Huntington Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 253.51

HII
 Stock
  

USD 223.33  1.83  0.83%   

Huntington Ingalls' future price is the expected price of Huntington Ingalls instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Huntington Ingalls Industries performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Huntington Ingalls' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Huntington Ingalls Industries. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Huntington Ingalls based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Huntington Ingalls Industries over a specific time period. For example, 2022-10-21 CALL at $220.0 is a CALL option contract on Huntington Ingalls' common stock with a strick price of 220.0 expiring on 2022-10-21. The contract was last traded on 2022-09-16 at 14:55:08 for $14.82 and, as of today, has 19 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $6.0, and an ask price of $8.9. The implied volatility as of the 2nd of October is 32.1144. View All Huntington options

Closest to current price Huntington long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Please check Huntington Ingalls Backtesting, Huntington Ingalls Valuation, Huntington Ingalls Correlation, Huntington Ingalls Hype Analysis, Huntington Ingalls Volatility, Huntington Ingalls History as well as Huntington Ingalls Performance. Please specify Huntington Ingalls time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Huntington Ingalls odds to be computed.

Huntington Ingalls Target Price Odds to finish over 253.51

The tendency of Huntington Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 253.51  or more in 90 days
 223.33 90 days 253.51 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Huntington Ingalls to move over $ 253.51  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Huntington Ingalls Industries probability density function shows the probability of Huntington Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Huntington Ingalls price to stay between its current price of $ 223.33  and $ 253.51  at the end of the 90-day period is about 52.65 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Huntington Ingalls has a beta of 0.65. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Huntington Ingalls average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Huntington Ingalls Industries will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.1177, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Huntington Ingalls Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Huntington Ingalls

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Huntington Ingalls. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Huntington Ingalls' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Huntington Ingalls in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
222.31223.59224.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
201.00229.12230.40
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
215.04216.33217.61
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
200.00213.40225.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Huntington Ingalls. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Huntington Ingalls' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Huntington Ingalls' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Huntington Ingalls.

Huntington Ingalls Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Huntington Ingalls is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Huntington Ingalls' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Huntington Ingalls Industries, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Huntington Ingalls within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.12
β
Beta against DOW0.65
σ
Overall volatility
10.45
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Huntington Ingalls Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Huntington Ingalls for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Huntington Ingalls can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 9th of September 2022 Huntington Ingalls paid $ 1.18 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Huntington Ingalls exotic insider transaction detected

Huntington Ingalls Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Huntington Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Huntington Ingalls' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Huntington Ingalls' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out2.31%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate4.23
Short Percent Of Float3.04%
Float Shares39.21M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day334.18k
Shares Short Prior Month917.48k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month336.15k
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield1.89%

Huntington Ingalls Technical Analysis

Huntington Ingalls' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Huntington Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Huntington Ingalls Industries. In general, you should focus on analyzing Huntington Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Huntington Ingalls Predictive Forecast Models

Huntington Ingalls time-series forecasting models is one of many Huntington Ingalls' stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Huntington Ingalls' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Huntington Ingalls

Checking the ongoing alerts about Huntington Ingalls for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Huntington Ingalls help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 9th of September 2022 Huntington Ingalls paid $ 1.18 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Huntington Ingalls exotic insider transaction detected
Please check Huntington Ingalls Backtesting, Huntington Ingalls Valuation, Huntington Ingalls Correlation, Huntington Ingalls Hype Analysis, Huntington Ingalls Volatility, Huntington Ingalls History as well as Huntington Ingalls Performance. You can also try Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Huntington Ingalls price analysis, check to measure Huntington Ingalls' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Huntington Ingalls is operating at the current time. Most of Huntington Ingalls' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Huntington Ingalls' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Huntington Ingalls' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Huntington Ingalls to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
CEO Directory
Screen CEOs from public companies around the world
Go
Sync Your Broker
Sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors.
Go
Analyst Recommendations
Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories
Go
Volatility Analysis
Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data
Go
My Watchlist Analysis
Analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like
Go
Price Exposure Probability
Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets
Go
Instant Ratings
Determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Go
Cryptocurrency Center
Build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency
Go
Portfolio File Import
Quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format
Go
Risk-Return Analysis
View associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume
Go
Is Huntington Ingalls' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Huntington Ingalls. If investors know Huntington will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Huntington Ingalls listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Huntington Ingalls is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Huntington that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Huntington Ingalls' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Huntington Ingalls' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Huntington Ingalls' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Huntington Ingalls' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Huntington Ingalls' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Huntington Ingalls value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Huntington Ingalls' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.