Hexcel Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 52.14

HXL
 Stock
  

USD 52.14  0.12  0.23%   

Hexcel Corp's future price is the expected price of Hexcel Corp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Hexcel Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Hexcel Corp's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Hexcel Corp. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Hexcel Corp based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Hexcel Corp over a specific time period. For example, 2022-10-21 CALL at $50.0 is a CALL option contract on Hexcel Corp's common stock with a strick price of 50.0 expiring on 2022-10-21. The contract was not traded in recent days and, as of today, has 21 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.5, and an ask price of $5.7. The implied volatility as of the 30th of September is 46.023. View All Hexcel options

Closest to current price Hexcel long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Please check Hexcel Corp Backtesting, Hexcel Corp Valuation, Hexcel Corp Correlation, Hexcel Corp Hype Analysis, Hexcel Corp Volatility, Hexcel Corp History as well as Hexcel Corp Performance. Please specify Hexcel Corp time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Hexcel Corp odds to be computed.

Hexcel Corp Target Price Odds to finish over 52.14

The tendency of Hexcel Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 52.14 90 days 52.14 
under 95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hexcel Corp to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 95 (This Hexcel Corp probability density function shows the probability of Hexcel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.3 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Hexcel Corp will likely underperform. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.1242, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Hexcel Corp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Hexcel Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hexcel Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hexcel Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Hexcel Corp in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
50.2152.1454.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
46.9357.1559.08
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
46.7448.6750.60
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
48.0059.1168.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hexcel Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hexcel Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hexcel Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Hexcel Corp.

Hexcel Corp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hexcel Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hexcel Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hexcel Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hexcel Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.12
β
Beta against DOW1.30
σ
Overall volatility
3.77
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Hexcel Corp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hexcel Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hexcel Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 12th of August 2022 Hexcel Corp paid $ 0.1 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Is Hexcel Corporations Stock Price Struggling As A Result Of Its Mixed Financials - Simply Wall St

Hexcel Corp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hexcel Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hexcel Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hexcel Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out5.95%
Short Percent Of Float5.98%
Float Shares83.62M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day543.85k
Shares Short Prior Month5.9M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month542.73k
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022

Hexcel Corp Technical Analysis

Hexcel Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hexcel Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hexcel Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hexcel Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Hexcel Corp Predictive Forecast Models

Hexcel Corp time-series forecasting models is one of many Hexcel Corp's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Hexcel Corp's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Hexcel Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Hexcel Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hexcel Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 12th of August 2022 Hexcel Corp paid $ 0.1 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Is Hexcel Corporations Stock Price Struggling As A Result Of Its Mixed Financials - Simply Wall St
Please check Hexcel Corp Backtesting, Hexcel Corp Valuation, Hexcel Corp Correlation, Hexcel Corp Hype Analysis, Hexcel Corp Volatility, Hexcel Corp History as well as Hexcel Corp Performance. You can also try Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Hexcel Corp price analysis, check to measure Hexcel Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hexcel Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Hexcel Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hexcel Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hexcel Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hexcel Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
CEO Directory
Screen CEOs from public companies around the world
Go
Content Syndication
Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal
Go
Portfolio File Import
Quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format
Go
Portfolio Backtesting
Avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios
Go
Alpha Finder
Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk
Go
Price Transformation
Use Price Transformation models to analyze depth of different equity instruments across global markets
Go
Equity Forecasting
Use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum
Go
Fund Screener
Find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges
Go
Instant Ratings
Determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Go
Is Hexcel Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hexcel Corp. If investors know Hexcel will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hexcel Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Hexcel Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hexcel that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hexcel Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hexcel Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hexcel Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hexcel Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hexcel Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Hexcel Corp value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hexcel Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.