JPMORGAN Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 9.33

GBOCX
 Fund
  

USD 9.38  0.01  0.11%   

JPMORGAN GLOBAL's future price is the expected price of JPMORGAN GLOBAL instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of JPMORGAN GLOBAL BOND performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Please check JPMORGAN GLOBAL Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, JPMORGAN GLOBAL Correlation, JPMORGAN GLOBAL Hype Analysis, JPMORGAN GLOBAL Volatility, JPMORGAN GLOBAL History as well as JPMORGAN GLOBAL Performance. Please specify JPMORGAN GLOBAL time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like JPMORGAN GLOBAL odds to be computed.

JPMORGAN GLOBAL Target Price Odds to finish over 9.33

The tendency of JPMORGAN Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 9.33  in 90 days
 9.38 90 days 9.33 
about 15.87
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of JPMORGAN GLOBAL to stay above $ 9.33  in 90 days from now is about 15.87 (This JPMORGAN GLOBAL BOND probability density function shows the probability of JPMORGAN Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of JPMORGAN GLOBAL BOND price to stay between $ 9.33  and its current price of $9.38 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.56 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon JPMORGAN GLOBAL has a beta of 0.0232. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, JPMORGAN GLOBAL average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding JPMORGAN GLOBAL BOND will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. JPMORGAN GLOBAL BOND is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   JPMORGAN GLOBAL Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for JPMORGAN GLOBAL

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JPMORGAN GLOBAL BOND. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of JPMORGAN GLOBAL's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of JPMORGAN GLOBAL in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
9.079.389.69
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
9.029.339.64
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
9.099.409.70
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.029.249.46
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as JPMORGAN GLOBAL. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against JPMORGAN GLOBAL's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, JPMORGAN GLOBAL's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in JPMORGAN GLOBAL BOND.

JPMORGAN GLOBAL Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. JPMORGAN GLOBAL is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the JPMORGAN GLOBAL's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold JPMORGAN GLOBAL BOND, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of JPMORGAN GLOBAL within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.02
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.0232
σ
Overall volatility
0.13
Ir
Information ratio -0.27

JPMORGAN GLOBAL Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of JPMORGAN GLOBAL for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for JPMORGAN GLOBAL BOND can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
JPMORGAN GLOBAL BOND is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
On 29th of November 2022 JPMORGAN GLOBAL paid $ 0.0278 per share dividend to its current shareholders
The fund retains about 5.28% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

JPMORGAN GLOBAL Technical Analysis

JPMORGAN GLOBAL's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. JPMORGAN Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of JPMORGAN GLOBAL BOND. In general, you should focus on analyzing JPMORGAN Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

JPMORGAN GLOBAL Predictive Forecast Models

JPMORGAN GLOBAL time-series forecasting models is one of many JPMORGAN GLOBAL's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary JPMORGAN GLOBAL's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about JPMORGAN GLOBAL BOND

Checking the ongoing alerts about JPMORGAN GLOBAL for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for JPMORGAN GLOBAL BOND help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
JPMORGAN GLOBAL BOND is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
On 29th of November 2022 JPMORGAN GLOBAL paid $ 0.0278 per share dividend to its current shareholders
The fund retains about 5.28% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
Please check JPMORGAN GLOBAL Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, JPMORGAN GLOBAL Correlation, JPMORGAN GLOBAL Hype Analysis, JPMORGAN GLOBAL Volatility, JPMORGAN GLOBAL History as well as JPMORGAN GLOBAL Performance. Note that the JPMORGAN GLOBAL BOND information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other JPMORGAN GLOBAL's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze depth of different equity instruments across global markets.

Complementary Tools for JPMORGAN Mutual Fund analysis

When running JPMORGAN GLOBAL BOND price analysis, check to measure JPMORGAN GLOBAL's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy JPMORGAN GLOBAL is operating at the current time. Most of JPMORGAN GLOBAL's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of JPMORGAN GLOBAL's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move JPMORGAN GLOBAL's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of JPMORGAN GLOBAL to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between JPMORGAN GLOBAL's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine JPMORGAN GLOBAL value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, JPMORGAN GLOBAL's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.