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current Price to Book Value is estimated at 3.53. Price to Earnings Ratio is expected to hike to 294.15 this year, although the value of Price to Sales Ratio will most likely fall to 3.14.
  
Hexcel's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Hexcel. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Hexcel based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Hexcel over a specific time period. For example, 2022-12-16 CALL at $60.0 is a CALL option contract on Hexcel's common stock with a strick price of 60.0 expiring on 2022-12-16. The contract was last traded on 2022-12-02 at 14:36:11 for $2.75 and, as of today, has 11 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $2.75, and an ask price of $3.1. The implied volatility as of the 5th of December is 31.6385. View All Hexcel options

Closest to current price Hexcel long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Please check Hexcel Backtesting, Hexcel Valuation, Hexcel Correlation, Hexcel Hype Analysis, Hexcel Volatility, Hexcel History as well as Hexcel Performance. Please specify Hexcel time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Hexcel odds to be computed.

Hexcel Target Price Odds to finish over 50.17

The tendency of Hexcel Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 50.17  in 90 days
 62.05 90 days 50.17 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hexcel to stay above $ 50.17  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Hexcel probability density function shows the probability of Hexcel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hexcel price to stay between $ 50.17  and its current price of $62.05 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 97.0 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.14 . This usually indicates Hexcel market returns are highly reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Hexcel is expected to follow. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Hexcel is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Hexcel Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Hexcel

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hexcel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hexcel's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Hexcel in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
59.4261.6463.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
57.0159.2368.26
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
48.0059.1168.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (7)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.200.240.32
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hexcel. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hexcel's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hexcel's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Hexcel.

Hexcel Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hexcel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hexcel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hexcel, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hexcel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.0081
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.14
σ
Overall volatility
2.73
Ir
Information ratio 0.002505

Hexcel Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hexcel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hexcel can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 14th of November 2022 Hexcel paid $ 0.1 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Form N-CSR EATON VANCE GROWTH TRUST For Sep 30 - StreetInsider.com

Hexcel Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hexcel Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hexcel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hexcel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding84000000.00
Cash And Short Term Investments127000000.00

Hexcel Technical Analysis

Hexcel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hexcel Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hexcel. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hexcel Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Hexcel Predictive Forecast Models

Hexcel time-series forecasting models is one of many Hexcel's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Hexcel's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Hexcel

Checking the ongoing alerts about Hexcel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hexcel help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 14th of November 2022 Hexcel paid $ 0.1 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Form N-CSR EATON VANCE GROWTH TRUST For Sep 30 - StreetInsider.com
Please check Hexcel Backtesting, Hexcel Valuation, Hexcel Correlation, Hexcel Hype Analysis, Hexcel Volatility, Hexcel History as well as Hexcel Performance. You can also try Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Hexcel price analysis, check to measure Hexcel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hexcel is operating at the current time. Most of Hexcel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hexcel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hexcel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hexcel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Hexcel's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hexcel. If investors know Hexcel will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hexcel listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
1.9
Market Capitalization
5.2 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.093
Return On Assets
0.0351
Return On Equity
0.0736
The market value of Hexcel is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hexcel that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hexcel's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hexcel's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hexcel's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hexcel's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hexcel's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Hexcel value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hexcel's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.