Hyatt Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 55.0

H
 Stock
  

USD 99.63  1.30  1.29%   

Hyatt Hotels' future price is the expected price of Hyatt Hotels instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Hyatt Hotels performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Price to Book Value is estimated to decrease to 2.70. The current Price to Earnings Ratio is estimated to decrease to -46.21.
  
Hyatt Hotels' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Hyatt Hotels. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Hyatt Hotels based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Hyatt Hotels over a specific time period. For example, 2022-12-16 CALL at $100.0 is a CALL option contract on Hyatt Hotels' common stock with a strick price of 100.0 expiring on 2022-12-16. The contract was last traded on 2022-12-02 at 15:30:37 for $2.6 and, as of today, has 12 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $2.25, and an ask price of $2.5. The implied volatility as of the 4th of December is 33.1624. View All Hyatt options

Closest to current price Hyatt long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Please check Hyatt Hotels Backtesting, Hyatt Hotels Valuation, Hyatt Hotels Correlation, Hyatt Hotels Hype Analysis, Hyatt Hotels Volatility, Hyatt Hotels History as well as Hyatt Hotels Performance. Please specify Hyatt Hotels time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Hyatt Hotels odds to be computed.

Hyatt Hotels Target Price Odds to finish over 55.0

The tendency of Hyatt Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 55.00  in 90 days
 99.63 90 days 55.00 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hyatt Hotels to stay above $ 55.00  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Hyatt Hotels probability density function shows the probability of Hyatt Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hyatt Hotels price to stay between $ 55.00  and its current price of $99.63 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 97.0 .
Taking into account the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.13 . This usually indicates Hyatt Hotels market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Hyatt Hotels is expected to follow. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0668, implying that it can generate a 0.0668 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Hyatt Hotels Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Hyatt Hotels

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hyatt Hotels. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hyatt Hotels' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Hyatt Hotels in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
99.05101.33103.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
89.0191.29111.02
Details
14 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
55.0087.25110.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (5)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-2.67-2.45-2.26
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hyatt Hotels. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hyatt Hotels' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hyatt Hotels' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Hyatt Hotels.

Hyatt Hotels Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hyatt Hotels is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hyatt Hotels' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hyatt Hotels, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hyatt Hotels within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.07
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.13
σ
Overall volatility
5.55
Ir
Information ratio 0.035087

Hyatt Hotels Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hyatt Hotels for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hyatt Hotels can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the annual revenue of 3.03 B. Total Loss to common stockholders was (222 M) with gross profit before all taxes, overhead, and interest of 481 M.
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Taconic Capital, HEI acquire Hyatt Regency Jersey City - Hotel Management

Hyatt Hotels Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hyatt Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hyatt Hotels' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hyatt Hotels' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding103970738.00
Cash And Short Term Investments1187000000.00

Hyatt Hotels Technical Analysis

Hyatt Hotels' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hyatt Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hyatt Hotels. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hyatt Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Hyatt Hotels Predictive Forecast Models

Hyatt Hotels time-series forecasting models is one of many Hyatt Hotels' stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Hyatt Hotels' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Hyatt Hotels

Checking the ongoing alerts about Hyatt Hotels for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hyatt Hotels help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the annual revenue of 3.03 B. Total Loss to common stockholders was (222 M) with gross profit before all taxes, overhead, and interest of 481 M.
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Taconic Capital, HEI acquire Hyatt Regency Jersey City - Hotel Management
Please check Hyatt Hotels Backtesting, Hyatt Hotels Valuation, Hyatt Hotels Correlation, Hyatt Hotels Hype Analysis, Hyatt Hotels Volatility, Hyatt Hotels History as well as Hyatt Hotels Performance. Note that the Hyatt Hotels information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Hyatt Hotels' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.

Complementary Tools for Hyatt Stock analysis

When running Hyatt Hotels price analysis, check to measure Hyatt Hotels' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hyatt Hotels is operating at the current time. Most of Hyatt Hotels' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hyatt Hotels' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hyatt Hotels' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hyatt Hotels to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Hyatt Hotels' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hyatt Hotels. If investors know Hyatt will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hyatt Hotels listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.78) 
Market Capitalization
10.5 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
1.12
Return On Assets
0.0178
Return On Equity
0.0375
The market value of Hyatt Hotels is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hyatt that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hyatt Hotels' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hyatt Hotels' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hyatt Hotels' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hyatt Hotels' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hyatt Hotels' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Hyatt Hotels value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hyatt Hotels' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.